Hillary wins to stay in it

Wednesday, 14th May 2008

Hillary met the spread in West Virginia, racking up 67 percent of the vote to Obama’s 26. It is an impressive win and should quiet calls for her to get out of the race for a while even if it makes little difference to the eventual outcome. Indeed, this victory will mean nothing unless Hillary can pull off another huge win in Kentucky and, against the odds, hand Obama a significant defeat in Oregon. 

It is normally dangerous to extrapolate from primary results to the general but Obama is clearly going to have trouble in West Virginia in the fall considering that 51 percent of Democratic primary voters there think that Obama shares Reverend Wright’s world view. But Obama can find a way to 270 without West Virginia’s five electoral college votes.

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