Fraser Nelson

An 18 point lead for the Tories

An 18 point lead for the Tories
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After that ICM poll suggesting the Tory lead had shrunk to 5 points, tomorrow's Telegraph gives Cameron just what he wants ahead of next week's local elections: an 18 point lead. Breakdown is 44-26-17. It's YouGov, in my view the most reliable pollster. When YouGov had the Tories with 16 point lead it was seen as a freak, until everyone else reached a similar figure eventually. 

To win, Cameron needs the biggest swing ever achieved by the moderen Conservative party in Opposition. And yet, such a goal is starting to look increasingly likely.

Written byFraser Nelson

Fraser Nelson is the editor of The Spectator. He is also a columnist with The Daily Telegraph, a member of the advisory board of the Centre for Social Justice and the Centre for Policy Studies.

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Topics in this articlePolitics