Fraser Nelson Fraser Nelson

The Spectator Inquiry: Questions for the man who saw the crash coming

After Lord Lawson (whom I interviewed last week – answers to your questions will be posted soon) the next ‘expert witness’ for The Spectator’s wiki-inquiry into the recession is William White. His name is spoken with reverential tones by those who know of him, because he was for years warning about precisely this kind of blow-up.
 
When he was chief economist at the Bank of International Settlements from 1995 to 2008, it was his job to advise the world’s central banks. He was warning for years about the precise nature of this bubble, and wrote various papers – arguing, for example, that inflation targeting was dangerous because it rendered policymakers blind to the asset bubble which he felt was about to explode. He was right, and from a very early stage.
 
While there are other economists who got it right, few had such access to the world’s central bankers. This leaves White in an ideal position to tell us what he thought went wrong.



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