In British politics, the Europe question always comes to embody the problems that a Prime Minister faces. So Gordon Brown will fly back from Lisbon with a treaty that emphasises that he is scared of putting things to the country and that he spins just as much as his predecessor ever did. With the ratification process expected to run for six months, Mr. Brown faces prolonged trouble over this document and maybe even his first large scale Labour rebellion.
The Prime Minister can expect to fly back from the Lisbon summit on Friday with a document which — whatever his claims to the contrary — might have been drafted specifically to symbolise all his alleged failings and to amplify the criticisms levelled against him since he ruled out a November election. His announcement in an interview with Andrew Marr that he would not be going to the country instantly sparked accusations not only of cowardice but of deviousness: the PM found himself accused on all sides of being unable to level with the British public, of evasiveness and running scared of the electorate. In the EU Treaty he has a document that seems to have been designed specifically to deceive them: to take the British people for fools, to borrow David Cameron’s favourite new soundbite. Mr Brown’s critics have always claimed that he governs by cabal and ignores his party. What better example of that claim?
Very early on in his premiership, Mr Brown has become a victim of an unwritten rule in British politics: the Europe debate soon becomes a proxy for whatever troubles the Prime Minister faces. Harold Wilson called a referendum in 1975 not because of any constitutional conviction, but to prevent his party from splitting top-to-toe and to use Europe as a means to fight and win his battle with Labour’s left, which regarded the Common Market as a capitalist cabal.
For Thatcher, ‘Europe’ came to embody the complaint that she had become too divisive a leader, deaf to the entreaties of her Cabinet. She never recovered from the threatened rebellion of Nigel Lawson and Geoffrey Howe prior to the Madrid summit in 1989. The Maastricht debacle of 1992-93 transformed the ratification of a Treaty into what amounted to a series of confidence votes, exposed John Major as a weak leader, unable to control his party and hidebound by its divisions, and paved the way for the leadership contest of 1995 and the Labour landslide of 1997. For Tony Blair, Europe symbolised the perennial conflict between his ideals and political reality. In 1997, he wanted to end what he saw as generations of equivocation about Europe, enter the single currency, and then steer the project from its centre. He was convinced he could bring voters round. But public opinion was unmovable, a ‘concrete block’, as Philip Gould repeatedly told him. But the larger obstacle Mr Blair encountered came in the shape of Gordon Brown.
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Brian Walker
October 17th, 2007 11:34pm Report this commentThis, as you must know as a Scot, is a bit phooey. The Celtic referenda were about setting up wholly new institutions - without incidentally giving the English say. Are the poor English referendum-starved? Not a bit of it. Why do the Tories want middle England to adopt one of the least attractive Celtic postures and become an aggrieved society? Of course Cameron will make quite a bit of capital out of Labour going back on its 2005 word. But that will hardly shape the defining trend that wrecks Gordon's reputation with a generally Euro-indifferent public. So come on, good try, but you know I'm right.
Sarah Shane
October 18th, 2007 11:28am Report this commentA good piece but with a peculiar omission, given the title. In his November 1990 resignation speech, Geoffrey Howe said, "But it is crucially important that we should conduct those arguments upon the basis of a clear understanding of the true relationship between this country, the Community and our Community partners. And it is here, I fear, that my right hon Friend the Prime Minister increasingly risks leading herself and others astray in matters of substance as well as of style." (And there followed much more in that vein.) It's no exaggeration to say that Thatcher, too, was felled by the "Europe question". Never mind Major...
Gervas Douglas
October 18th, 2007 11:57am Report this commentI cannot imagine why commentators were so naive to portray Brown as a man of integrity. If you examine his record as Chancellor, he had a great talent for making speeches which were totally belied by his actions - the crypto-communist talking grandly of free markets.
Lior Cox
October 18th, 2007 12:20pm Report this commentThe English ARE referenda starved. The Europe obsessed Ted Heath (late of the International Brigades of the Spanish Civil War) took us into Europe in what was to amount to the Westminster Parliament's last independent act. Harold Wilson (earning himself MBE for eating sandwiches under trying conditions during the war when the rest of the country was saving Europe from itself) spent other people's money - as was his wont - in a hollow gesture of a referendum knowing the nation had been grandiloquently lied to. Since then, the Scots and Welsh have been allowed to determine their own national destinies (and the "Troubles" in Northern Ireland have boiled down to water rates - a spurious excuse to kill). By the time we stop fantasizing that the United Kingdom still exists, Gordon Brown will have gone the way of all British prime ministers since entry into Europe - because of Europe. His one big problem is not however Europe. It is because he's a Scot who thinks he's English. There will then emerge from the non-global warming recesses of the Conservative Party a representative of the majority of these islands' population, an Englishman, who will rightly determine that Europe is a 1950s answer to a 1930s problem and admitting that whatever the UK was is no more, take England out of its domestic union and that of Europe as well. And good riddence to the lot of 'em. We may then have a debate as to whether England is best allied to the other English-speaking peoples much as Winston Churchill envisaged, or content to be a small independent nation alongside others in the North Sea Area like Norway and Iceland. Perhaps the Maritime Provinces of Canada will join her when Canada finally splits up and bits of it join the USA. Whatever happens will be the fine print, however. As to Scotland and Wales and Ireland, I wouldn't dare pronounce. I am an Englishman, and this referendum-starved creature is no longer allowed to pass comment. But English independence outside both unions is now the country's destiny and we had better get used to the idea. Because this is what the future holds.
Chris
October 18th, 2007 4:28pm Report this commentThis article drips with the author's wishful thinking. "Europe" or rather its extreme wing's xenophobia (except for in relation to the Americans whose every demand they would follow to the letter) has destroyed the conservative party and continues to do so. It's the tories that have the problem. Despite the fact that the British have given anti-European parties a minute share of the vote at every chance - look what happened to Michael Foot's labour and the tories under that ridiculous clown Hague - we are constantly told we are against the EU. We are not. We, the British, are a European people, as anyone with any real patriotism understands. Our future and our best interest lies in Europe. It's very sad for Britain that until the tories realise that (a few mad old men have to shuffle of before that can happen), we have no effective opposition to a pretty awful government.
John Buckham
October 18th, 2007 11:19pm Report this commentI really do start to wonder what gun is being held to the head of PMs when they get into that office. Is it the foreign office, all those advisors, or is something darker afoot? I can't believe SIS are pro-EU - or have we got that wrong. What is being played here, apart from anti-democratic forces? The people know they have been had - this continues more of the same. If he showed vision on this he could win over the country. There's so much talent in the UK - if it was allowed to rip the country would be leaving the rest of the EU behind in a decade. Can someone find Mr. Brown's ear - if he presses on this really is the start of the Tory's route back to power - if they grasp it.
George Steiner
October 19th, 2007 3:46am Report this commentI expect, the patriotic Chris speaks at least a half a dozen of the 24 European languages
John Francis
October 20th, 2007 9:34am Report this commentMr Brown proved his greatness by keeping us out of the Euro when Mr Blair was at his zenith. The whole thrust of British policy since Mr MacMillan was PM has been to do what ever "Europe" wanted. Mr Brown has done more than the Conservative Eurosceptics or anyone else to protect British interests.
Alexander Stilwell
October 24th, 2007 2:15pm Report this commentThe point is surely not why we are being led up the garden path by both New Labour and the European Union, but what we are in danger of losing and why we are in danger of losing a great deal more than the Continental European nations, many of whom are either comparatively new to democracy or recently created. The Spectator would do a service to its readers by producing a thumbnail sketch of the English constitution and its institutions, encompassing habeas corpus, the common law, Magna Carta, and all the rest of it.
Gerard Flannery
October 24th, 2007 8:31pm Report this commentGordon Brown might have some problems with Europe right now, but compared to Cameron,they are nothing.Cameron clamoured for Brown to give in and say yes to a referendum (something Cameron would never do,nor would he ever dare to.Europe is still the Tory weakness)This is the subject which will destroy them,just wait and see.
Anthony Hill
April 29th, 2009 5:14pm Report this commentOur Gord thought he could walk on water but he didnt know how the people thought about sly spin its going to drown him
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