May’s a goner

That’s it for Theresa May, isn’t it? I realise that Cameron is loathe to lose the woman, especially so recently after having (with rather less anguish) lost Dr Fox. But it seems to me, from what I’ve read, that the case against her seems fairly watertight. Brodie Clark will go to court and sooner or later, through fair means or foul, we will have the written or electronic communications between the two of them in our hands. The fact we haven’t now suggests to me that May is in trouble.

The Home Office is a graveyard for all politicians, of course, but especially so for Conservatives, who find themselves up against an institutionalised liberal establishment. The courts were well to the left of the last Labour government and a long way to the left of the current dog’s dinner of a coalition.

The Theresa May issue brings to mind Michael Howard’s ugly spat with the director of the prison service, Derek Lewis, in the late 1990s. I suppose May can console herself that Howard won that battle, even though the evidence was stacked against him too, and even went on to lead his party.