James Forsyth James Forsyth

Obama is now the most likely Democratic nominee

Barack Obama must now be regarded as the favourite to win the Democratic nomination. He has absolutely thumped Hillary Clinton in Iowa, 38% to 29% with 99% of precincts reporting. Barring an unforeseen event, one has to assume that the momentum from this win will carry him to victory in New Hampshire five days from now. If Hillary finds herself 0 for 2 heading to South Carolina with Obama having proved to black voters that he can win in heavily white states then she is in real trouble. Another bonus for Obama is that the way he won tonight–bringing in independents, disillusioned Republicans and first time voters—bolsters his message that he is the candidate who can bring America together.

When Obama addressed his victory rally he looked and sounded like a man who believed that he will be president—and the crowd acted like they believed it too.

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