Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Lloyd Evans

Flu takes over at PMQs

A total cheat at PMQs today. It was a swine flu swindle. Only a week has passed since Labour’s manifesto-busting tax-hikes were announced in Darling’s bankruptcy budget and the MPs’ expenses scandal is still pumping out clouds of noxious smoke and yet Cameron allowed himself to be persuaded that the pig-bug business equals a State of Emergency. If Cameron agreed to a truce today he was duped. Rather than hammering the prime minister he joined him in a stage-managed recital of announcements and statistics.  So what if a few million extra masks have been ordered? The health secretary should deal with that. People watch PMQs for a cage-fight that reveals the competing strengths

Alex Massie

Swine Flu and Decentralisation

Actually, Tuesdays are now the best day for the NYT’s op-ed page since in addition to Ross there’s David Brooks. His column today is a good one, making the point that the response to the swine flu outbreak offers a fresh example of the debate Brooks frames as: Do we build centralized global institutions that are strong enough to respond to transnational threats? Or do we rely on diverse and decentralized communities and nation-states? Gordon Brown is, you will be shocked to discover, in the former camp. Brooks, sensibly, puts himself in the latter. This is not, you’ll appreciate, merely a question of how best to deal with an infectios

Fraser Nelson

Video nasty

A Labour-supporting friend of mine, who should know about these things, emails with a serious question: “Do you think that GB having to withdraw the YouTube doctrine on expenses is the biggest humiliation in Downing Street communications since the Women’s Institute? I can’t think of an equal.” Well, I can. The botched election and the Damian McBride affair, to name but two – but that bizarre YouTube dance, admittedly, is a close third. As my friend continues, “I used to think the Brownites were all tactics and no strategy but that’s unfair. They are **** at tactics too. Amateurs. The budget is the worst I have seen since Howe in

Fraser Nelson

Brown plays politics over troop numbers

So Gordon Brown is in Afghanistan, pledging that Britain will provide 700 more  troops “to allow us to do more during the election period. We are confident that we are shouldering our share of the burden”. I hear that he made this commitment for a pre-election troop surge at the G20 summit to suck up to Obama – but that he hadn’t squared this with the military, who had a frantic few days trying to work out how how on earth they would find the men. Ditto his notorious claim, made during the 2007 Tory conference, that 1,000 troops would be home by Christmas. The MoD had no idea what

Just in case you missed them… | 27 April 2009

…here are some of the posts made on Spectator.co.uk over the weekend: Fraser Nelson warns that David Cameron needs to up his game. James Forsyth reports on Cameron’s warnings of tax rises from the Tories’ spring conference, and questions their unwillingness to support the creation of a bad bank. Peter Hoskin introduces Coffee House’s national debt counter, and says that any chance Brown had for a comeback is behind him.  Martin Bright hails Janice Turner’s attack on the undeserving rich, and shares his visions of a Boris future. Clive Davis discusses Jack Johnson. And Alex Massie celebrates Dolly Parton.

Fraser Nelson

Cameron needs to up his game

Cameron is set to deliver a fiery speech to the Tory spring conference, but events are moving fast and he’s struggling to keep up. For a start, last week’s Budget implied 2.3 percent spending cuts for the three years covered by next year’s spending review. Cameron was still talking about spending “growth” in his Cardiff speech last month, and Darling buried this idea before he did. There is a strong case for the government to spend less of other people’s money, not just “restraint” in the increases. But I suspect we won’t hear it today. Instead, the case we are hearing from the Tories often lacks coherence.  ConservativeHome tells us

Janice Turner: Heroine of the People

It’s not often you find a full-blown leftie on the pages of The Times (or any British newspaper come to that). But Janice Turner’s attack o the undeserving rich today is magnificent. Get Thee To a Miserable Swiss Tax Haven is a wonderful, joyous broadside against the whingers who believe that the new 50 pence tax rate will kill enterprise. She’s not really a socialist, she’s an old-fashioned liberal with a social conscious (which puts you pretty much on the left after the shift in the consensus that took place in the mid-1990s). But this paragraph is particularly good: “The disturbing thing about Alistair Darling’s Budget was not that it

Matthew Parris

From capering to caped crusader

Matthew Parris says Mayor Johnson must now focus obsessively on fixing London’s transport system In more ways than one, the suffix ‘ism’ is not easily appended to the word ‘Boris’. Indeed ‘Borisism’ sounds so ungainly that some may pray that no such phenomenon ever needs to be described. If so, the prayer has been answered. After his first year in power the most powerful Tory in contemporary British politics — the individual Conservative with the biggest personal mandate in history — has to his credit a solid list of plans actioned and things done. To this may be added a more colourful list: of poses struck and capers capered. The

Fraser Nelson

Printer rage

You have heard about Brown hurling staplers and mobiles in a rage before. But laser printers? A new one to me. Bloomberg, hardly a salacious source, says this in a story it has just released: “The prime minister, 58, has hurled pens and even a stapler at aides, according to one; he says he once saw the leader of Britain’s 61 million people shove a laser printer off a desk in a rage. Another aide was warned to watch out for “flying Nokias” when he joined Brown’s team. One staffer says a colleague developed a technique called a “news sandwich” — first telling the prime minister about a recent piece

A fractured covenant

The 50p tax bombshell is not only a reversion to the worst politics of envy – a form of politics one hoped, naively as it turned out, had been consigned to the dustbin of history. It is also the worst manifestation yet of a very modern aspect of Brownite Labour. As I wrote in the Sunday Telegraph at the weekend, Damian McBride’s vile emails sent from a Government address and the heavyhanded arrest of Damian Green both reflect a dangerous belief that the public interest and party political interest are identical, co-terminous. Last night, Labour insiders made little attempt to pretend that the logic behind the 50p tax was fiscal:

What Would a Budget for Innovation, Enterprise and Aspiration Look Like?

The papers make pretty depressing reading this morning, whether you are Alistair Darling, a Spactator reader facing the prospect of a 50p top tax rate or a member of the mythological “hardworking” family. Growth at its lowest rate since the war, stratospheric debt, unemployment over two million: the end of the first decade of the 21st century is turning into a living nightmare. And I don’t buy the prediction that this will be over by the end of the year.  I agree with those who say that the government which takes us out of recession will harness the hard work, enterprise and aspiration of the nation. But I really don’t

Budget 2009: Politics before economics

Quite simply, the 50p top tax rate is designed as a trap for the Tories. The IFS have already said that 45p wouldn’t raise any money, so 50p certainly won’t either. It may well have the effect of driving talented people away from Britain to countries like America or Switzerland, where the top rates are 35 percent and 30 percent respectively. People may not cry over the bankers, but they will cry over us losing talented software writers and the like.  That will have a deletorious effect our ability to forge a new economy after the recession.  And it is a good demonstration of Brown doing harm to the country

Fraser Nelson

Deficits to come

Michael Saunders, chief economist at Citi, is, for my money, the best analyst out there. We use his stuff regularly at Coffee House. If you have the nerve (and if you’re not on Osborne’s Treasury Team, who would find what follows sickening), click after the jump for his graphs on projected deficits. As he says: “The Chancellor appears to have opted for vague plans for medium-term tightening, hoping that the gesture of eventual fiscal restraint will avert a fiscal crisis and avoid the political crisis that Labour would face from serious measures to address the UK’s fiscal weakness. But, in practice, these forecasts probably will convince few (if any) outside

Fraser Nelson

What the Treasury told lobby journalists

Earlier, I referred to a Treasury briefing for journalists. This is an event which takes place straight after the Budget for lobby journalists. As it is on the record, we at Coffee House figured we’d release a transcript. It’s an historic Budget, this is your money they’re talking about and the the Treasury’s thinking is crucial. This is from a senior Treasury civil servant, taking questions from about four dozen lobby journalists after he had gone through the main points of the Budget: There is no change in the projection of public spending growth from next year onwards? No, there is, there is.  He announced in his speech that it

Budget 2009: Incompetent and vindictive

I almost felt sorry for Darling, as he delivered this preposterous Budget. Lacking Brown’s capacity for self-deception, he cannot possibly believe the growth forecasts he offered us, and on which his borrowing plans depend. There was nothing in today’s speech to suggest that the Government has the remotest idea of a credible plan to rebuild the British economy; the announcements and re-announcements which purported to support jobs and boost industry were almost all as trivial – or illusory – as the spending cuts which are meant to sustain them. But this was also a deeply socialist Budget, setting its face against the City and against the engines of growth. Brown

The politics of a 50p top rate

This was an astonishing Budget for all sorts of reasons – mostly connected to the proposed levels of debt. But I was most struck by the political symmetry of Darling’s decision to raise the top rate of tax to 50 per cent for those earning more than £150,000 pa. In his 1998 book The Unfinished Revolution – a book that was combed for lessons by the Cameroons in their early days at the helm – Philip Gould wrote the following: “I have never had any doubt: increasing the top rate put us at political risk. Blair was always instinctively against raising the top rate, Brown more inclined to keep the

Fraser Nelson

The pre-Budget bombshells

Two bombshells have landed pre-Budget. One: tax receipts are falling even faster than we thought (central government revenues down 12% in March, a record drop) and the 2008-09 deficit to £90bn, double the £43bn Darling forecast in his last Budget. Black hole, anyone? Next: claimant unemployment is now 1.46m. Last October, in his PBR, Darling forecast 1.41m unemployed by the end of the year. It hit 1.46m by March – the highest in 12 years. So how much worse can it become?  The below graph, from Citi, is worth a thousand words. This isn’t even the end of the beginning.  

Let’s Pray For No Rabbits

James has predicted that there will be a good news element to the Budget that no one has yet predicted. I do hope there is good news, but I also hope it isn’t presented with a last-minute flourish. The 10 pence tax fiasco should be warning enough on this front.  Judged on his set-piece performances so far, however, Alistair Darling is not a rabbit-out-of-the hat kind of guy. I am delighted that the indications so far suggest  he is concentrating on the employment situation and that he has fended off some of the pressure from next door. I fear Matthew is right when he says that there are signs of

Darling needs to blow economic dog-whistle

Whatever the economic equivalent of a “dog-whistle” is, Alistair Darling needs to blow on it loud and clear today. The briefings and counter-briefings from Numbers Ten and Eleven in recent weeks have made clear the rift between a Chancellor who wants at least to acknowledge fiscal reality, and a Prime Minister who wants to keep spending and borrowing, though the Heavens fall. Darling needs to remain notionally loyal to his boss but make it clear to those looking for the right signals that he grasps the true nature of the crisis and understands that this Budget is about more than establishing political dividing-lines against the Tories. The PM has already