James Forsyth

New Iowa Poll has Obama winning big

New Iowa Poll has Obama winning big
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Today’s Des Moines Register poll suggests that Barack Obama is on course for his dream result in Iowa. It has Obama at 32, Hillary Clinton at 25 and John Edwards at 24. A clear win in Iowa, with Edwards coming third, would set Obama up for victories in the subsequent contests in New Hampshire and South Carolina. 

The Clinton and Edwards camps are, though, questioning the poll’s methodology which has huge turnout from independents pushing Obama over the top. Indeed, the silver lining for Clinton and Edwards is that the pressure is now on Obama to win.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee leads Mitt Romney 32 to 26 with John McCain in third. The poll goes against the conventional wisdom which had Romney pulling ahead of Huckabee who appears to have been feeling the pressure in the last few days. If Huckabee can hang on, it would be a huge blow to Romney who is now behind McCain in New Hampshire, according to a new poll out today. Defeat in both Iowa and New Hampshire would doom Romney’s campaign. 

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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