Politics Archives

Monday

21 Dec 2009

Is the EU not glamorous enough for Lord Mandelson?

James Macintyre is well connected among Mandelson’s associates and he discloses that Gordon Brown agreed to back Mandelson if he chose to board the Eurotrain once more. Macintyre describes the revelation as a ‘demonstration of the supportive dynamic between what were at one time bitter enemies’, that’s true, though Brown would scarcely brand his right hand man an overrated liability. What’s more intriguing is why Mandelson chose not to apply for the job of EU foreign minister, which he considered for a time. Baroness Ashton can only expect to exercise ‘quiet diplomacy’ at best, which is unlikely to appeal to a man of Mandelson’s tastes. As Fraser noted yesterday and

Peter Hoskin

Simple but effective?

It’s the most straightforward dividing line the Tories could draw: “Tories good, Labour bad”. But it’s still striking to see it deployed quite so bluntly as in George Osborne’s Telegraph article this morning. His point is that four more years of Labour will lead us to ruin, whereas a Conservative government would pull us out of the mire. Here are some snippets: “Down the path of least resistance lie economic decline, higher interest rates, high unemployment, and more social breakdown. This is the path down which a cynical and exhausted Labour Government tempts us. But there is another path that leads to lasting recovery, rising prosperity, social responsibility and a

The Spectator

Just in case you missed them… | 21 December 2009

…here are some posts made over the weekend on Spectator.co.uk: Fraser Nelson wonders whether Peter Mandelson is planning to run as Mayor of London, and laments the pessimism of the left. James Forsyth says that David Cameron plans to lighten up, and outlines Gordon Brown’s PR dilemma. Peter Hoskin sets out the dangers with a Tory policy blitz, and reports on a slightly surprising stat. David Blackburn reports on the latest opinion poll, and discusses the relevance of politics. Daniel Korski blames Bono for the Copenhagen failure. Rod Liddle attacks the hypocrisy of commentators on the Munir Hussain case. Alex Massie gives us some Sunday Afternoon Country. And Cappuccino Culture

Fraser Nelson

Europe: ignoring the Lisbon Treaty when it suits them

Is Greece too big to fail? When the Eurozone project was up and running, its taxpayers were promised: this was not a system where they’d have to bail out a badly-run country like Greece or Italy (or Brown’s Britain, were we members). But this rule (a clause in the Lisbon Treaty) is being torn up with various assurances from Germany and the ECB that they Greece is too big to fail – and they’d rather put their taxpayers’ wonga on the table than risk their precious promise. I made this point in my News of the World column yesterday (that bit not online). Here’s the story: 1. The Eurozone did

Sunday

20 Dec 2009

David Blackburn

It’s the economy, isn’t it?

The Tories’ 17 point lead in this morning’s Observer Ipsos-Mori poll has got tongues wagging. The headline figure is that confidence in the economy, and by extension the government’s management of it, has collapsed since the PBR. Just 32 percent of voters believe the economy will improve in 2010, compared to 46% last month. The politics of debt and the public finances appear to have swung decisively in favour of the Conservatives, and the leadership must press that advantage all the way to the ballot box. But the economy represents only part of the explanation. Anthony Wells’ digest of the poll is a must read, and he notes that the ‘lack of political weighting’ has ‘produced such extreme switches

David Blackburn

Labour calls cease-fire on binge drinking

The government has sued for peace. The Observer reports that in the face of lobbying from the drinks industry, the government has dropped its mandatory code on the sale of alcohol, which Gordon Brown first brewed-up during the local election campaign. Labour excuses the u-turn on the grounds that vulnerable pubs and drinks retail industry must remain viable during this fragile economic situation. On the face of it, that is sensible; delve deeper and that excuse does not hold. Of course, there’s no sense in endangering businesses by punishing all drinks deals and ‘happy hour’ promotions. However, aspects of the code would have outlawed promotions such as ‘all you can

Fraser Nelson

Mayor Mandelson?

When Mandelson said in his Spectator interview that he plans another 15 to 20 years in politics, what could he have meant? Now that his European career is over, there is only one decent post coming up for a Labour figure in the first half of the next decade – and I float the latest theory in my News of the World column today: that Mandy might stand as Mayor of London in 2012. A bizarre notion, I grant you, but no less bizarre than his CV to date – and Ken Livingstone is certainly taking the prospect seriously. Whoever the Labour candidate, they have a pretty good chance given

Saturday

19 Dec 2009

The Spectator

A simple solution

There is something deeply unfashionable about British poverty. We worry endlessly about melting glaciers, and wear wristbands to demand an end to hardship in faraway lands. Christmas cards are sold in aid of dogs, birds and children in other countries. But we prefer to avert our eyes from the British poor. They’re looked after by the welfare state, aren’t they? Problem solved, now let’s get on with enjoying Christmas. It might be easier to ignore problems at home, but that won’t make them disappear. This Christmas one in six British people will be jobless — and even this horrific figure masks a far worse picture regionally. A quarter of Birmingham,

James Forsyth

Cameron plans to lighten up

David Cameron’s interview with Tim Shipman suggests that the Tory leader is about to undergo a course correction. The Tories have, rightly, begun to be frank with the public about the cuts that will need to be made and have, again rightly, refused to rule out a short-term rise in VAT. But the ‘we’re all in this together’ rhetoric has only been applied to the tough measures that are needed now not the prosperity that might follow in years to come. If Cameron is to start showing the public more of his vision of where he wants to take Britain then that is to be welcomed. But he also needs

Peter Hoskin

Slightly surprising stat of the day

According to a YouGov poll in tomorrow’s People (reported by the paper’s political editor, Nigel Nelson, on Twitter): “1% more people would rather have G.Brown than D.Cameron round for Christmas dinner.” There’s better news elsewhere in the poll for the Tories: the gap between them and Labour is back in double digits. It’s the Tories on 40 percent, Labour on 28, and the Lib Dems on 18.

Peter Hoskin

The dangers with a Tory policy blitz

Sounds like the Tories are going to go policy-heavy in the New Year. According to this morning’s Times, Team Cameron are going to publish a “draft election manifesto” around 4 January, which will – as James revealed in his political column this week – set up a “policy-a-day blitz” throughout the rest of the month. There will also be a separate policy release “showcasing the party’s commitment to the NHS”. The thinking is that all this will regain some momentum for the party, as well as answering the charge that the Tory operation lacks substance. Question is: will it work? Well, we’ve often called for more detail from the Tory

Friday

18 Dec 2009

Peter Hoskin

The case for John Hutton as a New Labour hero

Ok, so identifying the heroes of the New Labour era may not sit well with CoffeeHousers – but I’d still recommend you read through the latest Bagehot column in the Economist, which does just that. It identifies five figures from the past 12 years who have “done the state and country some serious and lasting service,” and whose “virtues [are] not be clouded or cancelled by grave mistakes or misdemeanours”. They are: Lord Adonis, Donald Dewar, Lord Mandelson, Sir William Macpherson and Robin Cook. James Purnell, Alistair Darling and, strikingly, Bill Clinton finish in the runners-up list. You can debate the merits and demerits of those names all day long,

Alex Massie

Sion Simon’s Totalitarian Mazurka

I’m glad Pete mentioned Sion Simon’s expenses embarrassment, not least because it allows one to return to one of the funniest, strangest pieces of punditry one has seen in years. Sadly I was in Washington and missed it at the time, so thanks too to Guido for drawing it to my attention. The scene is the Labour conference in 2007 and our friends at the New Statesman give Mr Simon the chance to share his impressions of conference… Perhaps the magnitude of the moment we face is too great for us collectively to bear. Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority, and in so

Peter Hoskin

Festive cheer

Well, Nick Clegg’s reponse to the Labour chief whip’s Christmas card made me smile: “Both myself and Nick Brown have good reason to be embarrassed. I posed for pictures in ridiculous fancy dress 20 years ago – and he is an MP for the Labour Party.” Hat-tip for the picture: the FT’s Jim Pickard

Thursday

17 Dec 2009

James Forsyth

Timing contrition

James Crabtree, a Labour SPAD turned managing editor of Prospect, has a good piece in the new Prospect about how the first step to recovery for Labour after the next election, assuming they lose, will be saying sorry. Crabtree argues that even if the Tory majority is small, Labour would be ill-advised to move straight into oppositional mode, attacking every Tory cut. Rather, he argues, the party needs to understand that its “brand is now nearly as contaminated as the Tories before it.” One of the challenges for the Tories should they win the next election will be bringing home to the public just what an appalling state Labour

David Blackburn

Prepare for Eurocracy

Baroness Ashton outlines her objectives in today’s Times. She makes a number of sensible points on Afghanistan, European aid efforts and energy security; but, despite this week’s revelations and ironically in view of the Peter Brookes cartoon above the article, Iranian nuclear proliferation receives a cursory sentence. This undermines the EU’s committment to enforcing sanctions on an obviously antagonistic and mad regime, and suggests that the notion of the EU taking pre-emptive military action with its allies is fanciful. The implication is that defence and security are secondary issues, or simply too divisive for member states to reach accord. What, therefore, is the point of an EU foreign ministry? Ashton

Peter Hoskin

Brown’s class war could doom Labour for years

A lot of pixels have been expended on Labour’s new class war and soak-the-rich strategies, so it’s worth highlighting the in-a-nutshell argument which Tom Harris deploys against them on his blog: “Rather than using opinion polls as a basis on which to judge the wisdom of class politics, let’s take a rather different measure: general election results. In 1979, 1983, 1987 and 1992, Labour promised tax increases (but only for the wealthy) and got hammered. In 1997, 2001 and 2005, we pledged not to increase the basic or higher rates of tax. And golly! Look what happened!” Ok, correlation and cause aren’t necessarily the same thing. But there’s a strong

David Blackburn

A parting shot

I need a new radio for Christmas. Whilst listening to Dr. Sir Liam Donaldson tell the Today programme that parents should not offer their fifteen year old offspring alcohol, my pocket-radio had an altercation with a wall. The soon to be retiring chief medical officer said: “The more they get a taste for it, the more likely they are to be heavy drinking adults or binge drinkers later in childhood.” This latest soothsaying counts among Sir Liam’s other alcohol-related triumphs; he also gave us the inscrutable phenomenon of “passive drinking” – I don’t know about you but this guy makes me drink actively. Continental Europe has its fair share of

Peter Hoskin

What will today mean for the expenses saga?

So MPs have until the end of today to declare whether they’re appealing against Sir Thomas Legg’s request that they repay certain expenses claims. Three have already done just that, one from each of the main parties: Jeremy Browne, Frank Cook and Bernard Jenkin. You imagine that more may follow throughout the day, especially given the rumblings that the Legg review contained a fair few errors. Now, it’s only fair that MPs have a right of appeal – but you still wonder what it will mean for the expenses saga more generally. From the public’s perspective, a swathe of appeals could look like MPs resisting reform. From Parliament’s perspective, it

Wednesday

16 Dec 2009

Peter Hoskin

Unless they defuse the issue, the Tories will face Ashcroft questions every day until the election

If PMQs today showed anything, it’s just how eager the Tories’ opponents are to bring up the issue of Lord Ashcroft. Vince Cable set the ball rolling by referring to the Tory deputy chairman as a “non dom”, and Harriet Harman gleefully followed up by firing questions in William Hague’s direction. She was cut off – and rightly so – by John Bercow. But the insinuations about the Lord and his tax status had already been made. Now, you could say that this is pretty low stuff from Labour and the Lib Dems. After all, David Cameron pledged earlier this week to legislate so that all MPs and peers are