James Forsyth

The most likely date for the next election is May 6th, 2010

The most likely date for the next election is May 6th, 2010
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We know the date of at least one election in 2010: the locals will be on May 6h. There also has to be a general election by Thursday the third of June.

It is hard to see how the government could recover from a drubbing in May to win an election in June. It is almost certain that Brown won’t want to go after May 6th.

One of the last hopes Labour people cling to is that the return of growth could save them. We can be confident that Brown will want the first quarter growth results out before election day. Given all this it seems most likely that Brown will choose to hold the general election on the same day as the locals. This could also be presented as a sensible economy measure in this age of austerity. So, we are just only a year away from an election and the voters' chance to render their verdict on this government.

Written byJames Forsyth

James Forsyth is Political Editor of the Spectator. He is also a columnist in The Sun.

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