What today’s polls say to me is “early election”. If Brown keeps this up into the recess, his honeymoon will stretch through the summer. Remember, the Tories need a ten-point lead to win an overall majority. I’ve been amazed how much ammunition Brown is discharging. He could have announced Super Casinos in the autumn. He seems to be in a sprint, not a marathon. Perhaps because he knows the finish line of this parliament is not too far away.