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Clemency Burton-Hill
Clemency Burton-Hill

Clemency suggests


This horse will win the Derby, surely?

Friday, 18th May 2007

OK, this isn't a tipping site. But...

I was out all yesterday and only caught up with the Dante result late last night. Authorized, the ante post Derby favourite, made his comeback. And what a performance! I can't remember being so taken by a Derby trial in years. Not, in fact, since the ill-fated Shergar won the Chester Vase.

Authorized's price has come in - as it would do after such a scintillating win. But at 6/4 - a 50% return on investment - that is some price for what I think must be as near a certainty as one can have in a race like the Derby.

(I've doubled him up with Passage of Time in the Oaks at 5/2, whose Musidora win was also impressive, I thought.)

 UPDATE I am corrected by a commenter:

You must do things differently in the UK. If I bet $10 a horse at 6/4 in Australia, I would get $25 - including my $10 stake - if the horse won. Thats 150% on investment.

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Tom Nuttall

May 18th, 2007 10:48am

This reminds me of something I read last year: "If you were told of an investment which would give you a 200% return in a matter of days, you'd invest as much as you could, wouldn't you? And yet, bizarrely, there are people saying that Visindar, the Derby favourite, is too short at 2/1. … But take it from me, Visindar is as near a certainty as exists in racing. He's at least as much of a certainty as Shergar was all those years ago."

Stephen Ian Pollard

May 18th, 2007 2:07pm

Ouch. Yes, indeed - my tips are certainly to be regarded with caution!

Jack

May 18th, 2007 6:22pm

Betfair has odds of 5/2.

Spencer de Vere

May 20th, 2007 10:48am

You state, " But at 6/4 - a 50% return on investment". You must do things differently in the UK. If I bet $10 a horse at 6/4 in Australia, I would get $25 - including my $10 stake - if the horse won. Thats 150% on investment.

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