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The economic consequences of Mr Brown

Wednesday, 16th January 2008

For all his claims to have singlehandedly engineered British growth, Gordon Brown is the architect of policies that undermine his desire for a better society, writes Irwin Stelzer

And the Prime Minister’s critics might be overstating their own case when they claim that Brown’s policies have led us to the brink of a collapse of the financial system, but they are certainly right that we are entering a period of financial strain and slower economic growth with the nation’s finances in worrying condition, and have a reasonable argument that at least some of today’s problems are the consequences of the tax, spending and borrowing policies pursued by the Prime Minister when at the Treasury.

There is no denying that ten years of New Labour’s economic management are now severely limiting policymakers’ freedom of action. It is interesting in this regard to compare the tax-and-spend policies of Gordon Brown with those of George W. Bush, who is contemplating the fiscal stimulus that is beyond Brown’s reach. Both launched spending sprees to support their visions of an expanded welfare state, Brown concentrating on the NHS, Bush on prescription drugs for all elderly folks. Britain’s chancellor attempted to fund his spending spree by launching a series of tax-raising measures; America’s President cut taxes, in the belief that the incentive of greater rewards for work and risk-taking would increase the US Treasury’s take. Gordon Brown’s divorce from prudence converted a balanced budget into a deficit that exceeds, in relation to the size of the respective economies, America’s. Both Brown and Bush proved to be big spenders, but the American President’s tax cuts contributed to a much faster increase in receipts than did the British Chancellor’s tax increases, and to a decline, rather than an increase, in the deficit relative to the size of the nation’s economy.

But these are mere numbers. And numbers merely reflect the policies and mindset they reflect. Bush believes that certain tax cuts increase incentives to work and take risks. He is right. Brown rejects Bush’s notion, and does not believe that raising the portion of national wealth taken by the government reduces incentives to create wealth. He is wrong.

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Philip Lundquist

January 18th, 2008 2:26pm

the author states that President Bush sought to reward greater risk-taking by business leaders. Another perspective is that he simply robbed the nation on behalf of already-wealthy friends, who have - in large part - thanked the American people by shipping their jobs overseas permanently. And the most coherent reasoning behind this madness does seem to be found within the conspiracy theorists' unveilings. Bush didn't spend all that time laying around in a casket at Yale Skull & Bones doing unprintable things without reason.

Mark

January 18th, 2008 5:56pm

You are absolutely right. My wife is a dentist, and she refuses to pay 40% income tax. Solution: she has reduced her workload and is aiming at staying just below the threshold. She is now working only 3 days a week. And very happy. If she works one more day per week, almost half of it would go to Brown!!! No way!!! I support her completely, 100%!!!

Don Whiteley

January 18th, 2008 10:52pm

(This is a question for Mr. Stelzer to address. Can he explain in one of his columns why the pound sterling is so strong against the dollar, when the rate of government spending, the tax hikes and other disincentives to work are rising, and manufacturing in the UK has nearly vanished. I would be very interested if you could point me, and maybe some other readers in the right direction on this issue. )

Jon Livesey

January 19th, 2008 2:26am

Mr Stelzer's comments are well made. The frightening thing is that we have seen this movie before. Under Old Labour the votes that public sector jobs bought - and that is the real motive, create jobs for those who will then vote for whoever created the job - were in the nationalised industries like steel and coal. After Old Labour's economic policies collapsed, the steel industry was able to reduce its manpower by a half, so rampant was the over-manning. Today the useless mouths are carrying clipboards and telling us to eat our veggies, but the principle is the same. Back then, it took national bankruptcy to persuade the majority of voters to turn to other policies; we can only hope that it doesn't take such a disaster to persuade them this time. Lenin used to say "The worse the better" and though that may be the way to get the next Maggie elected, it seems a pity that we have to keep repeating the same failed experiment in social engineering over and over. After all, we already know how the movie ends.

Novus

January 21st, 2008 8:55pm

Mr Stelzer writes, "[...] Britain is less well positioned than it would otherwise be to cope with the impending slowdown. Instead of being in a position to finance Keynes-style stimulative spending increases, the government finds itself pledged to rein in the growth of spending." (p2) Since the accession of Mr Brown, a curious change has come over Mr Stelzer. It's hard to imagine the man who so encomiastically introduced the Routledge Classics edition of Hayek's Constitution of Liberty and who was credited with "Hayekian rigour" by the Shadow Chancellor falling for the chimera of "stimulus". This absurd notion is entertainingly demolished here: http://blog.mises.org/archives/007676.asp

Englander

January 25th, 2008 12:40pm

The one thing that most economic commentators seems to say about Brown is that he is economically competent, but I fail to see any justification for this claim. If by this they mean that Britain has grown economically over his period in power then you have to say is this due to Brown and if it is how much. During his period in office we have seen interest rates globally come down, but Britain still has higher interest rates than other countries which suggests all that has happened in Britain is that the rates have come down in line with other countries. If Brown had made a difference then interest rates would be lower than in other countries. Also how much of the growth has been funded through extra governnment spending? Anyone can grow an economy by borrowing and then spending. If Brown had made a difference economically then we would have grown and produced a surplus in the boom years - what do we have not one year (other than when following the Tories spending plans) of surplus under Brown. Competence to my mind has not been demonstrated. Turning now to the spending - has it increased productivity - no. Again is this competence, I think not.

Mark

January 26th, 2008 1:46pm

Reply to Don Whiteley. The City of London: Export of financial services; and attraction of international capital (with few questions asked, like a mega Switzerland...).


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