Another day, another bad poll for Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour party. With less than six months until the Scottish parliament election, pollsters are ramping up their research north of the border. The latest Holyrood voting intention poll to have dropped is from Ipsos Scotland, carried out between 27 November and 3 December, which shows the gap between SNP and Scottish Labour has widened further. Constituency voting data shows that the Nats are consistently picking up more than a third of the vote on 35 per cent – while Labour has dropped seven points since June to sit 16 per cent. Crikey!
And that spells good news for Reform UK – whose Scottish outfit is continuing to pick up support across the country. The projection suggests Nigel Farage’s party could take 18 per cent of the constituency vote and 17 per cent on the regional list, making the group’s ambition to become the second largest party in Scotland appear much less fantastical. While the Greens are tied with Reform UK on the list, the eco-activists are only projected to pick up 9 per cent of the constituency vote – the same as the Liberal Democrats. The Tories have picked up a little support since June – but remain likely to become Scotland’s fourth largest party at next May’s poll. How the tables turn…
The SNP’s dominance is quite something – given the party’s turbulence in recent years following Dear Leader Nicola Sturgeon’s shock resignation. And while the Nats increasingly view their main competitor as Farage’s Reform party, rather than the Tories or Labour, will the traditional unionist parties manage to claw back support before polling day? Stay tuned…
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