Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Alex Massie

Brown’s Scorched Earth policy

Mr E is correct to highlight this significant post from Fraser Nelson: The Scorched Earth policy has begun. The FT has a hugely significant story – that the Treasury is “working privately on plans to reform Gordon Brown’s fiscal rules” which would “initially allow for increased borrowing”. In the vernacular, Brown has realised that if the Tories win the next election the he is now spending with Cameron’s Gold Card – every by-election bribe, every union sellout will be funded by borrowing with the bill sent to D. Cameron Esq. Cameron will have to tax us to pay for what Brown is today spending. The Treasury is claiming that it

The week in posts

Fraser Nelson wondered if Labour’s welfare reform proposals would cost it Glasgow East and critiqued the Tory plan to import US-style bankruptcy protections for failing firms. James Forsyth looked at where the SATS scandal will go next and what Brown might offer the Unions for their support. Sarah Standing recommended that we all cheer ourselves up by going to see Mama Mia.  

Fraser Nelson

Going places on welfare

It is a red letter day for welfare reform. James Purnell’s Green Paper, leaked today, is a clear, honest and robust approach to the scandal of Britain’s 5.1m on benefits. I say in my political column in this week’s magazine that it is so close to Chris Grayling’s report (mainly because David Freud essentially wrote both parties’ policies) that the Tories should accept it and wish Purnell well. This is precisely what Chris Grayling has done today, praising Purnell’s bravery and pledging to support him. This is a breakthrough.   Bipartisan agreement is the condition for welfare reform. As I say in the column, this was true in Wisconsin in

Fraser Nelson

Brown is not playing by the rules any more

The Scorched Earth policy has begun. The FT has a hugely significant story – that the Treasury is “working privately on plans to reform Gordon Brown’s fiscal rules” which would “initially allow for increased borrowing”. In the vernacular, Brown has realised that if the Tories win the next election the he is now spending with Cameron’s Gold Card – every by-election bribe, every union sellout will be funded by borrowing with the bill sent to D. Cameron Esq. Cameron will have to tax us to pay for what Brown is today spending. The Treasury is claiming that it was always going to “review” its 40% limit after the current economic

Alex Massie

Labour Isn’t Working

Would even the west of Scotland Labour party stoop to producing a fake war hero to endorse Margaret Curran in the Glasgow East by-election? According to Guido, why yes they would…

Fraser Nelson

Will Labour’s welfare reform proposals cost it Glasgow East?

Has Glasgow East influenced the postponed 2p increase in fuel duty, as David Cameron implied today? I doubt it, for a depressing reason. The place is so poor that most households in that constituency – 59% to be precise – simply don’t have access to a car (let alone own one). For the record, here are the car ownership figures for some of the estates in Glasgow East (from the 2001 census). In Parkhead North, 77.2% have no car. In Easterhouse it’s 71%. In Banlanark, 71%. In Bridgeton, 64%.  I can understand why, in Westminster, they may have a vision of the motorists of Glasgow East punching the air in

Fraser Nelson

Clegg shines at PMQs

I watched PMQs from the vantage point of Simon Mayo’s Radio Five studio today, with John Pienaar. We both scribble furiously during the PMQs – John has to select clips and present a narrative instantly. Now Cable has gone, only Cameron provides the jokes. And he was on especially good form today. John spotted that Cameron used the word “useless” three times. This must have been deliberate. I can easily imagine Andy Coulson in a meeting saying Brown’s main claim to fame is being dull-but-competent. Strip out competent, and you’re not left with much. “The Prime Minister has a nerve to accuse me of inconsistency,” said Cameron. “I said he

Fraser Nelson

Osborne lays out the Tory vision, the Treasury lays on the drinks

Just back from two great functions – George Osborne’s excellent speech to the Centre for Policy Studies and the HM Treasury summer reception. Osborne’s speech was basically the best Cameron ideas without any of the dodgy ones (like that Chapter 11 malarkey) – and a full narrative, focusing on worklessness and Labour’s failure in unemployment. Osborne said the most important statistic he wanted us to take away was that youth unemployment is now higher than the OECD average where in 1997 it was way below. “Know that fact, and you will know why Labour has failed There were lots of powerful points in Osborne’s speech. None new, but put together

Fraser Nelson

Why I still think importing Chapter 11 is a bad move

Today is one of those days when I had a Tom Harris moment and realise the perils of blogging. I checked PoliticsHome (as I do pretty much ever hour) to see that I was referring to “Cameron’s ‘disastrous’ left-wing business plan.” Hardly a wicked distortion of what I wrote – but not what I meant either. For the record, I don’t considerer Cameron’s entire business plan to be intrinsically left wing. I was referring only to the introduction of a Chapter 11-style insolvency law to Britain, which I oppose. I also believe that in proposing it Cameron is positioning himself to the left of Labour. I consider this to be

Fraser Nelson

Food price inflation is now in double-digits

Let’s quickly unpack today’s horrendous inflation figures. According to the Consumer Price Index, food inflation is now a staggering 10.6 percent year-on-year. I had previously predicted double-digit food price inflation by Christmas. But this double-digit rise in the price of food is concealed in today’s headline inflation figures of 3.8 percent CPI and 4.6 percent Retail Price Index – which factor in a 7.5% dip in clothing. In Cabinet today, Brown was expounding on his narrative that this is a global problem. But one of the biggest factors behind this is sterling’s loss of value – 13 percent against a trade-weighted index – which is of the same magnitude as

Fraser Nelson

Cameron’s left-wing chapter

Some of the most left-wing things David Cameron says involve his plans for business. Take his plan, announced this morning, for a “Chapter 11” for British industry. Even Labour’s most influential voices in business like Gerald Frankel failed to have it adopted by Gordon Brown and Tony Blair. Why? Because it’s a potentially disastrous idea which throws a lifeline to badly-managed companies, and can be used by the least scrupulous to launder their balance sheet and re-enter the market with prices that well-run rivals simply can’t compete with. This December 2003 article in Harvard Business Review shows how Chapter 11 is abused by companies – like WorldCom – who use

Fraser Nelson

Brown’s unemployed army

Ever since JFK established the Peace Corps, policymakers here have been keen on a British version of it. The latest idea is from the new knife crime tsar, Alf Hitchcock, who tells the Daily Mail that he’d like all young unemployed to do a kind of national service. It’s a seductive thought, but has he thought about the scale? Gordon Brown has raised an army of 686,000 under-25s claiming out-of-work benefits (DWP breakdown here)—more than six times the strength of the ever-thinning British army (105,090) and larger than even the United States army (525,482). Add in all the British under-35s kept on out of work benefits of various kinds and

Alex Massie

New Labour Gets Ruthless

Labour’s latest approach to crime: Plans to ‘shock’ knife carriers Not quite what it seems admittedly, even though wouldn’t surprise you if these clowns did suggest we start electrocuting teenagers, would it?

Charles Moore

The Spectator’s Notes | 12 July 2008

It is probably just as well that the Ray Lewis fiasco happened to Boris Johnson as Mayor, because otherwise it might have happened to David Cameron as Prime Minister. As soon as he became Conservative leader, Mr Cameron went round to see Mr Lewis’s Eastside Young Leaders Academy. It was a token of his seriousness about healing the ‘broken society’. If Mr Lewis had been made captain of the flagship special programme of a new Cameron administration, it would have been embarrassing. It is obviously true that more ‘due diligence’ (not a phrase once associates with Boris) should have been done on Mr Lewis. But there are some less obvious

Fraser Nelson

Labour needs someone with the guts to tell the party what it must do to avoid disaster

Gordon Brown is not used to being spoken back to in Cabinet, which made a recent session on tackling David Cameron all the more memor-able. The civil servants were sent away, as is the custom at political Cabinet meetings, and the Prime Minister laid forth the Gospel according to St Gordon. The Conservatives had not changed, he said, and the next election would be a choice between Tory cuts and Labour investment — the narrative of the 2001 and 2005 campaigns. When he finished, there was an embarrassed silence. Then, one by one, his colleagues told him why he was wrong. This time last year, the Prime Minister could have

Rod Liddle

Shouting abuse at fat people is not just fun. It’s socially useful

Rod Liddle is impressed by David Cameron’s speech in Glasgow and the Tory leader’s call for greater personal responsibility. Antisocial behaviour needs to be stigmatised, not treated as an illness to be cured Good for David Cameron. There was a grotesquely fat woman in front of me in the checkout queue at Sainsbury’s this week, so fat I couldn’t see the car park; she looked like 26 Ethiopians, if you put them in a blender, added some bleach and gelatine and then allowed the result to set for 38 years in the fridge. Her trolley was full of prepackaged brown filth, tramp-semen-flavoured nacho chips, pasta shaped into an approximation of

A week in posts

Here are a selection of the Coffee House posts made this week: Fraser Nelson explains what is really going on in the credit market and writes about how the Glasgow East by-election is shining light on the two nations of Scotland. James Forsyth wondered whether Labour should get the defeat out of the way as quickly as possible and what had made Harriet Harman crack such a damaging joke at PMQs. Americano looked at Obama’s biggest advantage and how McCain could trump Obama’s convention speech.

Alex Massie

Older? Wiser? Not so much…

Good grief. Just to be clear, if you’re the Prime Minister and some hack puts it to you, idiotically, that “Some women say you remind them of Heathcliff”… you do not reply, even jokingly, “Absolutely. Well, maybe an older Heathcliff, a wiser Heathcliff.” Madness. Needless to say the papers are having some sport with this: Andrew McCarthy, the acting director of the Bronte Parsonage Museum in Yorkshire, told The Daily Telegraph: “Heathcliff is a man prone to domestic violence, kidnapping, possibly murder, and digging up his dead lover. He is moody and unkind to animals. Is this really a good role model for a prime minister?” Gerald Warner weighs in:

Fraser Nelson

House price crash the worst since the war

For months we’ve been hearing that however bad it may be with Brown, it was worse under Major. But new house price data from the Halifax shows that this is not the case. House prices have declined more sharply than at any time since 1983. Prices have dropped 8.7 percent year on year, 8.5 percent in the last six months and 5.9 percent in the last three months. So Brown has already broken Major’s unwanted record on house prices, as well as sterling depreciation. The quarterly house price data, which started in 1955 never showed significant downturns. And real estate rose steadily in the post-war years. The razor-sharp Michael Saunders