James Forsyth James Forsyth

The fundamentals still favour Cameron

The financial crisis might be giving Gordon Brown a temporary boost but when you consider the issues the next election is likely to be fought on you see that Cameron has quite a distinct advantage. By the time of the next election, the economy will be—or will have been—in recession, shining a light on Brown’s actual economic record and making it harder for him to claim that all the trouble has come from America. Huge amounts will still have been spent on public services without the desired results and the problems of a broken society will, sadly, still be with us.

This is not where the Tory advantage ends. As Cameron’s speech today reminded us, the Tories are led by an able performer while I don’t think even Brown’s own supporters would claim that he is a natural in this respect.

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