James Forsyth James Forsyth

Tonight has to be the night McCain begins to turn this round

The polling news for the McCain campaign right now is grim. Yesterday, two polls in Virginia had Obama over 50 percent and ahead by double-digits; McCain pretty much has to win the Old Dominion to get to 270. Nearly all the toss-up states are now leaning to Obama, while states where McCain had a mild but significant edge are now becoming toss-ups. McCain has to change the game.

McCain’s last best chance to do so is tonight’s debate. It is a town-hall meeting, which suits McCain, and being on stage with Obama for an hour and a half he has a chance to force Obama into a major error. McCain needs a moment that will come to redefine the race.

At the moment, the economic news is so serious that it is hard for McCain to make much headway. The Ayers attacks might have worked another time but there is so much economic noise that it is being drowned out.

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