Twitter is abuzz today following the election site May 2015‘s claim that Ed Miliband will most likely win the election. The article in question argues that it would be very difficult – and surprising – for Cameron to win a majority or gather enough seats to form a coalition. The site, which describes itself as ‘an unaligned election site‘ came to this conclusion after sampling several polls and looking into marginal seats along with possible coalition deals.
The article won wide praise on social media, with one pundit describing the ‘non-partisan analysis’ as a ‘must-read’:
Whatever your party, this is must-read, non-partisan analysis of the likely #GE15 outcome, which is Ed Miliband as PM http://t.co/NZwJB2BVbU
— Matt Clifford (@matthewclifford) April 19, 2015
Convincing, wonkish, seat-by-seat analysis which explains why Ed Miliband will probably be PM. http://t.co/DroIrJrDOE (via @jennirsl)
— Janice Turner (@VictoriaPeckham) April 19, 2015
VG @May2015NS on why Mili will be PM. Persuasive, but lot rests on const polls. If Ashcroft awry, all best off http://t.co/CQsi59U5cV — Tom Clark (@guardian_clark) April 20, 2015
Exhibit A for how @May2015NS has been owning the election coverage. Why polls say Ed M is likely to be PM. http://t.co/7KfOZrIqas — John McDermott (@johnpmcdermott) April 19, 2015
Detailed and persuasive case that Ed Miliband will be PM on May 8th (or shortly after) from the excellent @May2015NS http://t.co/nCW8RpL442
— ian leslie (@mrianleslie) April 20, 2015
Electoral maths makes it most unlikely that Cameron can remain PM – detailed analysis from @may2015.com http://t.co/CBjWPgluE6
— Jenni Russell (@jennirsl) April 19, 2015
While Mr S doesn’t doubt the claims in the piece, he wonders whether in the interests of transparency there ought to be a declaration of interests given that the site’s editor Harry Lambert is Ed Miliband’s godson.
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