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A thorn in Gordon Brown’s side

‘The largest thorn in the side of Gordon Brown’

24 November 2007

Alex Salmond would like the next government to be Tory

He spends much time talking about his proposed lion economy. ‘If I got my way in corporation tax, there would be a stampede up the M74 and we would have to be fending off the major international corporations who want to take advantage of our low taxes.’ But until he gets his hands on the independence tool kit, and lays hands on an economy which has been the third-worst performers in Europe since 1997, he will cut local business taxes and seek to stoke growth.

I put to him that he faces a larger, social obstacle. Some 17 per cent of Scotland is on benefits, and behind this lies world-class poverty. Life expectancy in some parts of Glasgow is 54 years, lower than Sudan or Cambodia. The author Ian Rankin talks of the ‘self-destruct gene in the Scottish character. We know smoking, binge drinking and the lack of exercise doom us to this early grave, yet we’re addicted to that which destroys us.’

Does Mr Salmond see it this way? ‘As a nation, Scotland has inflicted self-harm to a great extent. Poverty is the main indicator for life expectancy, but we have added to our problems.’ So what will he do about the unholy trinity of the Scottish diet: smoking, alcohol and fatty foods? ‘To be fair, my predecessor [Jack McConnell] made substantial inroads into the last of these [the smoking ban], and the present government plans to make substantial inroads into the second. As for fatty foods, well maybe the Commonwealth Games will mobilise a different attitude.’

Beating Nigeria to host the 2014 Games is perhaps Mr Salmond’s greatest achievement to date. He did for Glasgow what Tony Blair did for London: charmed judges, and acted like a statesman. This is his strength. He is by a mile the most articulate member of the Scottish Parliament (never a very hotly contested field) which is why his personal popularity outstrips that of his separatist cause. About a quarter of the public back independence, a figure that barely moves from one year to the next. So if Mr Salmond held his referendum, he’d lose.

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JohnMcDonald

November 22nd, 2007 9:18am Report this comment

Gosh, these Jocks are devilishly clever. Sidling up to royalty, using their local lingo to ingratiate themselves with the natives. What ever next? I hear tell there are even some living in Nottinghill!

Richard

November 22nd, 2007 9:33am Report this comment

But why should any English person wish anything but success to Mr Salmond? It is more than possible that both England and Scotland would do very well by the end of the Union: it would, after all, be the end of Labour north and south of the Border.

Border Reiver

November 22nd, 2007 11:44am Report this comment

Dear Mr Nelson, Thank you for another interesting interview. The people North of the Hadrian's Wall are Tory in their hearts: David Hume, Sir Walter Scott et al. Parochial yes, but also pragmatic and modern. Last night, Scots obviously took glee at England's Euro performance. However, in the pubs they do concern themselves with the issues expressed in the Daily Mail and Telegraph. Viceroy Brown and some of his ilk - as Fraser has pointed out- were winners of the Labour clan-wars of the '80s. The desire for control of any bit of government with a Highland charge of quasi-socialist beneovelnce has left many of us Scots in the twilight. Alex Salmond is a fine communicator. Watching our local SNP 'numpty' I sometimes doubt whether they have the real spirit to transform Scotland into a 'Celtic Lion'. If the Tories still had a predominately blue logo it would chime with the St Andrews Cross. Most of the big Scottish Tory beasts have gone instinct anyway. Maybe the best way is to let each Kingdom support itself and all support the Great British football team!

Gervas Douglas

November 22nd, 2007 4:28pm Report this comment

He is a clever operator, Alec Salmond - not to be underestimated. Scotland in the late 19th century was a rich, entrepreneurial country. It is no more naturally socialist than Catalonia, whose socialist stance in Franco's era was largely a reaction against Madrid. If an independent Scotland had to finance its own government's expenditure I suspect that the Scottish middle classes would defect from socialist parties like Labour and the DimLebs faster than an Argyll Campbell would change sides on a battlefield.

Jamie

November 22nd, 2007 6:41pm Report this comment

I wish Alex Salmond and the SNP well. They have lifted the spirits of the Scottish nation. Labour had its chance and failed miserably. Time for a better tomorrow.

Simon Bannister

November 22nd, 2007 7:39pm Report this comment

A Tory Government, it's majority based on Englsh seats, will lead Scotland out of the Union inside 2-3 years! David Cameron will go down like a lead balloon North of the Border. The politics behind his Anglo-Majority will leave him unable and perhaps unwilling to mount a robust defence of the Union. In the other countries support will also wane with the Tories back in Office (it isn't exactly strong nowadays anyway). I look forward to the end of the British State which exists largely to provide a big stage for our politicians to strut and fret upon, is increasingly remote from those it governs and prone to bizarre imperial throwbacks in overseas wars (Mesapotamia and the North West Frontier are still places where British Soldiers fight and die...in 2007!!) and in lofty pronouncements on the doings of Foreign Powers.
Salmond is right - lets end this thing and do it swiftly. Also great fun to wind-up Gordon Broon!
Simon Bannister, Brighton (England)

Steve

November 23rd, 2007 10:04am Report this comment

Interesting article, I remember thinking to myself before GB became PM that his Premiership was likely to be short, unhappy and dominated by Scotland. But due to the general level of catastrophic incompetence currently on display, the Scottish problem is currently submerged, it won't go away though, it is one of those "dreary steeples of Fermanagh and South Tyrone" issues that are always there no matter what other issues they are buried under. One thing I would put good money on as an election draws near, is a whispering campaign around whether a Scot (i.e. Brown) is truly able to command a largely English House, where legislation can be made that does not affect his own constituents - a sort of WLQ with knobs on.

Richard Thomson

November 23rd, 2007 2:14pm Report this comment

"There is plenty of question, not least from government figures suggesting England is subsidising Scotland to the tune of £11 billion a year" Rubbish, Fraser. You can't exclude oil, and neither can you exclude the share of that (hotly disputed) number which arises as a result of the UK as a whole borrowing £35bn this year to balance the books. It's a bit cheeky to claim that money borrowed to cover expenditure in all parts of the UK, including England, can represent a subsidy from England to Scotland! "And what is not in doubt is that Scotland’s state spending per head is some 24 per cent higher than England’s" Oh yes it is in doubt. Even the worst esimates only put it at 55% of GDP, compared to the UK's 43%. Including North Sea revenues in the UK calculation but excluding them from the Scottish calculation (which would take Scotland's figure to 41%), is a piece of creative accounting of which Enron would be proud.

Martin

November 23rd, 2007 4:56pm Report this comment

I am English but I don't buy the England-is-subsidising-Scotland thing. How much of the corporation tax paid from London head offices is sourced from Scotland? How fast would it return North if Scotland had lower corporation tax rates? And how much of the obscene spending on management consultants and lawyers in London is "allocated" to Scotland? With Scotland's oil, I would be amazed if they weren't paying their way at least. Oil is 100 dollars a barrel.

Jason

November 26th, 2007 10:08pm Report this comment

Just a thought . Did you remind Mr Salmond that Scotland's share of the £590 billion or so of British national debt ( not counting pensions ) is ,at the Barnett Rules level of funding for Scotland of 11.75% of British govt. expenditure, some £69.325 billion . This is the debt that Scotland must take away at English independence . They can service it easily with all those oil revenues so shouldn't be too much of a problem !

Terry

November 27th, 2007 12:44pm Report this comment

Devolution was Labour’s attempt to neuter Scottish independence and at the same time ring fence a Labour stronghold that would be beyond the reach of the Tories. A Labour plan that failed! Could it be true? Maybe they'll resort to that other fool proof Labour plan. After all, Scotland does have weapons of mass destruction (Trident) AND oil... so it should be a just war, eh Gordon?!

Glen Gillespie

November 27th, 2007 8:49pm Report this comment

Jason: Just a thought as you say. Under the treaty of union Scotland is entiteld to exactly 50% of all UK assets. 69 billion is small change compared to what England shall pay Scotland in this divorce settelment.

Terry

November 28th, 2007 10:03am Report this comment

How so Glen? I assume you'll be accounting for the past 300 years and not just the last 30? If so you'll remember to add in the money sent by the Goshen Proportion as well as what's owed under the Barnett Formula, won't you?

Ross

December 7th, 2007 2:11am Report this comment

Re the question of the portion of the historically incurred national debt that Scotland might accept on separation from the United Kingdom we should take the precedent set by the separation of the Irish Free State. After all Scotland's population had no ability to deny the overwhelming English majority in its determination of how large the debt, or surplus, would be.

Alasdair

December 11th, 2007 7:04am Report this comment

Terry, Nonsense! Current assets only.

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