Has the Democratic race shifted?

jacksmith

HILLARY CLINTON CAN BEST WIN IN NOVEMBER:

It's time for everyone to face the truth. Barack Obama has no real chance of winning the national election in November at this time. His crushing defeat in Pennsylvania makes that fact crystal clear. His best, and only real chance of winning in November is on a ticket with Hillary Clinton as her VP.

Hillary Clinton seemed almost somber at her Pennsylvania victory speech. As if part of her was hoping Obama could have proved he had some chance of winning against the republican attack machine, and their unlimited money, and resources.

But it is absolutely essential that the democrats take back the Whitehouse in November. America, and the American people are in a very desperate condition now. And the whole World has been doing all that they can to help keep us propped up.

Hillary Clinton say's that the heat, and decisions in the Whitehouse are much tougher than the ones on the campaign trail. But I think Mr. Obama faces a test of whether he has what it takes to be a commander and chief by facing the difficult facts, and the truth before him. And by doing what is best for the American people by dropping out of the race, and offering his whole hearted assistance to Hillary Clinton to help her take back the Whitehouse for the American people, and the World.

Mr. Obama is a great speaker. And I am confident he can explain to the American people the need, and wisdom of such a personal sacrifice for them. It should be clear to everyone by now that Hillary Clinton is fighting her heart out for the American people. She has known for a long time that Mr. Obama can not win this November. You have to remember that the Clinton's have won the Whitehouse twice before. They know what it takes.

If Mr. Obama fails his test of commander and chief we can only hope that Hillary Clinton can continue her heroic fight for the American people. And that she prevails. She will need all the continual support and help we can give her. She may fight like a superhuman. But she is only human.

Sen. Hillary Clinton: "You know, more people have now voted for me than have voted for my opponent. In fact, I now have more votes than anybody has ever had in a primary contest for a nomination. And it's also clear that we've got nine more important contests to go."

Sincerely

Jacksmith... Working Class :-)

CS

The problem I see is that so much of the black vote has become personally identified with Obama. If he wins a majority of delegates (as seems likely) but Hillary is given the nomination by the superdelegates, this could come across as the political establishment blocking the first black presidential candidiate despite his having won fair and square. So, come the general election, the black voters could stay at home in droves as a protest.

CS

I had to smile when I reached the bit about Hillary's heroic fight for the American people. That's taking enthusiasm a little far, isn't it?

Plus, American spelling can be confusing. When you said that: "Hillary Clinton seemed almost SOMBER at her Pennsylvania victory speech", I initially misread that as: "Hillary Clinton seemed almost SOBER at her Pennsylvania victory speech."

Water

Anyone seen the picture of her on the Economist site today? Her smile seems distinctly reminiscent of someone on this side of the pond.

Max Kaye

Jacksmith, the only thing that stands between Hilary Clinton and the Presidency is the American People.

You're gonna love President McCain. As for the 'whole World': it can can go stuff itself: it don't pay US taxes.

Cassius

Clearly, if you want McCain to win in November, then you should hope Obama takes the Democratic nomination - and that has nothing to do with the relative merits of Clinton and Obama.
Much as she comes across as (or is) an unattractive character, surely she would provide a better contest against McCain.
if Obama were to beat Clinton, I foresee most of non-black America of Democratic persuasion crossing to McCain in droves.

Kevyn Bodman

Obama has been rumbled; it's just not clear if he's been rumbled in time for the nomination to fall away from him.

He's an attractive orator, but what else is he?Has he been an effective senator?
He's been in the Senate a couple of years and for nearly all that time has been running for the Presidency. (Remember that he knew he was running before he declared his candidacy to the public.)
So I suggest he hasn't been doing the job for which he has been paid by the taxpayer, and he hasn't even learned the ropes.
He was given an easy ride in the early stages,partly because some stupid liberals thought it would be 'racist' to examine a black candidate with rigour that might be thought aggressive.
One of my colleagues is a black New Yorker, and he believes that a lot of silly white liberals have been voting for Obama to congratulate themselves on their own liberalism.
But Geraldine Ferraro had it right; if Obama was white his candidacy would have been laughed out of town.

But lately his candisacy has had the sort of examination it should have received months ago, and he's been exposed as an empty suit, at best.
His association with that 'God Damn Ameerica' pastor should be enough, on its own, to sink him. And he was associated with him for 26 years, until he got rumbled.
But we still don't know if he's been rumbled in time.

Benjamin

Talk about cherrypicking information.
The poll you are referring to polled only registered Democrats. Among likely voters he is up 12 in another poll (which gets the same numbers for Democrats stricto sensu).
And he is up 5 in the daily tracking poll with a larger sample by the same polling company.

Mac

Barack Obama will be the 44th President of the United States of America. Guaranteed.

Verity

Kevin Bodman - Agreed. Had Obama been white - which he is, actually, exactly as much as he is black - he would never have become a major contender.

He certainly is an elegant man, and nice looking and a very good speaker, except his speeches are empty of all meaning. "Change you can believe in." What does that mean, exactly? But his delivery is great.

I thought the way he trashed his white grandmother, who loved him and helped raise him, was appalling. And yes, he was running for the presidency the minute he got elected to the US Senate. That's the only reason he stood.

Even if he couldn't lose the nomination on his own - which he can - Rev Wright would have done for him, as would the 26-year association with him. Also his wife, Mrs Ticked-Off, has had a role in his decline.

But mainly, now the novelty has worn off, people are seeing him for the man he actually is, and he has no ballast.