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Keep Kennedy away!

Tuesday, 29th January 2008

My friend Robert George has a fascinating take on Ted Kennedy's endorsement of Obama, arguing that this is a good thing for HRC:

Two weeks ago while performing stand-up, I casually asked the comedy club's heavily Democratic audience how many there were for Hillary. Only one hand went up. I then asked for Obama supporters -- about nine or ten hands went up. This in a New York venue. The response was such a surprise that it briefly threw off my timing.
 
That moment came to mind as I watched the big 'Camelot' endorsement yesterday.
 
…After first being taken in by the theatrics of the moment, it suddenly hit me: Hillary Rodham Clinton must be loving this.

Consider: What was the big mistake the media jumped on Hillary for during her post-Iowa speech? The appearance of all of those Clinton administration officials and hangers-on, right? It made Hillary look like the candidate of the past -- not of the future.

So, didn't anyone in the Obama camp ponder the logical incongruity of their candidate saying, "[This race] is about the past and the future." as he's blessed by THE dynastic family of the Democratic Party of the last 50 years? Suddenly, the claim that Bill and Hillary are using the power of their former White House connections to beat up on this newbie doesn't ring so true when King Kennedy and several of the royal children are lining up with the insurgent.

 
…Earlier there was John Kerry complaining about Bill Clinton and Tom Daschle complaining about Bill Clinton...yada yada yada.

So the insurgent is also endorsed by the most recent Democratic presidential nominee (Kerry) AND the former Senate Democratic Majority Leader (Daschle)?

Now that might sounds like an "establishment pile-on" to the average person. But, it's actually even worse: These endorsements crowd out the less, known, but arguably politically more helpful-in-the-long run endorsements by such red-state politicians like Kathleen Sibelius of Kansas. Instead, the message getting out is that the Northern liberal establishment is coming out strong for Barack Obama -- the guy who calls himself the "change" candidate. Heck, Teddy Kennedy fought tooth and nail against Bill Clinton's welfare reform -- calling it "legislative child abuse."

What does the "change candidate" think about that?

Kennedy, Kerry and Daschle also carry another "L"-word -- Loser.

 
…So, two days after Obama became the "black candidate" by winning South Carolina with an overwhelming proportion of the black vote (and Bill Clinton belittles the impact of the win by comparing it with Jesse Jackson's '80s victories), Obama allows himself to become the "liberal candidate" by getting the blessing of the quintessential Senate liberal.
 
…In short, if I'm the Clinton camp, I've gotta be quite happy with these developments. There's lots of real "love" for Barack Obama in the Democratic Party. For, Hillary, not so much. However, she's playing long-term strategy, not short-term tactics.
 

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Hip Gnosis

January 29th, 2008 8:52pm

You've properly hedged your bets, Stephen, by neutrally calling this a "fascinating" take. Fascinating it may be; fantastical it is in any case. Ted Kennedy may be hold, but when he and Caroline tell the country -- as they effectively have -- that Obama is the first presidential candidate to come along who reminds them of their brother/father John and brother/uncle Bobby, then Ted's age and the fact that he himself ran unsuccessfully fade from sight.

Adrian

January 30th, 2008 12:05pm

...and anyway, the "game" ends on Feb 5. Long-term planning is pointless for the HRC camp.

Laurence Witherington

January 30th, 2008 4:03pm

But this, surely, is the classic catch-22. Obama began as the charismatic, scrappy underdog challenging the establishment, and in the process won a lot of powerful friends. But according to Robert George, these endorsments suddenly make Obama the choice of the Democratic establishment, and so handing Hillary the popular vote. Rather than thinking of Obama as a victim of his own success, I think it is time to realise that he is just plainly successful.

Hal

January 31st, 2008 6:32am

This is a tendentious argument. There are the Clintonistas, and there is the rest of the Democratic establishment. Obama has endoresements from a number of his Senate colleagues, Ted Kennedy being only the latest. These undercut Hillary's argument that Obama is simply not ready to be president. And the comparison with JFK, made by his brother no less, can only make it easier for voters to choose Obama.

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