There are two new polls out tonight and both show that the two main parties are suffering as the expenses scandal drags on. ComRes for the Independent on Sunday has both Labour and the Tories down five, putting Labour on 21 and the Tories on 40. BPIX for the Mail on Sunday has the two parties down three, with Labour on a mere 20 percent—a record low for them—and the Tories on 42. Conservative Home notes that if this result was replicated at a general election it would, assuming a uniform national swing etc, result in a Tory majority of 220. If this happened, we would be in a bizarre situation of the Tories having no honeymoon but one of the largest ever majorities. The Lib Dems have not gained in either poll; they have actually lost two in the BPIX poll.
The Tory leadership will be encouraged by the fact that David Cameron’s response to the crisis is polling well. 59 percent tell ComRes he has handled it better than Brown and BPIX records 53 percent saying Cameron has handled the situation well.