On Christmas day 2007 in Washington DC I participated in a "Who will be contesting the presidential election?" parlour game and said that Barack Obama would beat John McCain. Admittedly the sole American had retreated to have a nap while half a dozen Brits confidently prognosticated upon all this... But still...
Nonetheless, here's young Yglesias:
I think the college educated men who dominate punditland have spent a lot of time missing the fact that there actually are enthusiastic Clinton fans out there -- they're just mostly working class women and thus mostly not in the room when this CW gets hashed out. On top of that, I think Clinton's succeeded in managing the expectations savvily. If she wins anywhere at all between now and March 4, that counts as a win for her, then Ohio is mildly favorable ground for her and Texas is extremely favorable ground. That, I think, will seal it for her as the anti-Obama backlash brewing in the press hits full stride.
This is wise and depressingly close to being convincing,,,