The state polls today show what an advantage Obama has with a day to go. He leads in Ohio and Pennsylvania, two states that McCain has to win, by seven and ten points respectively. If it wasn’t for the memory of how wrong the polls were before New Hampshire, everyone would be calling this. (These polls, though, are almost certainly more reliable. In New Hampshire they were surveying a far more volatile and fast moving electorate).
It is hard to believe that this amazing election is almost over. There is almost a sense that we have thought about it so much that we can at times forget just how historic it is going to be: America is in all likelihood going to elect its first black president. In a way that no other president has, Obama will change the country just by being elected.
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