James Forsyth

<strong>New polls show Obama with a double digit lead in New Hampshire</strong>

<strong>New polls show Obama with a double digit lead in New Hampshire</strong>
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The latest New Hampshire polls suggest that Obama is going to blow Clinton away here. He leads by 13 in the Gallup poll and is 10 ahead in the CNN/WMUR poll. These polls match the mood on the ground where the buzz around the Obama events is the talk of the trail. (The photo gives you a sense of the line at the Obama event I blogged about on Saturday)

If the polls are right, one would have to expect Obama to win South Carolina where he was level-pegging even before his Iowa victory. At this point, Hillary would face a choice. She can either gracefully withdraw, return to the Senate and become the new legislative liberal lion much as Ted Kennedy did after failing to win the Democratic nomination in 1980 or, she can wage a brutal campaign to try and take Obama down before February fifth when twenty states vote on one day. The third way, which it would be appropriate for a Clinton to take, would be to stay in the race and be competitive but avoid savaging him. The Clinton campaign, though, are clearly irked by the Obama campaign and it is hard to imagine them walking away from a fight.

Mitt Romney must be delighted by the surge in support for Obama in New Hampshire. Not only does it mean that more independent voters, a key source of McCain strength, will vote in the Democratic primary but it also means that even if McCain beats Romney here it won’t be by a devastating margin. The Politico reports that the Romney campaign is already spinning that a decent second here would be enough for them to carry on as a leading campaign.

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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