Politics Archives

Wednesday

6 May 2015

A day on the campaign trail with Labour and Ed Miliband

On Monday, I hopped aboard the Labour ‘battle bus’ for a day on the campaign trail with Ed Miliband. Although each party has a different campaign operation, I was a little surprised to find that journalists are given a bus of their own, travelling separately from the party leadership. But I still managed to gain some insight into Labour’s campaign and how Team Miliband are feeling about the election with in the final stretch. The battle bus The campaigning day began at 7:30am, with Labour’s battle bus pulling out of a garage in Westminster. I boarded with two other journalists, from the Financial Times and the Daily Mail. The large silver Mercedes coach was impressively decked out, including

Tuesday

5 May 2015

Steerpike

Ed Miliband comes to the defence of the #EdStone

Mr S reported earlier on Lucy Powell’s blunder after she unwittingly seemed to contradict the message of the EdStone: ‘I don’t think anyone is suggesting that the fact that he’s carved them in stone means he’s absolutely not going to break them or anything like that.’ Miliband has now come to the defence of his beloved monument. During an interview with the BBC’s deputy political editor James Landale, he was asked whether Powell, the vice-chair of Labour’s general election campaign, had got the wrong take-away message from his 8ft 6 sculpture. To this, Miliband replied, ‘Well, I’m clear about it, yes.’ At least somebody is clear. listen to ‘Ed Miliband says Lucy Powell was wrong to

Ed West

Unfortunately celebrity endorsements really do matter

Whoever comes top on Thursday, Labour has won the only poll that really matters – that of Britain’s beloved celebrities, with recent endorsements by Steve Coogan, Delia Smith, Robert Webb, Ronnie O’Sullivan and Jo Brand, among others. The Tories in contrast can only muster a few self-made businesswomen and Peter Stringfellow. Labour’s most important conquest, however, has to be comedian-turned-people’s poet Russell Brand, who previously suggested that voting was a waste of time, but now backs Ed Miliband. When it comes to this 21st-century political colossus, no one can better Rod Liddle’s words from a few months ago: ‘That’s why I enjoy my mornings in bed with Russell. It’s like a

Steerpike

Sell your Tory glory story: The Sun offers cash for Conservative testimonials

Mr S reported over the weekend that Rupert Murdoch has jetted in to Britain ahead of the election. Now in the UK, the media mogul, and arch rival of Ed Miliband, is expected to be running a tight ship across all News UK titles as polling day approaches. So Mr S couldn’t help but wonder which bright spark thought it was a good idea to place an advert from the Sun with a press agency offering money in return for a ‘good-news story’ about the Conservatives: The advert, which conveniently expired at 4.00pm today, offered Tory voters £100 for such stories but also required them to be available to be photographed within the next two hours. A

Sebastian Payne

Election podcast special: 48 hours to go

In today’s election special podcast, Fraser Nelson, James Forsyth, Isabel Hardman and I discuss David Cameron’s election rally with Boris Johnson in Hendon and whether the Mayor of London has been underused during the campaign. We also look at how David Cameron has proven, yet again, to be the essay crisis Prime Minister — showing his passion just in time for polling day. Plus, we discuss how Ed Miliband has surpassed all expectations during the campaign. You can subscribe to the View from 22 through iTunes and have it delivered to your computer or iPhone every week, or you can use the player below:

Fraser Nelson

Why has Rachel Reeves tried to blame the OBR for Ed Miliband’s job predictions?

Who is to blame for Ed Miliband getting the job projections so embarrassingly wrong? Famously, he used to go about advocating his ratio of doom: that there would be one private sector job lost for every state sector job shed by the coalition. Given that George Osborne intended to shed half a million government jobs, Miliband’s maths predicted a million jobs lost. Instead there were two million created – with 5 jobs created for every 1 shed by the government. His employment spokeswoman, Rachel Reeves, was challenged about this today in the welfare debate on BBC Two’s Daily Politics. She replied: ‘We were quoting numbers from the independent Office for Budget Responsibility… So the Office for Budget Responsibility got

Brendan O’Neill

I’m not voting on Thursday — but don’t you dare call me apathetic

With just 48 hours to go before we get to vote in officially the most boring election in history, the great and good are fretting over the apathy of the little people. We’ve seen the emergence of Poets Against Apathy — a group of northern scribes keen to shake the public out of its anti-political stupor — and numerous newspaper articles bemoaning the apathy of the masses. A whole section of the Guardian website is devoted to ‘Voter apathy’, featuring Owen Jones, Polly Toynbee, Charlie Brooker and others shaking their liberal heads over the disengaged. Brooker even refers to them as ‘idiots’ who say ‘Bah to everything. BAH BAH BAH.’ This

Steerpike

Another joker comes out for Labour

Eddie Izzard, Martin Freeman, Steve Coogan and Russell Brand. What is it with professional funny-men backing Labour? It’s a little odd that when Miliband is trying to show the world what a serious, potential statesman he can be, he puts jokers in Labour’s election broadcasts. Robert Webb, of Mitchell and Webb fame, is the latest to come out for Ed: ‘I don’t need the Labour Party to have the kind of leader you’d want to put on a T-shirt and God knows they continue to oblige me. Ed Miliband’s favourite track is probably “Persuading in the Name Of” by Reform Against the Machine. It’s not my rage he needs, it’s my vote.

Steerpike

Bow Group chairman Ben Harris-Quinney faces a patrons’ revolt

The Bow Group’s chairman Ben Harris-Quinney is not having a good day. Last night Bow Group patrons Michael Heseltine, Michael Howard, Norman Lamont and Nirj Deva MEP released a strongly-worded statement distancing themselves from the think-tank’s Ukip endorsement under Harris-Quinney’s leadership. Now all of the Bow Group patrons, including Sir Gerald Howarth, Adam Afriyie and David Davis, have signed the statement: ‘As Patrons of the Bow Group we believe that this country’s best interests are served by voting Conservative in all situations. Ben Harris-Quinney does not speak for us or represent our views.’ Harris-Quinney’s troubles don’t stop there. He has just been grilled by Andrew Neil on the Daily Politics, where group patron Michael Heseltine also voiced his

Steerpike

Lucy Powell says promises on Labour’s 8ft ‘Edstone’ may be broken

Oh dear. Lucy Powell has managed to mess up yet another media appearance. Appearing on Radio 5 Live, Powell attempted to justify Ed Miliband’s decision to commission an 8ft 6in stone with Labour’s election promises inscribed. When the presenter suggested that a stone wouldn’t make voters believe in a politician’s promises, Powell came out with a rather off-message reply: ‘I don’t think anyone is suggesting that the fact that he’s carved them in stone means he’s absolutely not going to break them or anything like that’ listen to ‘Lucy Powell says promises on Labour’s stone may be broken’ on audioBoom

Steerpike

Cameron wins 81 seat majority in the (junior) General Election

At last, David Cameron has won an election. First News, a weekly newspaper for school children, organised a national Junior General Election and surprisingly the PM has romped home with 40 per cent of the vote. The Greens beat both Clegg and Farage, and Miliband managed just 22 per cent of the vote. Running these numbers through the BBC’s election seat calculator, it would give Cameron 407 seats and a majority of 81. Here are the results in full: David Cameron, Conservative: 40 per cent Ed Miliband, Labour: 22 per cent Natalie Bennett, Green: 18 per cent Nick Clegg, Lib Dem: 9 per cent Nigel Farage, UKIP: 6 per cent Nicola Sturgeon, SNP: 4

Daniel Jackson

Scotland is on the verge of becoming a one-party state

My constituency is one of the SNP’s most coveted prizes. If they win in Midlothian they can win almost anywhere. This is Gladstone’s old seat, where the modern political campaign was born. He wrested it away from the Conservatives in 1880, after a series of stirring speeches on the government’s foreign policy failures. On Thursday the SNP are hoping to pull off a similar upset. The momentum behind the nationalists is incredible. Everything I’ve seen and heard in the last couple of weeks points to an SNP victory here. My entire family is voting for them. My mother suggested that I should do the same. ‘Give your dead grandfather a

Sebastian Payne

Campaign kick-off: 48 hours to go

Polling day is nigh upon us and the campaigns are going into overdrive today as the party leaders jump on buses, trains and planes to zoom around as many marginal seats as possible. Nick Clegg is taking the Liberal Democrat battle bus 1,000 miles from Land’s End to John O’Groats. Ed Miliband is continuing to campaign on the NHS while David Cameron is visiting marginals in the London and West Country. To help guide you through the melée of stories and spin, here is a summary of today’s main election stories. 1. Clegg rebounds Will Nick Clegg hang onto his Sheffield Hallam seat? Whether the Liberal Democrat leader survives or

Mark Gettleson

Predicting the unpredictable: 12 things to expect on election night

In the ‘most unpredictable election in a generation’, it’s a fool’s errand to make specific calls. However, it is possible to outline what the political landscape might look like on Friday morning. Throughout election night, there will be an obsession with whether the Conservatives or Labour end up as the largest party, far beyond its actual importance to forming the next government. If we’re at that stage of the discussion, it is Ed Miliband who will eventually end up in Downing Street, even if a minority Conservative administration has to be be formed and fall first. Labour will take dozens of seats in England, including almost all their targets from the

Monday

4 May 2015

Sebastian Payne

New Sheffield Hallam poll raises questions about Lord Ashcroft’s methodology

If Nick Clegg loses in Sheffield Hallam, it would be the Portillo moment of the 2015 election. After several tight polls, a new survey from ICM this evening suggests that the Lib Dem leader might be safe after all. When the names of candidates are prompted, ICM puts Clegg on 42 per cent — seven points ahead of the Labour candidate Oliver Coppard on 35 per cent. Without promoting by candidate name, ICM has Labour taking the seat, narrowly ahead by two points on 34 per cent. This is a rather different outlook to the one painted by Lord Ashcroft, who reported in his most recent marginal poll that Labour was on 37 per cent and the

Sebastian Payne

Election podcast special: three days to go

In today’s election special podcast, James Forsyth, Isabel Hardman and I discuss whether Nick Clegg will lose his seat in Sheffield, the current state of the seat predictions and the pros and cons of Russell Brand’s endorsement for Ed Miliband. Plus, we look at the latest pronouncements on coalitions and what is set to happen in the final 48 hours of the campaign. You can subscribe to the View from 22 through iTunes and have it delivered to your computer or iPhone every week, or you can use the player below:

Steerpike

The Bow Group stand divided over Ukip

Given that the Bow Group are the oldest Conservative think tank and count Michael Howard, Norman Lamont and Peter Lilley among their former chairmen, it’s safe to presume that the Tories would have thought that they could rely on their endorsement for the election. However, the Telegraph reported earlier today that the think tank, led by its colourful chairman Ben Harris-Quinney, have urged Conservatives to vote for Ukip in seats where the Tories can’t win. In fact Harris-Quinney appeared to go one step further by urging voters to opt for Ukip’s Mark Reckless in Rochester and Stroud. This is bizarre given that the Tories are hoping to win this seat back in the election. Stranger still,

Isabel Hardman

Can David Cameron square the 1922 Committee on another coalition?

As well as trying to prepare voters for what may happen after 8 May, David Cameron needs to make sure he has his party on board for the ride after the election, too. The 1922 Committee will need to approve a second coalition, but the hope in the Cameron camp is that this will be made easier by making the approval a show of hands from Tory MPs, rather than the secret ballot 1922 Committee chair Graham Brady wants. Two interesting points that loyalists advance is that the Lib Dems approved the 2010 Coalition with a show of hands and that many prominent 1922 Committee Executive members were against the

Steerpike

Coffee Shots: SNP voter trolls the Secretary of State for Scotland

Although one recent poll suggested that the SNP will win every seat in Scotland, there are still a few Liberal Democrat MPs who hope to retain their seats come Thursday. However, although Alistair Carmichael, the Secretary of State for Scotland and Liberal Democrat MP for Orkney and Shetland, winning his seat in 2010 by a majority of nearly 10,000 votes, he ought to be more alert to the dangers of the SNP. On a recent train journey, one SNP voter took a photo of herself posing with her ballot paper while Carmichael dozed off in the background: Mr S suspects that Carmichael won’t be getting much sleep now until polling day.

Isabel Hardman

Which arguments about government legitimacy are legitimate?

Well, Labour has started on its own mission of framing the post-election legitimacy debate. Responding to the Tory operation to prepare the public for what might happen from 8 May onwards, Ed Miliband’s party is now claiming that David Cameron is determined to stay in Downing Street even if his coalition loses its majority. A senior Labour official has told the Guardian: ‘All the noise coming out of the mouths of David Cameron and Nick Clegg is about how they can cling on to power even if their coalition loses its majority.’ Labour needs to set up a narrative of a desperate David Cameron holed up in Downing Street, refusing