In a few hours, US election results will start to roll in, and while Britons this side of the pond have no say on the outcome they’ve been keen to give their opinions to prowling pollsters. New YouGov polling of 6,520 UK adults has revealed that almost four in ten Brits expect Kamala Harris to emerge victorious in this year’s election – regardless of who they would personally prefer to win.
The survey shows that 38 per cent of participants are predicting a Harris victory while just under a third of Brits (31 per cent) think Donald Trump will be elected president a second time. Not that the gamblers quite agree – as Steerpike’s friends in the Speccies’ data dungeon pointed out earlier, with money pouring in behind The Donald. In fact, the former president’s chances of return to the White House in January remain over 60 per cent, according to an analysis of implied probabilities. How very interesting…
The new poll comes after Norstat’s survey for the Times on Monday showed that, out of western Europe, Trump has amassed the most support from Scots – with a quarter of the country backing the Republican candidate for the win. Of the rest of the UK, only 16 per cent are pro-The Donald.
Not that everyone has an opinion one way or the other, however, with today’s YouGov analysis showing the remaining 31 per cent of Brits have confessed they ‘don’t know’ quite what they expect the result to be. Perhaps that’s not hugely surprisingly – the same survey reveals that 40 per cent of UK adults have admitted they have not followed the US election campaign very closely this year, with only 8 per cent of Brits ‘very closely’ keeping an eye on proceedings. Well, there’s not long left now until the speculation will all be over. Tick tock…
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