
I go on holiday and just look what happens: Russia restarts the Cold War, and History-- which we were famously told had Ended in 1989 -- revs up again. The west is apparently amazed, appalled, flummoxed, caught on the hop. What planet are these people all living on?
Because of course History never stopped. The idea that after the Wall came down Russia had become our ally, or at least had stopped being our enemy, was always absurd. It has never stopped acting against the west -- particularly by funding, arming and encouraging the murderously anti-western forces in the Middle East -- even while it has proceeded to make its oligarchic fortune from it. The real message of what happened in Georgia, where Putin successfully provoked Saakashvili to walk straight into his trap, is that what has changed is not Russia’s purpose, which remains as it always was, but the west’s response to it.
Russia’s purpose is power. It is intent on resurrecting its empire and its sense of itself as a dominant global force. Putin clearly thinks of himself as a new czar. Those who have been claiming that Russia is merely reacting to western ‘aggression’ in planting NATO on its doorstep fail to distinguish between aggression and self-defence. NATO is defensive; Russia is aggressive. The west does not want to invade Russia. Russia wants to invade other countries. NATO exists merely to defend free societies against attempts to destroy them, attempts in which Russia continues to lead the way. What Russia cannot tolerate is freedom on its doorstep. Which is why small satellite countries such as Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan and other areas in the Caucasus are so vulnerable. The fact that within and between these smaller regions there are in turn often murderous ethnic and tribal disputes does not alter that central big fact.
The invasion of Georgia was principally aimed not at Georgia but at America and Europe -- and maybe also at Iran. As Michael Reynolds writes on the Middle East at Harvard website:
Russia’s war aims, moreover, extend beyond altering the balance of power in the Caucasus, to restoring its position as the dominant power in Eurasia and restructuring its relations with the United States and Europe. Abkhazia and South Ossetia are pawns in a game bigger than the Caucasus.
The message Putin wants to deliver is that no-one messes with Russia. Like a Mafia godfather, he wants respect for his country’s power – and will mow down anyone who fails to offer it. That’s also why Russia is busy murdering those of its own citizens who oppose its fascistic regime. (It is, after all, the only country so far to have carried out an act of nuclear terrorism in Britain by murdering Alexander Litvinenko with Polonium 210 and leaving a trail of radioactive poison across London – for which it has never been brought to account, flicking away our huffing and puffing Foreign Office like a mosquito on the nose of a bear).
It is behaving in this way because it has correctly perceived that America is paralysed and Europe is steadily destroying itself, and so there is an enormous vacuum in global power which it thinks it can fill. It has no less correctly concluded that the west will no longer defend itself or the values for which it once stood. See yesterday’s entirely predictable and futile hand-wringing over Georgia by the EU, full of sound and fury but signifying no action at all. Once upon a time, the west believed it should go to war to defend the sovereignty of nations. Now, it supports instead those who destroy that sovereignty -- as it did when it recognised Kosovo as an independent state, thus demonstrating contempt for the sovereignty of Serbia. Who therefore can be surprised that Russia, which not only complained bitterly about Kosovo but had previously insisted on the virtue of its own suppression of the Chechens on the grounds that national sovereignty had to be upheld or else chaos would follow, is now cynically using that very same Kosovo precedent to justify its support for South Ossetia and Abkhazia breaking away from Georgia?
Despite the fact that Russia is threatened by Islamism, there are nevertheless notable similarities between the attempt to re-establish the Russian empire and the attempt to re-establish the Islamic Caliphate. In similar fashion, both employ not only violent force but cultural infiltration and sedition; both use sophisticated propaganda and covert influence; both invert truth and lies; both hijack the concept of victimhood. Thus Russia’s patently absurd claim of genocide in south Ossetia parallels the preposterous Islamist claims of genocide in Iraq, the West Bank and Gaza; thus both claim that their own aggression is merely self-defence against victimisation. Such similarities are scarcely surprising considering that Islamism borrowed so much from Communism (as it did also from fascism). Nor is it surprising that both Russians and Islamists make common cause against the west -- their common enemy.
In both cases, such aggression was until relatively recently contained or suppressed – in the case of Russia by the Cold War, in the case of Islam by colonialism. The lifting of those restraints unleashed the furies. With its customary combination of arrogance and naivety, the West thought instead that the lifting of such restraints would bring only benefit. Having itself junked principles such as national feeling as a historic aberration, believing instead that the entire planet was motivated by materialist self-interest, it thought that ‘globalisation’ meant the death of nationalism. But as Sir Christopher Meyer writes in today’s Times, (although I don’t agree with all that he says) far from an ‘interdependent’ world snuffing out nationalism and ethnic tribalism it actually increases them many times over. Whether among the countries of the EU losing control over their affairs to a bureaucratic pseudo-state, among Islamic jihadists or Russian nationalists, it is precisely the potential spread of values which seem to threaten to destroy cultural, religious or national integrity which provokes tensions, unrest, violence and war.
But with their soppy and stupid belief that in a ‘globalised’ world every problem is solvable by talking, by ‘peace processes’, by international law tribunals and above all by economic self-interest, and that resorting to force in defence of national integrity is obscene, the answer by western ‘progressives’ to an actual breach of the lawful sovereignty of a small nation, the march of fascism and the snuffing out of freedom is to do absolutely nothing but wring their hands and advertise their paralysis and impotence to every tyrant on the planet.
Russia is intrinsically weak. It appears to be strong only because we allow it to be so. The reason why it is playing the role of global spoiler and provocateur, fomenting and exploiting ancient ethnic or religious hatreds in serial conflicts around the globe in order to enhance its own power and advance its own nationalist ambitions is because the west has allowed it to do so with impunity. Yes, it has leverage over us over oil and gas reserves; but it has more to lose from us because it is inherently weak.
As Meyer says, we could start showing it we mean business by throwing out all its intelligence officers currently swanning around London. The reason we do not do so is the same reason that we don’t throw out Islamist extremists. We no longer defend our interests against our aggressors. We cut deals with them instead, thus strengthening them and weakening ourselves. It is the behaviour of a culture whose back is broken – and from Moscow to Tehran, our enemies know it.
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Melanie Phillips is a Daily Mail columnist. She also writes for the Jewish Chronicle and is a panellist on BBC Radio Four's Moral Maze. Her most recent book is 'Londonistan', published by Encounter and Gibson Square.
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Keith Kahn-Harris
September 2nd, 2008 8:02pmSo Melanie did you at least enjoy the British success at the olympics? I mean might it not be worth celebrating something for a change?
Michael Woodman
September 2nd, 2008 8:07pm"It is the behaviour of a culture whose back is broken – and from Moscow to Tehran, our enemies know it." Indeed, indeed - this becomes ever more evident with each passing day. The EU appears to be leading the way in how not to conduct foreign affairs. Goodness knows what havoc they'll cause once they have EU foreign policies that we all have to follow.
Oh, and welcome back Melanie, we've been missing you!
Nice Jewish Girl
September 2nd, 2008 8:58pmWelcome back, Melanie!
David McAdam
September 2nd, 2008 9:27pmWhat has happened to a once courageous, stoical, and proud nation that produced warriors the esteemed calibre of Cromwell, Nelson and Churchhill et all? What do we now have instead? Milliband v Putin.
Ron Todd
September 2nd, 2008 10:02pmMight not be the time for warriers. I see no way that we could intervene millitarily with anything like enough force to make a difference. Given the location I cannot see how even the Americans could get a big force in place without substantial risk.
The EU would be a wast of time as a military force. The southern european countries would not put up a fight. Italy would wait to see who was winning then join that side and France would surender before the snow melted off the Russian boots. It would be us Germany and the Scandinavians.
Our priority as it should have been thirty tears ago should be to reduce dependancy on imported energy. Even if the greens do not like it we have lots of coal.
Lech Konrad Powichrowski
September 2nd, 2008 10:04pmMelanie,
your article makes honour to the very political sense, which seems to me innate to the British. I also appreciated the article by Sir Christopher Meyer in The Times, even if I disagreed with him in detail, but it was so refershing to hear something different than usual complains about dependency of the European countries from the Russian oil and gas. We've stepped fully into a war that nobody's given the name, but it started already a couple of years ago, and all is about the only genuine trump Russia has to divide Europe, namely hydrocarbons. The British are the nation, I hope, to understand instinctively from where the threat is likely to come - contrary to the Continentals, they were last invaded successfully in 1066. The French and the Germans suffered a recent crunch of all their beliefs in 1940 and 1945, not so a long time ago thus they had not time to get accustommed to the bitter taste of acrushing defeat. The Russians never experienced it, that's why I expect they will resume a series of revenge wars for rebuilding their lost empire. The entire Russian nation, I assure you, as I work and live in Russia , is in full heart with Putin's and Medvedev's venture to restore the Russian empire. There's a cost for everybody to build an empire but the Russians don't care. Regardless how weak in economical and military terms is Russia, the West's resilience is in its lowest point. Hope that there will be another Churchill to convince us all that the resistance is not hopeless (look, it's surprising to state obvious things like the enormous discrepancy between EU's and Russia's economic strength). There are simple things to do, everybody knows. We're in an undeclared war and earlier we'll understand it the better we'll react. Believe me, the Russians, all without exception, consider us the Europeans weaklings. This is not a good starting position. Best regards and God bless you. Conrad.
Augustus
September 2nd, 2008 10:46pmYes, welcome back Melanie.
I think I would prefer the Russian bear holding the oil can than an Islamist extremist. Once we realise that Russia is no longer a communist state but a capitalist one, we ought to be able to relax. Co-operation is better than confrontation. Put Nato back in his kennel and let him bark at Islamist extremists instead, they are the real threat to the world. By all means criticise the Russians, but don't start fighting them, or they'll shut off the oil and gas supplies, and then we'll all be in the SH one T.
Yosef
September 2nd, 2008 11:22pmYet again, another wonderful article.
Welcome back Melanie
Paul Hill
September 2nd, 2008 11:33pmThe problem isn't one of the West being too soft it's one of the West being too stupid
The provocations and terrorism in the areas of Ossetia have been going on for some time.They are orchestrated by people like the interior Minister Merbishvili ,partly to destabilise the Georgian Government,partly for the hell of it and partly to get people like Melanie to cartoon the issue as that dreadful Bear breaking loose again and pour even more(military)aid into the area on top of the $67 million they've had so far from Britain and the U.S
Russia has used every legitimate avenue to resolve the issue diplomatically for the past 18 months.
We've ignored them.
The U.S is too busy elsewhere.We don't have any Diplomatic clout and the Eudoesn't know what day of the week it is.
On the 7th August Georgian army and paramilitary units flattened Kurta,Avnevi and Tamarasheni with mortars and artillery.
It went unreported in the West
The rest is history as they say
Incidentally the belief of the Georgian armed forces in their cause is well illustrated by their headlong flight from the area
History isn't actually about cramming as much of Melanie's rather one dimensional predjudices and limited knowledge into a magazine article as an editor will permit-it's usually a bit more complicated
Joe Strummer
September 3rd, 2008 12:01amWhy do I just laugh whenever I see the idiot Milliband on televison.? He is just too preposterous for words.
Herbert Thornton
September 3rd, 2008 1:38amI am sorry Melanie, but your accusation about Russia of carrying out "nuclear terrorism" in Britain sounds somewhat like hyperbole - surely the word "terrorism" should be reserved to things like the London Underground and bus bombings?
I also think it is a great mistake to declare that Russia is "intrinsically weak". We should remember what Khruschev said about Mao Tse Tung's description of the U.S.A. as a "paper tiger" - he reminded the world that the paper tiger had nuclear teeth. The supposedly "intrinsically weak" Russian Bear also has nuclear teeth.
It is of course prudent to consider terrorism including nuclear terrorism, but if and when a nuclear device is detonated in Britain, the idea of it being done by Russian agents is unthinkable. On the other hand the possibility of it being carried out by Islamic terrorists is frighteningly real. In that respect the World Trade Centre, Beslan, the London Underground and many other events around the world are conspicuous reasons for the entire civilised world to realise that not just Russia, but China and India too, are natural allies of both western Europe and the U.S.
I side entirely with Augustus.
WhoCares
September 3rd, 2008 2:44amI am never sure when reading Melanie Phillips' whether she proposes to cultivate incoherent rant simply as an art form for its own sake or she actually believes it to be a platform for a political reform.
Ray
September 3rd, 2008 8:46amMelanie's observations are largely correct. However, I can't help thinking that had Britain and the United States not squandered so much political capital chasing utopian delusions in Kosovo then we might have been in a better position to stand up to Russian revanchism. Likewise, the Islamic fanaticism that our misbegotten sojourn into Iraq has both fuelled and distracted us from confronting more effectively.
Saul Starozinsky
September 3rd, 2008 8:59amDear Mellanie!
Thanks God Youve returned! During all the crisis i was waitting for Yours commentary.. And now You once more proved that You are the best!!!
Geoff M
September 3rd, 2008 8:59amThe Wests disgraceful treatment of Kosovans (the real ones, not the Albanian muslim immigrants) handed Russia a free pass to repeat the Wests grotesque abuse of intenational law.
Sauce for the gander?
I never thought I would say this but I am enjoying seeing Russia humiliate the EU.
At least the Russians look after their own whereas I think the EU is intent on becoming the new Caliphate - Turkeys accession will seal that fate.
Seeing the likes of Millipede and Broon running around damning their formerly Marxist blood brothers is also sweet!
Barry Larking
September 3rd, 2008 9:32amI am reminded of a story I was read concerning the novelist Joseph Conrad who, on hearing the news that Russia had had a revolution in 1917 was quoted as saying "Leopards do not change their spots."
For all sorts of reasons the west must end its dependance on oil.
Roy
September 3rd, 2008 10:57amTo repeat some others; thank god your back Melanie. Your reemergence is like coming up for air after a long dive and getting a lung full of life giving oxygen at long last. To be able to get a good assessment of today's world affairs from someone we know and appreciate is indeed a tonic.
Frank Pulley
September 3rd, 2008 12:03pmWho Cares
More to the point I would guess that nobody here cares whether you care or not or what 'you are sure of'. If you stick around you might learn something, but if you have read Melanie's articles before - and this one - and still don't get it, may I suggest that you are as think as two short planks and are wasting both yours and our time by commenting here.
Robin
September 3rd, 2008 2:42pmFrank, Frank,
You mustn't refer to "WhoCares" as "think as two short planks".
It's - well, rather, he's - "thick".
The thing about short planks is that they're pretty much useless for anything worthwhile.
"WhoCares"? Whatever.....
phil
September 3rd, 2008 3:51pmWho Cares-do you actually have a point of any interest to make or are you just one more of those that get off by making anonymous and gratuitous insults --welcome back Melanie ,rested and ready .
phil
September 3rd, 2008 4:05pmGreed and weakness by the west allow the Russians to threaten us from a position of weakness compared to the power of the west -Europe is teeming with the new nouveau riche from Moscow .no not the everyday Russian ,just those that have used their earlier power to make that wealth -send them back ,take away their visas and see how soon Russia changes its tune ,the powerful ones now have something to lose ,and wrap their notice in a copy of "flower of Scotland"
logdon
September 3rd, 2008 5:42pmLike many other comments, thank god you're back. Since you've been gone I've been banned from the Times (or so I think, they do not inform just a big fat nothing to the mildest of comment) so really it'll be nice to the usual of being banned from a site of someone who at least knows what she's talking about. In this instance, however I'm with Russia who have been the EU and US whipping boy for far too long. The appalling double standards of Kosovo, Cuban Missile crisis and encroaching Marxism in South and Central America, but, hey if Russkie tries it on all hell let's loose. Then there's Miliband's juvenile antics? By the way on another tack how about the illegal extra EU money to the PA?
Lance Grundy
September 3rd, 2008 6:21pm“Those who…fail to distinguish between aggression and self-defence. NATO is defensive; Russia is aggressive.”
Sorry Melanie, N.A.T.O. was not acting in “self-defence” when it bombed Serbia. It was engaging in aggressive war-making against a sovereign country. It is not therefore purely “defensive.”
You also say “N.A.T.O. exists merely to defend free societies against attempts to destroy them.” I’m not really sure what you are saying here. Surely if N.A.T.O. is “defensive” it can only defend ‘free societies’ that are members of the defensive alliance. However, you seem to be implying that N.A.T.O. exists to defend ‘free societies’ per se - in which case it would be justified in waging aggressive, first-strike, wars all over the world against any countries it considered were attempting to destroy what it had deemed to be a ‘free society.’ Sounds pretty “aggressive” to me. I can see how the Russians might get the wrong idea.
Jon
September 3rd, 2008 9:01pmKosovo set the precedent for altering borders by force so it is not particularly surprising that the Russians have taken a leaf out of Nato's book.
It is notable however, how many commentators are still quite unable to move on from an old fashioned Cold War mindset with regard to Russia.
Does the UK really have any stategic interests in Georgia? to the extent that we would be willing to send out troops to defend the Sakashvili regime (which is what Nato membership would mean). I rather think not.
We are in a new era and now live in a multi polar world and we need to grasp this reality.
Robbit
September 4th, 2008 12:09pmWelcome back Melanie!
And what a comeback - 4 more excellent articles in two days!
nicodemus31
September 4th, 2008 2:34pm"As Meyer says, we could start showing it we mean business by throwing out all its intelligence officers currently swanning around London."
How very gung-ho. Wonder where he picked up an attitude like that? I'm sure Putin, Medvedev & Co will order an immediate withdrawal of troops & open the oil & gas valves fully when they see that Great Britain "means business".
What rot. The conflict in South Ossetia & Abkhazia reminds me of Gabriel Garcia Marquez's famous response when asked about the Falklands War: "Two bald men fighting over a comb".
john mcdonald
September 4th, 2008 6:02pmOh so wrong this time Melanie
Georgia killed 2000 of the Osetias capital city - an unprovoked attack planned by the USA who have a marine contingent in the country "training " the Georgians - No Melanie this is the USA of old playing its old world power games - and the reasons - pick any one of a half dozen - you let your prejudices get the better of you on this one "M" I am disapointed normally you are on the ball.
Tim lee
September 5th, 2008 3:10pmJohn MacDonald
The figure of 2000 killed in South Ossetia by Georgian forces is widely banded about but according to Human Rights watch has not been verified. It might just be propaganda by the Russians. Anyway, the situation is that we should be suspicious of the Russians based on their not so recent past. How many of the Baltic and East European states lately under the thrall of the Soviets look forward to the reawakening of the Russian baleful presence ..well only those "Russian" stooges in those countries that claim that they want closer ties with Russia..unlike the majorities who look to the west for reassurance and protection.
field
September 6th, 2008 5:44am1. The project to extend NATO and give it un-NATO related tasks e.g. in Afghanistan was foolish in conception and execution.
2.Democratic countries do and SHOULD accept that disaffected parts of their states' territories can secede e.g. Slovakia, Scotland, Catalonia...Is anyone saying it would be right to keep these areas belonging to states they don't want to belong to?
3. But democracies must battle against the use of ethnic cleansing and use of violence to alter borders. So Russia must be punished. How does the EU punish Russia over Georgia? It...I'm not sure it even issued a condemnation.
No, we must show Russia, for every transgression a negative will follow and we should ensure that we defend those countries that can be defended.
Paul
September 6th, 2008 1:12pm"So Melanie did you at least enjoy the British success at the olympics? I mean might it not be worth celebrating something for a change?"
How helpful. Panem et circenses.
Leaving aside argument-free trolls like "WhoCares", it's amazing how many are taking up cudgels for Russia. Probably those whose hearts sank when the wall came down.
As Melanie has often pointed out, the Western ruling classes are no longer serious about anything much, save their own self-regard. The consequences of this are described passim in her writing.
Dave M
September 8th, 2008 11:09pmI think, on this occasion, Melanie is reading the situation regarding Putin with some contradiction. For a start, I recall quite clearly Melanie was dead against the U.S. recognising Kosovo as an independent State and, as it happens, Russia was also opposed to such independence. It was the U.S. and E.U. that made this catastrophic political misjudgement, against Christian Serbia, not Russia. So, it wasn't Russia here that was backing the Islamic cause in Europe, but America. As for a new Cold War, yes, we should be very worried as it seems to me we are entering very dangerous, uncertain terrain. Russia is a proud, nationalistic country that is now regaining its feet as some sort of global power. Therefore, Russia won't tolerate being surrounded by NATO forces on its borders, just as America wouldn't tolerate a threat to its own security when Krushchev located missiles on Cuba. Next, I think Melanie's point about some link between USSR Bolshevism (or simply modern Russia) and radical Islam is open to debate. If Russia is pushed into a corner by the West, yes, I agree, Moscow could well end up looking for allies amongst Arab Middle Eastern States. This is because ex Soviet States such as Estonia, Latvia, Poland, Bulgaria e.t.c. have not only cold shouldered Russia, but seem to harbour strong anti-Russian sentiment - an obsession over the crimes of Stalinism they refuse to let go of. Seeing as America appears to be exploiting such sentiment and even backing Georgia, this could push the Kremlin away from the West, away from democracy and somewhere towards either Asia or the Middle East. Historically, however, Russian anti-semitism isn't quite so straightforward as imagined. Lenin himself was part Jewish, as was Trotsky. Neither is Russia an Islamic country but Christian Orthodox. It was also Russia that spilt endless blood during the invasion of Berlin to rescue the thousands of Slavs, Poles, Jews and Ukranians in Hitler's death camps. To the Russian frame of mind, the encirclement of NATO on its borders, overall distrust and such acts as the removal of its WW3 memorials to fallen troops in the Baltics is a huge affront.
Dave M
September 9th, 2008 1:15amAs Jon notes: "Does the UK really have any stategic interests in Georgia? to the extent that we would be willing to send out troops to defend the Sakashvili regime....."
I've lived in Russia and I've also lived in Baltic States such as Estonia and Latvia. I can clarify that the amount of anti-Russian sentiment in those neighbouring countries is remarkable. It may be true modern Russia falls somewhat short of the ideals of a free, democratic society but, by the same token, it is far far removed from the times of Stalin and Kruschev. Yet former USSR member States seemingly cannot forgive the crimes of Stalinism and hard line communism and this has given rise to bitterness and ill-feeling towards Russia as a whole. There is also a naieve conception of the U.S.A. as the good guy and Russia as the bad guy. Yet America's invasion of Iraq without specific U.N. approval goes way beyond the intervention Medvedev sanctioned in Georgia. My point is this, however: For NATO to exploit the current anti-Russian mentality that is gaining ground in the Ukraine and Georgia is extremely dangerous. It's dangerous because ethic tensions and post Soviet neurosis in this part of the world could very easily explode. There is a feeling amongst some journalists in the West (not Melanie, I don't think), that a show of force by the U.S. in places such as Georgia or the Ukraine will lead to Russia backing down and a quick diplomatic victory for Bush or McCaine. Should such a situation arise, say, in the Ukraine, we could all suddenly find ourselves in a Hot War, instead of a Cold War. The present U.S. policy of getting directly involved with factions on Russia's borders strikes me as extremely dangerous and unpredicatable. In fact, I believe we may well be entering a new phase of Cold War that's far more likely to become hot than the ideological facedown that characterised the former conflict. You also have to ask yourself whether the Cuban crisis of the sixties would have led to all out nuclear war had Mccaine been in office and not Kennedy.