Another day brings another devastating poll for the Tories. The first MRP polling of the election campaign is out and it makes for grim reading for Rishi Sunak. A 10,000-strong survey by Electoral Calculus for the Daily Mail suggests that the Conservative party could receive just 66 seats – its worst result in history – with Labour on course for a staggering majority of 302. This takes into account tactical voting and is based on a poll which shows Keir Starmer’s party on 46 per cent – more than twice the level of Rishi Sunak’s Tories on 19 per cent.
An individual constituency breakdown suggests that 18 cabinet ministers would lose their seats. Among them include Kemi Badenoch, James Cleverly, Grant Shapps and Penny Mordaunt, all of whose seats would be taken by Labour. The Lib Dems would seize Mid Dorset and North Poole off Michael Tomlinson; Simon Hart in Wales would lose to Plaid Cymru.
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