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The Sunni side of Tikrit

The Sunni side of Tikrit: progress in Iraq

Wednesday, 14th November 2007

Where people are turning to the Coalition for protection

But the sergeants worked like clockwork, bringing the medic up, sweeping up and down the road for the single sniper, who was probably already long gone. Their efficiency was born of long experience. It was the third deployment to Iraq for all the NCOs in the platoon, one told me later, and at the end of this 15 months, all but one would be leaving the army. Their wives would not stand for another long tour.

While units like the 101st Airborne are still getting enough raw young recruits, the junior officers and experienced NCOs are haemorrhaging away. More than the loudly ticking political clock in Washington, it is the pressures on the army itself which will force the Coalition to draw down in Iraq, whatever the conditions on the ground.Â

The Americans have always found the conflict in Iraq frustratingly mercurial; first it was looting and general anarchy; then Baathist ‘dead-enders’; then al-Qa’eda; then a nationalist Sunni ‘resistance’; then a Shia uprising; now it is a sectarian near-civil war, Iranian-backed militias and a simmering intra-Shia conflict. But the surge in Baghdad does seems to be dampening down the sectarian killing and the gains in the Sunni areas, while not irreversible, are real.

For the first time in a long time, the Coalition can credibly claim that things are moving in the right direction. The Sunni vigilantes, the divided police force and Rambo-style Iraqi army officers, along with the kidnapping, the crime and the tribal fighting: this is what victory looks like in Iraq. Next year, the Americans will declare it so, and some will start to come home.

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