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The economic consequences of Mr Brown

Wednesday, 16th January 2008

For all his claims to have singlehandedly engineered British growth, Gordon Brown is the architect of policies that undermine his desire for a better society, writes Irwin Stelzer

We also know that the 64 per cent increase in spending (about 30 per cent after correcting for inflation) under New Labour has not produced commensurate increases in the quality of service offered by schools, hospitals and other public services, despite Brown’s insistence in 2002 that one of the ‘pillars’ of his fiscal policy is ‘better planned public spending which focuses on the quality of public service provision...’. The key here is ‘planned’, for Brown believes, or perhaps but not certainly more accurately, until now has believed that better planning, not competition and widened consumer choice, is the route to the provision of high quality healthcare and education services. When Chancellor he held to the view that parents and patients do not have sufficient information to choose schools for their children or hospitals for themselves. Unfortunately, experience suggests to most observers that he is quite simply wrong, and that the Prime Minister’s laudable intentions to relieve child poverty, make education more widely and equally available, and improve the efficiency of the welfare state have been ill-served by the methods he has thus far chosen to achieve those objectives. Which might just explain what seems to be his recent willingness to concede a greater role to patient choice and competition from private-sector providers in the provision of healthcare services. Note, however, that Andrew Haldenby, of the ever-reliable think-tank Reform, doubts that the newly announced policy will actually deliver choice because ‘profound barriers’ prevent private sector providers from being included on the choice menu to be offered patients.

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Philip Lundquist

January 18th, 2008 2:26pm

the author states that President Bush sought to reward greater risk-taking by business leaders. Another perspective is that he simply robbed the nation on behalf of already-wealthy friends, who have - in large part - thanked the American people by shipping their jobs overseas permanently. And the most coherent reasoning behind this madness does seem to be found within the conspiracy theorists' unveilings. Bush didn't spend all that time laying around in a casket at Yale Skull & Bones doing unprintable things without reason.

Mark

January 18th, 2008 5:56pm

You are absolutely right. My wife is a dentist, and she refuses to pay 40% income tax. Solution: she has reduced her workload and is aiming at staying just below the threshold. She is now working only 3 days a week. And very happy. If she works one more day per week, almost half of it would go to Brown!!! No way!!! I support her completely, 100%!!!

Don Whiteley

January 18th, 2008 10:52pm

(This is a question for Mr. Stelzer to address. Can he explain in one of his columns why the pound sterling is so strong against the dollar, when the rate of government spending, the tax hikes and other disincentives to work are rising, and manufacturing in the UK has nearly vanished. I would be very interested if you could point me, and maybe some other readers in the right direction on this issue. )

Jon Livesey

January 19th, 2008 2:26am

Mr Stelzer's comments are well made. The frightening thing is that we have seen this movie before. Under Old Labour the votes that public sector jobs bought - and that is the real motive, create jobs for those who will then vote for whoever created the job - were in the nationalised industries like steel and coal. After Old Labour's economic policies collapsed, the steel industry was able to reduce its manpower by a half, so rampant was the over-manning. Today the useless mouths are carrying clipboards and telling us to eat our veggies, but the principle is the same. Back then, it took national bankruptcy to persuade the majority of voters to turn to other policies; we can only hope that it doesn't take such a disaster to persuade them this time. Lenin used to say "The worse the better" and though that may be the way to get the next Maggie elected, it seems a pity that we have to keep repeating the same failed experiment in social engineering over and over. After all, we already know how the movie ends.

Novus

January 21st, 2008 8:55pm

Mr Stelzer writes, "[...] Britain is less well positioned than it would otherwise be to cope with the impending slowdown. Instead of being in a position to finance Keynes-style stimulative spending increases, the government finds itself pledged to rein in the growth of spending." (p2) Since the accession of Mr Brown, a curious change has come over Mr Stelzer. It's hard to imagine the man who so encomiastically introduced the Routledge Classics edition of Hayek's Constitution of Liberty and who was credited with "Hayekian rigour" by the Shadow Chancellor falling for the chimera of "stimulus". This absurd notion is entertainingly demolished here: http://blog.mises.org/archives/007676.asp

Englander

January 25th, 2008 12:40pm

The one thing that most economic commentators seems to say about Brown is that he is economically competent, but I fail to see any justification for this claim. If by this they mean that Britain has grown economically over his period in power then you have to say is this due to Brown and if it is how much. During his period in office we have seen interest rates globally come down, but Britain still has higher interest rates than other countries which suggests all that has happened in Britain is that the rates have come down in line with other countries. If Brown had made a difference then interest rates would be lower than in other countries. Also how much of the growth has been funded through extra governnment spending? Anyone can grow an economy by borrowing and then spending. If Brown had made a difference economically then we would have grown and produced a surplus in the boom years - what do we have not one year (other than when following the Tories spending plans) of surplus under Brown. Competence to my mind has not been demonstrated. Turning now to the spending - has it increased productivity - no. Again is this competence, I think not.

Mark

January 26th, 2008 1:46pm

Reply to Don Whiteley. The City of London: Export of financial services; and attraction of international capital (with few questions asked, like a mega Switzerland...).


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