Whenever you make an optimistic prediction, you risk being wrong twice. First there is the risk that the prediction itself is wrong: 1,000 Concordes by 1973; flying cars; food in pill form. More often, though, it isn’t the prediction that’s wrong but the optimism that accompanies it.
The commonest failing of techno- optimists is to be right about future technologies but naively idealistic about the lasting enjoyment they will bring.
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