Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Alex Massie

Mullin on Cameron

I’ve been reading Chris Mullin’s entertaining diaries and was interested to be reminded that David Cameron was a member of the Home Affairs Select Committee, chaired by Mullin. The Tory leader doesn’t feature often in the diaries, but here’s what Mullin has to say: November 15, 2001: “We have an impressive new Tory on the committee – David Cameron, a young, bright libertarian* who can be relied upon to follow his own instincts rather than the party line.” April 9th, 2002: “More than once, when we reached an impasse, David Cameron came to the rescue. The more I see of him, the more I like. He’s bright, personable and refreshingly

Fraser Nelson

Cameron’s secret meeting: live blog

As I type, David Cameron is in the Boothroyd Room, in Portcullis House, addressing Tory MPs who are anxious to hear if his Big Sorry on Friday amounts to a change in direction. True in the Cameroon spirit of open information, I’m being sent some dispatches in real time. Whether it’s interpretation or verbatim quotes isn’t clear: I’ll just pass it on to you raw.  The party, Cameron is saying, must reassure the public that they value public services.  Internal polling (which is the basis for the presentation – basically about party aims in 2009) has shown recently that the Tories are still vulnerable to being seen as anti-NHS. So care must be taken to combat this. Europe

James Forsyth

Why the Tory poll lead is likely to grow during the general election campaign

Conventional wisdom has it that the governing party recovers in the polls during an election campaign. The theory is that the incumbent party both gests to choose when the election is and benefits from the polls moving from being a referendum on the government to a choice between the parties. But—as Anthony Wells, Mike Smithson and Daniel Finkelstein argue—there is no evidence to support the idea that there is an automatic pendulum effect. So, those arguing that Labour’s poll numbers are definitely understating what the party will get in the general election are wrong. Looking ahead to the next election, I’d expect the Tories to actually have the better of

Fraser Nelson

It won’t be enough to just say “sorry”

So just how sorry is David Cameron? On Friday he put his hands up to being part of a “cosy consensus” on tax and spending. So I had expected his press conference today to declare he’d torn up his plans to outspend what he inherits from Labour. All bets are off, I expected him to say, it’s time for clean slate, and the Tories can make no promises on spending until they see the government books – i.e. real spending cuts aren’t ruled out. But nope – his original position still stands: that the only question in his mind is the rate of increase in spending. But it will increase.

Fraser Nelson

Any questions for Cameron?

So what would you ask David Cameron after his apology on Friday? It’s his press conference at 12.15pm today and I’m going along. If any CoffeeHousers have thoughts on a good question, let’s have them…

Just in case you missed them… | 16 March 2009

…here are some of the posts made over the weekend on Spectator.co.uk: Fraser Nelson salutes an unlikely hero for taxpayers. James Forsyth spots another G20 disappointment for Brown, and says that failure in Afghanistan would have terribel consequences. Peter Hoskin reports on the clique at the heart of the Tory party, and asks: where is the foreign policy?  Martin Bright offers some thoughts on political history. Clive Davis looks into the future of news. Alex Massie wonders whether Europe is a new threat to America. And Melanie Phillips looks into shallow science and its victims.

Some Thoughts on Political History

The brutal truth about politics is that a whole career can often be telescoped into a single defining event. The judgement of history can be particularly cruel on  unlucky Prime Ministers. Ted Heath’s reputation is dominated by the 1972 miners’ strike, Jim Callaghan is synonymous with the “winter of discontent” and Anthony Eden, perhaps the most ill-starred of all post-war PMs, will be forever associated with a single word: “Suez”. All those years of vaulting ambition, grinding thankless work and genuine public service reduced, in the end, to those two damning syllables. And how thin sometimes is that line between success and failure. Who remembers John Major for his remarkable

Fraser Nelson

Alistair Darling, the taxpayers’ unlikely hero

Might Alistair Darling prove to be a hero of the Labour endgame? When he was first appointed, I argued that he’d be a puppet – “no more a Chancellor than Captain Scarlet was an actor”. I have since heard plenty of stories to the contrary: that he is doing a pretty good job saving taxpayers from the baser intentions of Brown, Balls, Cooper etc. He has been busy chasing Shriti Vadera away from his territory – she’s prowling the City, claiming to speak with Brown’s authority. He is pushing for transparency and honesty in the government, insisting that his Pre-Budget Report went to 2013/14 so he could show how he

Charles Moore

The Spectator’s Notes | 14 March 2009

Why are people surprised that two soldiers and a policemen have been murdered in Northern Ireland? One of the key parts of the ‘peace process’ was the Patten report on policing. This recommended the disbandment of the RUC. The part of the RUC which caused most offence to republicans was the Special Branch. As a result, almost its entire body of expertise has been destroyed, and many of its individual former members brought under suspicion of loyalist ‘collusion’ by the authorities. So the new Police Service of Northern Ireland (the word ‘force’ is not permitted, of course) knows terrifyingly little about the activities of dissident republicans. This is why the

Blairism has destroyed the Labour party

David Selbourne says that New Labour won elections but eradicated all that was good in the party’s traditions. The Cameroons should learn from this terrible lesson The Thirties taught us that conditions of slump are a mixed blessing for the Left. But in today’s Weimar-like social and economic conditions, and with Toryism a shadow of its former self, it remains surprising that New Labour is in poor political shape. Other European left and social democratic parties are in a similar pickle. Why? In Britain, it is not the fault of any single individual, not even Gordon Brown. On the contrary, we are in the midst of a systemic failure which

We are not ready for an escalation of violence in Ulster

Dean Godson says that this week’s murders have yielded impressive displays of cross-party unity. But they also draw attention to Northern Ireland’s vulnerability to terrorist attack, and the risks that were always inherent in the dismantling of the Province’s security structure ‘After they die, they will be forgotten, just as the policemen and soldiers who died are forgotten after a while, except by those who loved them.’ So said Florence Cobb, widow of RUC Inspector Harry Cobb, murdered in Lurgan by the Provisional IRA in 1977. I recalled those simple but powerful words when I heard that Constable Stephen Paul Carroll had been murdered by dissident Republicans on Monday night

Fraser Nelson

Politics | 14 March 2009

The right to keep one’s political affiliation secret is in many eyes a sacred feature of British life. There are households where married couples don’t tell each other how they vote. Those who grew up during the Cold War era remember the years when, in some countries, party membership was a grim prerequisite of a halfway decent life. So it is still a matter of pride that, in Britain, one is never required to discuss one’s political beliefs. Unless, that is, you want to do a certain type of business with the state-controlled Royal Bank of Scotland. Geoff Robbins, a Cheshire-based computer consultant, recently approached RBS to ask for a

Fraser Nelson

Cameron’s apology isolates No.10

So Cameron said come out and said sorry. Again. The first stage of his S-Word was that apology on the Andrew Marr Show which was interrupted when the signal from North Kensington collapsed. Today he said…. “Of course I’m sorry that we have got some things wrong, we were right to call time on government debt but should we have said more about banking debt and corporate debt, yes, we should have done.  Actually saying sorry is the easy bit, the difficult bit is for politicians to look back and say right where did I go wrong; it’s that, that needs to take place in order to build this trust with

Alex Massie

The Perils of Being an MP

Tom Harris writes: There’s never a whip on Fridays; Friday sittings are reserved either for government-sponsored adjournment debates (when there’s no vote) or for Private Members’ Bills. I always enjoy the very different atmosphere that prevails on Fridays; there’s always a sense of camaraderie which cuts across party divisions, probably because everyone present is volunteering to give up a day in the constituency, often as a favour to a colleague who wants support for a particular measure. [Emphasis added.] He says this like it’s a bad thing. You mean MPs want to spend more time with voters? Why? What’s wrong with these people? Anyway, many of them live in places

Fraser Nelson

A mistake that must not be repeated

As I suspected, opinion amongst CoffeeHousers is divided as to whether RBS asking potential clients for their political affiliation is a big deal. A good chunk of you think this is a scandal. Others don’t. Where, they ask, is the story – it was a simple cock-up. RBS misread EU regulations about extending credit to Politically Exposed Persons (ie, overseas ministers who may be ‘vulnerable to corruption’) and ended up asked British clients if they belonged to political parties. RBS have apologised and didn’t mean any harm. And aren’t I being a bit paranoid linking this to the fact that RBS is state controlled – and trying to build this

Alex Massie

SNP to World: Help!

How would the SNP have delat with the banking crisis? The FT’s Jim Pickard points out that “This is a valid question. The rescue of the Scottish banks has cost British taxpayers an estimated £2,000 per household. If Scotland was independent, the figure could have been closer to £13,000. How would it have coped?“ Mike Russell, the minister for the Constitution, External Affairs and Culture, replied: “It would have been slightly different, it would have probably been done in co-operation with other countries…we would have done it in partnership with everyone involved.” Now perhaps the ECB might have helped and perhaps the Nationalists could have rustled up some cash from

The Other Side of the New Deal

Apologies for missing a day of blogging, but I’ve been hard at work trying to figure out how my idea for a New Deal of the Mind might work in practice. There seems to be some momentum growing around the concept of harnessing this country’s celebrated talent for creativity and innovation during the downturn. We are at severe risk of losing a generation of intellectual capital if we don’t turn our attention to deciding what the army of unemployed will do during the recession. They can’t be allowed just to sit it out. Like everyone else it seems, I have been reading up on Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal of the 1930s. I

Fraser Nelson

How Brown plans to borrow more money than the market would ever let him

In PMQs today, Gordon Brown described the era of nationalised banks as a “wholly new world”. How right he is. The collision between the worlds of politics and banking has created much potential for mischief and I look at some of it in my political column for tomorrow’s magazine including what for me is the single most chilling development since the nationalisations started – but I’ll save that for when the magazine comes out tomorrow. For now, I’d like to share with you another suspicious aspect. For a while in Coffee House we’ve been saying that the markets wouldn’t let Brown borrow more: what if the Arabs and Chinese tire

Alex Massie

When Failure is Rewritten as Success

An interesting, and telling, line from Jonathan Powell’s article on why we should not over-react to the latest outbreak of Republican violence in Northern Ireland: Gerry Adams and Martin McGuinness were determined to carry the Republican movement into peace as intact as possible. They moved slowly to avoid the traditional split and lost very few volunteers along the way. Unusually, the British government agreed with this approach. Instead of trying to encourage divisions, as in the past, we hoped they would carry the movement with them because we wanted to make peace once, not many times with many different groups. And we wanted to ensure that a capable and credible