Alan Mendoza

It is easy to say there’s nothing we can do to prevent lone-wolf attacks. It is also wrong

For the third time in the last 18 months – twice in Paris and now in Nice – France has been left reeling from the effects of a mass casualty terrorist attack on its soil. With pictures of the dead and injured circulating freely on social media, an understandable reaction is to express solidarity with those who have suffered through well-meaning slogans like #JeSuisNice.

But solidarity is no longer enough for it has not delivered security. We must face the fact that terrorists respect actions not words. If we do not rise to the challenge being brought to our shores in Europe, then the result can only be further death and destruction within our societies.

The terrorist threat is evolving. The differences between the well-organised gun and suicide bomber attacks that have been the hallmarks of previous attacks in France and Brussels, and last night’s horrific vehicular assault, highlight the complexity of the challenge facing Europe’s security authorities. While the method of attack should not be of surprise seeing as it has been witnessed in both France and – frequently – in Israel before, the fact the perpetrator appears to have conformed to the ‘lone wolf’ model of attack should give us cause for concern.

In contrast to multi-terrorist operations, which rely upon some method of communication for coordination purposes which in theory allows for interception opportunities, lone wolf attacks are difficult to prevent once the perpetrators have settled upon a course of action. As Nice shows, sophisticated weaponry is not necessary to engage in a successful attack: vehicles can readily be used as weapons and are impossible to identify as such before their utilisation. As we have long known, security services need to be prepared or lucky every time an attack is planned in order to succeed in their task.

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