Sarah Plain survived the VP debate on Thursday night but the trajectory of the race still favours Obama-Biden. If things continue as they are, they will win in something approaching a landslide on November fourth.
Over the last few weeks, Obama has built a sizable national poll lead, the polling average puts him 5.7 percent ahead, and moved into a lead in most of the key battleground states. McCain needs a game-changer. As one McCain aide told the Washington Post, “There’s no question that we have to change the subject here”.
McCain’s next best chance to change the dynamics of this race comes on Tuesday in the second presidential debate. The debate is a town hall—McCain’s best format—and considering that almost 70 million watched the Palin-Biden debate we can expect a huge audience. But considering the size of Obama’s lead and the fact it seems to be hardening, even a points-victory would not be enough for McCain. He has to produce a performance that both makes voters take a second-look at him and raises questions about Obama. If he doesn’t, Obama will be able to run out the campaign clock as the last debate is solely on domestic policy, a weakness for McCain.
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