Adam Holloway says that Britain’s strategy in Afghanistan is misconceived. Nato’s military presence should be reduced and the battle for hearts and minds fought more imaginatively
They do not like the F-word in Whitehall, but failure stares us in the face in southern Afghanistan. For three years we have deluded ourselves that we can defeat the insurgency in the Pashtun tribal belt through our much talked-about plan for a ‘comprehensive approach’ — security, governance and development. But in Helmand province and across the Pashtun lands, violence is greatly increased, governance is distinctly patchy and development is barely noticeable.
The government tells us that we are there to stop it becoming a failed state in which our enemies can regroup. Around 50,000 Western soldiers would drive away the Taleban, al-Qa’eda and their friends. But there are other failed states in the world, other areas where extremists are organising against us. Apart from the experience of 11 September 2001, Afghanistan is no more special than the tribal areas of Pakistan or several other places. Surely we can keep tabs on al-Qa’eda without the deployment of tens of thousands of troops, hundreds of lives and billions of dollars? It is not a case of either this, or nothing.
Success depends entirely on the ordinary Afghan. Before the arrival of our forces in strength in the south in the summer of 2006, I visited Afghans independently in the provincial capital of Helmand. ‘If the British bring security and reconstruction, they are welcome here. But if they don’t bring them, then they should leave.’ A year later — after high levels of violence and tiny amounts of reconstruction — I sat nervously with a group of young Helmandis: ‘The British tell us that we have security and reconstruction — but where is it? They should show us, not always just tell us.’
The government points to huge spending. Unfortunately, the Department for International Development is mainly pushing this money into corrupt Kabul government ministries, not into the provinces. This would be all right if we had time — but we are losing the consent of ordinary Afghans in the villages by not pulling projects into Helmand that would support the valiant efforts of our young men and women in dealing with the insurgency. Worryingly, our armed forces are completely dependent on other agencies for delivering long-term success. DfID exists not to support UK foreign policy, but the higher purpose of ‘international development and poverty reduction’. Working to military ends feels somehow a bit grubby. A friend turned down a DfID job in Helmand because she was told it would be too dangerous to leave the British base. It is easy to argue that this is the wrong organisation for this job.
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David Lindsay
March 27th, 2008 5:15pmWe already do. We just call them "tribal elders" when we do it. But they are exactly the same people. Why are we in Afghanistan, anyway? What, exactly, would constitute victory or defeat there? And why, exactly?
mark
March 28th, 2008 12:36amat last - an article that both spells out the problem and also proposes solutions - unlike Mr Selbourne's effort in this edition.
Stan Coveney
March 28th, 2008 3:14pmAfghanistan is a dead end, a quagmire.
Millennia of history from Alexander to the Soviet Union invasions tell us that.
Better to leave Afghans to sort out their own affairs.
If terror camps spring up then military incursions on various scales from time to time would keep them ‘wrong footed’.
At present terror groups based in Pakistan operate with relative impunity in Pakistan, Afghanistan and elsewhere.
Let the terror groups deal with the local people and explain why their occupation and oppression is better that any of the other alternatives.
Steve
March 29th, 2008 11:04amAn interesting article....but...
Consider this, if the majority of the Afghan people want a Taliban style government who are we to claim the right to not allow it. Its not our country. It is up to the Afghan people to decide their own destiny. Western style democracy (whatever that may mean) has no place in a tribal society, it doesn't fit and doesn't work in that sort of situation, especially when it is seen as being imposed by force of "infidel arms".
If all Western troops pulled out the result may not be pretty, at least not to our "bleeding heart" trendy socialists but it would give the Afghanis the opportunity to forge their own society along whatever lines and with whatever social restrictions they want.
It is pure arrogance by us to assume that we are right and they are wrong.
The same applies to Iraq. We have no place there, we were not invited, we are not wanted and should therefore leave with all despatch.
Steve S.
March 31st, 2008 6:38amWell-done Adam. When are you coming to visit us again in Helmand?
Paul
March 31st, 2008 4:24pmInteresting stuff and from someone who has been here. I would not agree with the proposed solutions but we are engaged in a much more nuanced military and civil campaign right now that places the population at the centre of our activities not the Taliban. The mantra here is that the population is the prize. Ask Steve S. he can confirm this and it is slowly yielding results.Is there an e-mail address to engage in a less public discussion?
Peter Haldane
March 31st, 2008 5:43pmOf course the Taliban must be talked to but they cannot be allowed to impose their will to the point that they allow activities within the area of their control that threatens other states. However, it is the Kharzai government that must do the talking and if they are unwilling to do so they must be coerced. It is too important a matter for them to stone-wall on this.
Mark
April 21st, 2008 3:11am"Britain has lost nearly 100 dead."
Really? NHS kills that many every week. You could talk to the taliban about setting up an NHS for them. They'd never know what hit them.
Ron P
April 21st, 2008 4:05pmWhat I think this writer forgets is the fact that Pakistan is a nuke nation and the tribal region between Pakistan and Afghanistan is rife with terrorists that are trying to get a nuke and light it off in a European or American city all in the name of allah. As the war winds down in Iraq (I'll call that a win for the record, thanks) I say we "surge" in Afghanistan, stomp the lawless tribal region out of existence, set up real security and begin some real rebuilding of the infrastructure. A quick expansion of the road/water systems and farm lands to allow farmers to make the same amount of money on fruits and nuts as they do on poppies will get the country on the right path. Within 3-5 years we could see some real change, and that would include women's rights (which should not put it on the back burner.) The bottom line is that the taliban are corrupting islam much like al qaeda, and while no one should be told what religion to follow, we are in a worldwide fight against these nuts and the last thing we need to be doing is talking to them. Let the sunnis beat their head on the ground all day long, but the minute they want to take to violence against others it's no longer a religion, it's terrorism. You can sit around asking "why" all day long, but in the end it doesn't matter "why" they the practice a radical form of islam, it's "when" will they bring it to you and I, again, if we pull out or do nothing about it.
dubya
April 21st, 2008 6:25pmno difference between taliban and al qaeda -- they're both after religion-based totalitarianism. religion-based governments must not be tolerated ANYWHERE they all demand the citizens enslave themselves to irrational lovers of death.
Kristopher
April 21st, 2008 9:48pm( sarcasm )
You know ... all that unpleasantness in the 1940's could have been avoided had we been willing to talk to the Nazis.
BobG
April 22nd, 2008 5:57pmYes, Mr Chamberlain, uh Holloway, you are perfectly correct.
The Taliban have proven that they are reasonable people who would love peace if given a chance. Oh wait, they had a chance.
I think what Holloway is saying is it is just too hard. We will make our stand behind the cliffs of Dover. Ooops! Too late.
sol vason
April 24th, 2008 12:31amWhy send money if we simply pull out and leave the country to the Taliban.
I say take our friends home with us and every spring bomb the heroin crop. Why provide alternative employment? Destroy the crop and they will find some other way to live.
Great article. I'm convinced. No possibility of sucess in Afganistan but we can destroy the heroin crop.
John W
April 24th, 2008 1:25amMichael Yon sent me here. He thinks your point is an important one and needs to be discussed. When Michael Yon puts forth an opinion on the war, we should take notice.
Miriam Mendelson
April 29th, 2008 12:56pmQuite heartened to see the majority of posters here are not blind to the essential issue: Religious brutality and coercion can be called by any name you want, but they need to be dealt with - and not by accommodation. You can accommodate a people, a tribe, even a religion - but not a pratice. Allowing brutal and repressive practices to continue (whether by al-Qaeda or the Taleban) means allowing the cancer that is overtaking large parts of the Islamic world to continue to grow. The everyday Muslims are the first victims, the West is the second. Oh - women's rights? Lets allow women (and moderates, dissidents and others for that matter) to be stoned in soccer stadiums and killed by relatives... we'll get to that when the right time comes. Oh - but by then it will be too late. For them. For us.
Kafir
April 30th, 2008 6:56pmYou say we have lost considerable goodwill across the Muslim world. Tell me what goodwill have we lost? The goodwill that killed all those Israeli athletes in 1972? Or perhaps it was the goodwill that got 50+ US embassy workers held captive for 444 days in 1979. Oh, maybe it was the goodwill that got 200+ US Marines killed in 1983 or a truckbomb in the WTC in 1993, or the goodwill that blew a gaping hole in the USS Cole in 2000. I'm thinking we didn't have a lot of goodwill to begin with.
I too came here via Michael Yon. I respect him. What I got most from your article is that we're not living up to our promises in Afghanistan. Do that first. Then you can talk to the Taliban if you must, but you'll be able to do it from a position of strength.
Ellen J
May 8th, 2008 3:56pmThis makes sence to me. We seem to think here in the west that we have the right to decide how people should live. That really makes me mad because we talk about freedom but we don't really advocate it. The truth is simple. You don't win this kind of war. It just isn't possible. I understand the fear people have of extremists, but they need to look at history. Because it shows us that persicution makes these extreme groups stronger. This is the first time that I have had confermation that what I have been feeling about this is true and could possibly work.