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Gordon Brown’s EU treaty nightmare

Once again, Europe threatens to devour another British PM

20 October 2007

In British politics, the Europe question always comes to embody the problems that a Prime Minister faces. So Gordon Brown will fly back from Lisbon with a treaty that emphasises that he is scared of putting things to the country and that he spins just as much as his predecessor ever did. With the ratification process expected to run for six months, Mr. Brown faces prolonged trouble over this document and maybe even his first large scale Labour rebellion. 

The PM hopes the Conservatives will be split again. But his greater hurdle will be the cohesion of the Labour party. As with Major, Europe is becoming emblematic of other problems, the prism through which the PM’s fortunes are seen--including his handling of his own party. The toecap-staring that can be seen on the Labour benches on Wednesdays, as Mr Brown stumbles through another Prime Minister’s Questions, reflects more than embarrassment. It is a symptom of a growing feeling among Labour MPs that Mr Brown neither knows nor cares what his party thinks. The animosity between senior ministers and parliamentary party was equally clear in the hostile exchanges between David Miliband and the European Scrutiny Committee on Tuesday. Threatening rebellion over the EU treaty would certainly be an effective way of grabbing the PM’s attention.

With a 69-seat majority, it takes 35 rebels to defeat the government. A recent tally by the Sunday Telegraph shows that 13 Labour MPs have already broken with the party line on Europe and there may be 40 rebels in total. The risk Mr Brown faces is that general discontent--or simply neglected egos--crystallises into mutiny over the ratification. The PM could call the rebels’ bluff, and say that a defeat for the Treaty would amount to a no-confidence vote. But far better to resolve tensions before such brinkmanship.

This means Mr Brown switching tactics. Even in private, he dismisses talk of a referendum by giving mini-lectures about the British doctrine of parliamentary sovereignty. Yet he knows too much history to consider himself on solid ground. Referendums were identified as a legitimate part of the parliamentary apparatus in 1890 by A.V. Dicey, the great jurist whose works are considered one of the foundation stones of Britain’s uncodified constitution. Refer­endums, he said, are the only sound way to check a Commons majority when great changes are afoot.

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Brian Walker

October 17th, 2007 11:34pm Report this comment

This, as you must know as a Scot, is a bit phooey. The Celtic referenda were about setting up wholly new institutions - without incidentally giving the English say. Are the poor English referendum-starved? Not a bit of it. Why do the Tories want middle England to adopt one of the least attractive Celtic postures and become an aggrieved society? Of course Cameron will make quite a bit of capital out of Labour going back on its 2005 word. But that will hardly shape the defining trend that wrecks Gordon's reputation with a generally Euro-indifferent public. So come on, good try, but you know I'm right.

Sarah Shane

October 18th, 2007 11:28am Report this comment

A good piece but with a peculiar omission, given the title. In his November 1990 resignation speech, Geoffrey Howe said, "But it is crucially important that we should conduct those arguments upon the basis of a clear understanding of the true relationship between this country, the Community and our Community partners. And it is here, I fear, that my right hon Friend the Prime Minister increasingly risks leading herself and others astray in matters of substance as well as of style." (And there followed much more in that vein.) It's no exaggeration to say that Thatcher, too, was felled by the "Europe question". Never mind Major...

Gervas Douglas

October 18th, 2007 11:57am Report this comment

I cannot imagine why commentators were so naive to portray Brown as a man of integrity. If you examine his record as Chancellor, he had a great talent for making speeches which were totally belied by his actions - the crypto-communist talking grandly of free markets.

Lior Cox

October 18th, 2007 12:20pm Report this comment

The English ARE referenda starved. The Europe obsessed Ted Heath (late of the International Brigades of the Spanish Civil War) took us into Europe in what was to amount to the Westminster Parliament's last independent act. Harold Wilson (earning himself MBE for eating sandwiches under trying conditions during the war when the rest of the country was saving Europe from itself) spent other people's money - as was his wont - in a hollow gesture of a referendum knowing the nation had been grandiloquently lied to. Since then, the Scots and Welsh have been allowed to determine their own national destinies (and the "Troubles" in Northern Ireland have boiled down to water rates - a spurious excuse to kill). By the time we stop fantasizing that the United Kingdom still exists, Gordon Brown will have gone the way of all British prime ministers since entry into Europe - because of Europe. His one big problem is not however Europe. It is because he's a Scot who thinks he's English. There will then emerge from the non-global warming recesses of the Conservative Party a representative of the majority of these islands' population, an Englishman, who will rightly determine that Europe is a 1950s answer to a 1930s problem and admitting that whatever the UK was is no more, take England out of its domestic union and that of Europe as well. And good riddence to the lot of 'em. We may then have a debate as to whether England is best allied to the other English-speaking peoples much as Winston Churchill envisaged, or content to be a small independent nation alongside others in the North Sea Area like Norway and Iceland. Perhaps the Maritime Provinces of Canada will join her when Canada finally splits up and bits of it join the USA. Whatever happens will be the fine print, however. As to Scotland and Wales and Ireland, I wouldn't dare pronounce. I am an Englishman, and this referendum-starved creature is no longer allowed to pass comment. But English independence outside both unions is now the country's destiny and we had better get used to the idea. Because this is what the future holds.

Chris

October 18th, 2007 4:28pm Report this comment

This article drips with the author's wishful thinking. "Europe" or rather its extreme wing's xenophobia (except for in relation to the Americans whose every demand they would follow to the letter) has destroyed the conservative party and continues to do so. It's the tories that have the problem. Despite the fact that the British have given anti-European parties a minute share of the vote at every chance - look what happened to Michael Foot's labour and the tories under that ridiculous clown Hague - we are constantly told we are against the EU. We are not. We, the British, are a European people, as anyone with any real patriotism understands. Our future and our best interest lies in Europe. It's very sad for Britain that until the tories realise that (a few mad old men have to shuffle of before that can happen), we have no effective opposition to a pretty awful government.

John Buckham

October 18th, 2007 11:19pm Report this comment

I really do start to wonder what gun is being held to the head of PMs when they get into that office. Is it the foreign office, all those advisors, or is something darker afoot? I can't believe SIS are pro-EU - or have we got that wrong. What is being played here, apart from anti-democratic forces? The people know they have been had - this continues more of the same. If he showed vision on this he could win over the country. There's so much talent in the UK - if it was allowed to rip the country would be leaving the rest of the EU behind in a decade. Can someone find Mr. Brown's ear - if he presses on this really is the start of the Tory's route back to power - if they grasp it.

George Steiner

October 19th, 2007 3:46am Report this comment

I expect, the patriotic Chris speaks at least a half a dozen of the 24 European languages

John Francis

October 20th, 2007 9:34am Report this comment

Mr Brown proved his greatness by keeping us out of the Euro when Mr Blair was at his zenith. The whole thrust of British policy since Mr MacMillan was PM has been to do what ever "Europe" wanted. Mr Brown has done more than the Conservative Eurosceptics or anyone else to protect British interests.

Alexander Stilwell

October 24th, 2007 2:15pm Report this comment

The point is surely not why we are being led up the garden path by both New Labour and the European Union, but what we are in danger of losing and why we are in danger of losing a great deal more than the Continental European nations, many of whom are either comparatively new to democracy or recently created. The Spectator would do a service to its readers by producing a thumbnail sketch of the English constitution and its institutions, encompassing habeas corpus, the common law, Magna Carta, and all the rest of it.

Gerard Flannery

October 24th, 2007 8:31pm Report this comment

Gordon Brown might have some problems with Europe right now, but compared to Cameron,they are nothing.Cameron clamoured for Brown to give in and say yes to a referendum (something Cameron would never do,nor would he ever dare to.Europe is still the Tory weakness)This is the subject which will destroy them,just wait and see.

Anthony Hill

April 29th, 2009 5:14pm Report this comment

Our Gord thought he could walk on water but he didnt know how the people thought about sly spin its going to drown him

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