James Forsyth

Caucus day

Caucus day
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One of the odd things about the Iowa caucuses is that because they do not start until 6:30PM there are no early indications on turnout or anything else. But we can read the tea-leaves. 

Judging from the mood of the various campaigns, it is the Obama and Huckabee campaigns who are most confident. Obama and Huckabee are the candidates who are up in this morning’s tracking poll and any Iowan deciding who to support based on this morning’s press coverage in the local press would probably shift their way.

The weather is cold but crucially there’s been no fresh fall of snow so the weather is unlikely to deter many people from attending which is good news for Obama, Clinton and Huckabee who all need more people than usual to turn out.

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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