Alex Massie Alex Massie

Huntsman 2012: The Manchurian Candidate

This has been rumoured for some time but it still doesn’t make any sense: Jon Huntsman, former Governor of Utah and currently US Ambassador to Beijing, is preparing to run for the GOP’s presidential nomination. Maybe. Politico has the latest on this madness.

Madness? Well it’s certainly rum. If you think Mitt Romney is going to have problems explaining away the similarities between Romneycare in Massachusetts and Obamacare then imagine how difficult it is going to be for Huntsman to explain away actually working for the Obama administration. It’s not, as Ramesh Ponnuru points out, as though he holds some tin-pot job either. Ambassador to China is a hefty, responsible job.

Secondly, how many smooth, wealthy, technocratic Mormons can one primary season need? Where and how does Huntsman differentiate himself from Romney? The obvious place is foreign policy where he could, perhaps, adopt a less stridently nationalistic pose than the rest of the GOP field. But then why is he running against his former boss? The only way that can be explained is if Huntsman joins the rest of the GOP crew in lambasting Obama’s “global apology tour”. But if he does that he counterfeits much of the rationale – if there is one – for his candidacy. It would seem, at this juncture, to be a lose-lose proposition for Huntsman. 

Then there’s his style. As he said last year:

“Whoever emerges as the standard-bearer for the Republican cause in four or eight years will have to first prove that they can be a person who delivers results in the incubator or laboratory of democracy, as opposed to someone engaging in gratuitous rhetoric.”

I agree! But this doesn’t square easily with the current mood of the Republican party. In an ideal world Huntsman could be an excellent candidate. However the logical time for his candidacy is 2016, not 2012. He’s a moderate on issues such as immigration and civil unions and, perhaps cripplingly, is also a supporter of Cap and Trade legislation. At present it’s tricky seeing conservative primary voters drinking this policy cocktail. He’s much better placed to be the GOP guy who comes in after Obama and he’s singularly ill-placed to challenge a sitting President in whose administration he currently serves.

Huntsman will doubtless sell his candidacy – if it happens – as another example of putting country first just as he was willing to accept his President’s call and go to China in the first place. That’s all well and good but, for the time being anyway, it’s hard seeing how that will be enough to distance himself from a President he was willing to serve in the first place. I worked for Obama so I know how dreadful he is will be a tough message and one that some of the moderate voters Huntsman needs to attract may find mildly unseemly too.

China hand James Fallows has more and, in common with just about everyone else, finds the idea somewhat preposterous. Joshua Green, mind you, thinks Huntsman may still be thinking of 2016 and so 2012 would be a training run designed, as much as anything else, to boost his name recognition and learn the course.

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