Most of today’s papers carry reports of a deal to relieve the European sovereign
debt crisis. The details are varied, but it seems
that 50 per cent of Greek debt will
written off and the currency will be allowed to remain within the single currency. This means that banks that are exposed to Greek debt will incur potentially ruinous losses. The EFSF mechanism
will probably be extended to cover those losses and guard against contagion. Estimates vary, but it seems the fund will have to increase to somewhere around 2 trillion euros if the mounting crises
in Italy and Spain are to be contained. Britain's exposure remains unclear at this stage.
Greek foreign minister Constantine Papadopoulos told the Andrew Marr show that he didn’t have any knowledge of this plan, but it is appears to have been cut according to numerous reports. The
deal appears to be a “recapitalisation” rather than the political recalibration that many have desired, so presumably the euro’s fundamental structural weaknesses remain. The
question is whether it will satisfy the markets; only time will tell.