James Forsyth James Forsyth

Not the Christmas present Cameron wanted

The latest ICM poll for the Guardian has the Tories dropping below forty percent. The party is down seven points on last month at 38 percent but it is still five points ahead of Labour.  The Lib Dems are on 19.

It seems that it is doubts about their economic competence which is pulling the Tories down: Brown has an 11 point lead over Cameron on the question of who is most likely to get the economy back on track. He also has the edge on who is most likely to make the right decisions in tough circumstances and, in a reversal from two years ago, Brown is rated as the more honest leader. However, Cameron still has the advantage on who has the most potential as Prime Minister suggesting that Tory fortunes might recover once the crisis eases. There is, though, no doubt that tonight’s numbers are disappointing for the Tories.

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