Covid cases are falling – but don’t think it’s all over

The official Covid-19 dashboard has turned green and cases appear to have peaked, at least for now. You hear a lot of people say ‘cases don’t matter’, but they are a leading indicator of hospitalisations and deaths — and so a peak in cases (if confirmed by the ONS survey) should lead to a peak in hospitalisations in future weeks.

So, is that it? Are we done? It would be unwise to estimate the R numbers for a few days.