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‘Global warming is not our most urgent priority’

11 June 2008

Bjørn Lomborg, the controversial Danish economist, tells James Delingpole that it is better to spend our limited funds on saving lives than on saving the planet

Its conclusions are hardly likely to win Lomborg new fans in the eco movement, for global warming comes so far down the list of urgent priorities that it doesn’t make the top ten. Far better to spend our limited pool of development aid money, say the economists, on schemes like micronutrient supplements (vitamin A and zinc) for malnourished children. For an annual outlay of only $60 million this would result in yearly benefits (through improved health, fewer deaths, increased earnings) worth more than $1 billion.

Also high on the list are unglamorous things like expanded immunisation coverage for children; deworming programmes in Third World schools; and community-based nutrition promotion. Number two on the recommended list is the — highly unlikely given resistance from the US and the EU — implementation of the Doha development agenda. Ending the trade tariffs, in other words, which are immeasurably to the developing world’s disadvantage.

‘It’s true that in the battle between exciting problems and boring problems we are defenders of the boring problems,’ agrees Lomborg, when I suggest that polar bears on melting ice caps tug the heartstrings far more effectively than flyblown African urchins. ‘Our uphill task is to try to show that problems involving the greatest pictures and the cutest animals are not necessarily the most pressing issues.’

This is the sort of dull pragmatism that so often gets Lomborg into trouble. People will read him saying that the threat to polar bears has been somewhat exaggerated, given that their global population has increased fivefold since the 1960s, and they’ll think: ‘Heartless, evil Bush shill, probably in the pay of Big Oil.’ Whereas all Lomborg is actually saying in his remorselessly logical, Danish statistics professor’s way, is: ‘Let’s take emotion and hysteria and fluffy white fur out of the argument and try to seek the objective truth.’

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Comments Post comment

Reg

June 12th, 2008 10:19pm Report this comment

Is feeding all these billions of additional humans really such a good idea? Or has Bjorn abandoned one woolly cause for another? I'm only asking.

TDK

June 13th, 2008 4:36pm Report this comment

In answer to Reg, the birthrate of rich countries is lower than that of the poor. The most widely held reasons being that (a) if lots of children die before maturity then you need to have a lot of them to guarantee some survive and (b) who will look after you when you become old if not your children.

Therefore assisting poor countries to escape their poverty may be the best means to end the population explosion.

That's not to say that all interventions are equally good. Ending CAP might even be seen as an end to an intervention. I certainly approve 100% of that step.

L Stewart

June 13th, 2008 8:00pm Report this comment

There are indeed many more important things for the West to spend its money on before
'global warming', including the West itself. I have no expertise on the subject, and no personal axe to grind as to whether the phenomenon is man-made or not. If the evidence is there I am perfectly willing to be convinced: but when I see its advocates are very often the same people who take up a dogmatic stance on any subject where they believe the West and/or its values can be faulted, and resort to the same tactics of distortion, avoidance of inconvenient facts, obfuscation, coercion, slander, and personal abuse against anyone who dares to offer a contrary opinion, I am very, very cautious.

In this country we have education, health, the armed forces and many other worthwhile causes to spend our own money on, before we look for another excuse to pour it into the bottomless pit of Third World demands.

Chris

June 14th, 2008 12:39am Report this comment

Dissing polar bears is the worst possible 'lackey of Bush' allegation. The US has just declared them an endangered species, despite there being no evidence that they are. Maybe bears have votes in the Pacific northwest?

Sarah Salam

June 15th, 2008 2:32am Report this comment

At last, reason. Well done. Brainwash those who never question into staring at the sky in fear. Meanwhile, in an impoverished world, introduce a nifty carbon credit card tax, passenger surcharge tax etc etc survival of the richest, poor polar bears? hardly...what price humanity? First class interview, content and style, thank you both. btw, holocaust revisionism an EU crime?

Hugh_Jorgan

June 17th, 2008 12:38am Report this comment

Heretic! Burn him at once!

Dodgy Geezer

June 18th, 2008 9:37am Report this comment

Anyone who looks at the maths knows that, not only is Global Warming not our most urgent priority, it's not even an issue at all!

I'm not interested in arguing politics with anyone. Look at a technical pro site (Real Climate) and an anti site (Climate Audit) and make your own mind up.

This is a scientific issue, NOT a political one!!!

Water

June 18th, 2008 10:03am Report this comment

There is a degree of truth about the man, though I have a great deal of sympathy for the environmentalists he’s hardly the Anti-Christ. A sense of priority, as he guns for, is deeply respectable and hardly the words of Beelzebub. Ultimately “dealing with HIV/Aids, hunger… and malaria were [seen to be] the world's top priorities” by the good people in Copenhagen and though I empathize with the environmentalists such thoughts cannot be ignored.

Mark

June 18th, 2008 10:05am Report this comment

I have to say that, having studied Bjorn's work at university, he is a bit of a joke. He manipulates statistics ridiculously, steers people away from real environmental problems, and hypothesises on out-dated views in the industry.

Water

June 18th, 2008 10:29am Report this comment

Some examples please Mark, my knowledge of this man stems as far as the Telegraph. How does he go about manipulating as you say?

Mark

June 18th, 2008 11:23am Report this comment

He quotes statistics that are inappropriate to make misleading statements that people take as fact. (It's been a few years, but bear with me...) For example, to state that air pollution is lessening, when using statistics for three or four basic pollutants sounds fine. But those pollutants he used had a trend of falling over the decades in the UK, because industry has changed. He has failed to identify the other two hundred more serious pollutants that are rising rapidly and cause serious damage to our health. Also, it doesn't take into account that he has measured only in territories where said pollutants decrease - not taking into account the new industries of India and China, for example. So he makes grand statements with 'stats to back it all up!', to actively misunderstand environmental concerns completely.

Moreover, his author picture denoted a penchant for terrible shirts, if I remember correctly.

Water

June 18th, 2008 12:09pm Report this comment

Shirts aside you make a strong statement. Some links showing failings in Lomborgs work would be most kind.

Mark

June 18th, 2008 12:39pm Report this comment

I'm afraid these sorts of things aren't online. You may need to have a look at his book, and my work on it as a student is long gone. I think there's a point to be discussed about trying to fit the natural world into statistical analyses without actually seeing the bigger picture. Context is everything in the environment.

Water

June 18th, 2008 1:04pm Report this comment

Context is everything in most things. But just to confirm by his book are you refering to 'The Skeptical Environmentalist'?

Water

June 18th, 2008 1:06pm Report this comment

Mark don't worry I found some information
http://www.lomborg-errors.dk/error_catalogue.htm

Thanks again.

Sisyphus

June 23rd, 2008 4:37pm Report this comment

For someone who fretted about whether Lomborg thought the author was "trying to pick him up", Delingpole spent the first 165 words of his article gushing over Lomborg like a teenybopper at an Nsync concert.

After paragraph 2, I didn't even care what the article was about. Nice job, DelingPOLE.

Damocles

August 31st, 2010 9:29am Report this comment

So James, still in love with Bjørn Lomborg?

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