Hamish Macdonell

The Yes camp is gaining ground in the Scottish independence referendum

The Yes camp is closing the gap. That is the clear message from two new opinion polls published this morning.

Both polls – ICM for Scotland on Sunday and Panelbase for the Sunday Herald – show that the undecideds are, at last, starting to make up their minds. But in doing so, the undecideds are going to Yes in greater numbers than they are to No.

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That trend is clear, it is helping Yes to close the gap but it has not, as yet, given Yes anything like the support it needs to win the referendum in a month’s time. In the ICM poll, the undecideds are down from 21 per cent in July to just 14 per cent now.

That change has boosted the No camp by two percentage points, from 45 per cent to 47 per cent, but increased the Yes vote by four points, from 34 per cent to 38 per cent.

In total, the figures are: Yes 38 per cent, No 47 per cent, don’t know 14 per cent. If the undecideds are taken out, the overall figures are Yes 45 per cent (up two) and No 55 per cent (down two).

There is clearly movement here but, with a month to go, Yes Scotland managers will be hoping this trend will increase over the next couple of weeks to give them any chance of winning.

The Panelbase pollsters found Yes on 42 per cent, No on 46 per cent with 12 per cent undecided. When the don’t knows were excluded, the figures were Yes 48 per cent, No 52 per cent – a much, much tighter gap than that found by ICM. The

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