The acclaimed young Republican writer, Reihan Salam, says that McCain can win the presidency if he appeals relentlessly to the non-college-educated white middle class, pursues family-friendly tax reform and stands for global peace through American strength
During the Saddleback Civil Forum, the celebrated evangelical pastor Rick Warren asked McCain to name a time when he went against his party’s interests and his own interests to serve a higher cause. McCain’s answer was instructive. He chose the time when he opposed Ronald Reagan’s decision to deploy US Marines to Lebanon on a peace-keeping mission.
‘My knowledge and my background told me that a few hundred Marines in a situation like that could not successfully carry out any kind of peacekeeping mission. And I thought they were going into harm’s way. Tragically, as many of you recall, there was a bombing in the Marine barracks and well over 100 brave Marines gave their lives. But it was tough, that vote, because I went against the president I believed in, and the party that believed that maybe I was disloyal very early in my political career.’
McCain’s meaning is clear. Whereas Democratic partisans accuse McCain of being a warmonger, the truth is that he believes that force should be used sparingly. And he believes that when force is used, it must be used effectively and with a clear goal in mind, a belief that was at the centre of his dispute with Donald Rumsfeld. Barack Obama and the Democrats made great hay out of McCain’s assertion that it would be fine for US troops to remain in Iraq for 100 years provided there were no casualties. What they don’t mention is that in 2004 McCain explicitly opposed the creation of permanent US bases in Iraq. Whereas Obama’s foreign policy ideol- ogy led him to oppose the surge, McCain’s foreign policy pragmatism will make him a more effective commander-in-chief. That is a message McCain needs to get across.
There’s no guarantee that McCain will take any of these steps. And there’s no guarantee of victory if he does. But if McCain can forcefully advance policies that make it easier for working- and middle-class Americans to get ahead, he will leave the Republican party in fighting trim. The next Democratic Congress will have to live up to its grandiose promises — vastly to expand federal involvement in healthcare while cutting taxes, to reduce carbon emissions without punishing coal-producing regions or drivers or blue-collar workers, to raise trade barriers while keeping the cost of goods and services low. And when they falter, it will be a renewed, reformist Republican party that will take their place.
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YoYo
August 28th, 2008 4:43pm Report this commentA fascinating essay on mainly domestic policy.
You mention the Iraq surge and what a shame it took so long. Rumsfeld spectacularly misfired by trying to run a war on the fly. It was the first ever time that such a small ratio of troops was used in something of that nature, with the idea that they'd be fleet of foot and able set a template for any other commander in chief faced with similar problems who wanted to get in and out quickly without getting bogged down.
That and the decision to dissolve so much of the Iraqi government cost the defence of the West a great deal of credibility.
That said, Presidential reputations are usually reappraised with the passage of time and as people get to grips with what we are up against they may one day thank Bush in a way that seems inconceivable now.
Joe Camel
August 30th, 2008 12:38am Report this commentI'd like to read what Reihan Salam has to say about Sarah Palin as McCain's VP candidate, and what difference she makes to the outlook for the election. The announcement came only today, of course (Friday), after this issue of the Speccie was already on the newsstands.
Ben
August 31st, 2008 12:24am Report this commentToo bad Reihan's book, and indeed this article, were written before Obama's superb speech accepting the nomination in Denver. Obama basically dealt with all the points mentioned by Reihan. And anyway, how can McCain suddently do a 180 degree policy shift at this late stage. He can't become an ultra Democrat overnight, and even if he tried, Obama occupied that ground in Denver. It's over, Republicans. You truly are the Grand OLD party.
Alexander
September 2nd, 2008 5:20pm Report this commentBen said "It's over, Republicans"
Not really -- the vote in the electoral college is very close. If McCain carries Virginia (which is too close to call) and Colorado (where the two candidates have been trading leads), and otherwise every other state keeps in the same column as it currently is in, then McCain wins.
Tertium Quid
September 2nd, 2008 11:44pm Report this commentI've not read the essay here, but just glancing at these comments about it, I sense that it has to do with who will win the US Presidency, McCain or Obama. Maybe the commenters also musing about this are Brits, or otherwise non-Yanks. I hope so. Let me save all of you any more trouble, if I may.
1. It doesn't matter who wins as between Tweedle Dum and Tweedle Dee, from different branches of the Republocrat storefront facade. It really, truly doesn't. Not a dime's
s worth of difference, as has been said before. Now, the way this whole thing is played in the media, you wouldn't think this is true. But take my word--it is. Don't start thinking it isn't, just because masses of Americans don't recognize it: they're (we're) always the last ones to figure these things out even about our own country. This can confuse non-Yanks, but don't let it: just remember what I'm telling you here.
2. If you want to think or (Heaven help you) worry about this anyway, Tweedle Dum (McCain) will win. There's never been the slightest doubt about it since the nominations were determined for both divisions of the party. Truly. Of course, we've got to keep on about it, to sell newspapers, entertain the hordes, keep them from getting restless, etc. But there's your answer: President McCain. Again, not that it matters, but since you're wondering.
3. Now you can go have some fun, do some other things.
You're welcome.
David Short
September 3rd, 2008 3:13pm Report this commentTertium Quid is right. As Gore Vidal said, the Democrats and Republicans are two wings of the same party.
We have reached this stage with Labour and Conservative here.
I could never understand why American colleagues felt vehemently Democratic (possibly because it just made them feel less guilty about being well-off and safe in a largely poor and dangerous world).
Same now with Labour here.
Meanwhile China is cleaning up in the rest of the world, while spending its defence budget more productively on controlling the South China Sea.
Ames Tiedeman
September 8th, 2008 3:47am Report this commentMcCain will win. The American people will never put a man in the White House who sat in a church for 20 years that was run by a pastor who hates America. The Democrats can dream all they want. When individual Americans are in their voting booth and they can go with either a patriotic American or vote for the man married to Michelle Obama, they will chose McCain. Any man that has a pastor who is a complete racist against the majority of Americans is not fit to be the Commander in Chief. The American people understand this. Of all people, Obama himself should recognize this. After all, isn't it Mr. Obama who keep telling everyone that "words matter?"
Bob Skye, Hoboken NJ
October 8th, 2008 7:55pm Report this commentAlong with the self-evident excuses as to the ways McCain should win the election, which we Yanks have long known and have subsequently overcome, the author seems to disregard recent attempts by Sara Palin to incite to riot. If the average beer-guzzling Joe out there had played crowds to scream "Kill him," and to toss racial epithets at innocent cameramen, they'd be in irons by now. McCain's feeble attempt to revive the Bundt has already comeback by smacking the candidate's not-so-hidden contempt for "That one.
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