Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

A change of address

So – in an effort to save taxpayers’ money – David Miliband is to permanently vacate his lavish official residence.  Over at Three Line Whip, Con Coughlin is disappointed by the move, thinking it will undermine the stature of the Foreign Secretary – “Foreign visitors expect to be received in some style when they come to London”. David Hughes counters by pointing-out that “there’s hardly a dearth of venues for official receptions and dinners”.   I’m with Hughes. Foreign visitors may have their expectations, but British taxpayers expect something too – namely, that their cash isn’t used to fund the gravy-train. And – whilst there’s a slight whiff of opportunism about Miliband’s decision – it’s still good to

A cut lead for Boris

As Centre Right reveal, today’s Evening Standard records a cut poll lead for Boris. Their latest YouGov poll has Our Man on 45 percent (down 4 on the last poll); Livingstone on 39 percent (up 3); and Paddick on 12 percent (up 2). Things look rosier when second preferences are allocated – Boris lands 54 percent of the vote, compared to Livingstone’s 46 percent.   The slimmer advantage is testament not only to Livingstone’s resilience, but also to a week in which Boris has seemed oddly deflated. His performance in last week’s Newsnight debate was less-than-stellar, and A.A. Gill’s article in the Sunday Times described the Tory candidate as unusually “glum and uninspiring”. The

Brown shouldn’t fear the stalking horses

It is a modern ritual that when a party political leader’s fortunes plummet – and Gordon Brown’s certainly fit that category – there is talk of a leadership contest and, specifically, of a “stalking horse” candidate. Here’s an entertaining look in Slate at the origins of the phrase. But, for most of us, the words trigger memories of Sir Anthony Meyer’s challenge to Margaret Thatcher for the Tory leadership in 1989 – doomed in itself, but the key that turned the lock to her downfall a year later. The Conservative leadership rules in those days were sufficiently flexible to make such a challlenge meaningful, and enabled contenders to step into the

Just in case you missed them… | 14 April 2008

Here are some posts made over the weekend: Matthew d’Ancona thinks Gordon Brown is his own worst enemy. Fraser Nelson charts Brown’s reign of error. Peter Hoskin tracks the growing sentiment that our Prime Minister won’t make it to the next election. And James Forsyth stresses the importance of May 1 to the Government, and reports on the effort to curb Iranian influence in Iraq.

James Forsyth

Another day, same bad story for Brown

Every day now brings another set of bad headlines for Gordon Brown. Today, there’s that dire poll in the FT–which Pete mentioned, the news that a cabinet minster told Nick Robinson that “the danger we face is that we are just too damaged to recover”, and a whole slew of columns laying into the Prime Minister. There is, as Jackie Ashley argues, an element of piling on in this coverage. But there’s definitely a feeling in Westminster that there’s blood in the water. Brown desperately needs to change the story but he’s lost control of the news agenda. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, May 1st is

No confidence

George Osborne couldn’t have hoped for a better background to his speech at Policy Exchange today than this FT poll. It finds that some 68 percent of UK voters don’t have any confidence in the Government’s ability to deal with recent economic difficulties. The FT also polled voters from other leading economies – such as France, Germany and the US – but the UK topped the pessimism chart. Those chickens that are coming home to roost – they’re flocks of untold size. Brown’s got to be worried.

James Forsyth

Labour would be doing better with Blair in charge

If Tony Blair were still Prime Minister Labour would be five—not sixteen—points behind the Conservatives, according to the latest YouGov poll. With Blair back at the helm, the Conservative vote falls to below 40 percent, while the Labour vote rises by six points. More voters think that it is unlikely than likely that Brown will be Labour leader after the next election. There is, though, no clear successor; that modern-day Vicar of Bray, Jack Straw is the only Labour politician to break into double-figures when voters are asked who they would like it to be. The finding that should really worry Brown, though, is that 61 percent  of voters blame

Fraser Nelson

Brown’s reign of error

Gordon Brown doesn’t boast anymore about his friendship with Alan Greenspan – and little wonder. The former Fed Chairman’s name is fast becoming mud in America, as they turn on the man they lionised for more than a decade. America is about nine months ahead of the UK in the credit crunch, and what fascinates me is not just their take on the current situation but how they are revising their view of the last decade. What Greenspan called “prosperity” they now see as a debt binge and he is being blamed for fuelling the housing bubble now bursting with such calamitous consequences. This should terrify Brown because the same

James Forsyth

No day of rest for Brown in trouble stories

The Sunday papers pick up where the Saturday ones left off. The Independent on Sunday reports that Charles Clarke is preparing a stalking horse challenger  if Labour does badly on May 1st. The Mail on Sunday revives the story that Brown has promised to only fight one general election. A poll for The Sunday Times finds that “Brown’s personal rating has plunged further and faster than any other British leader since political polling began in the 1930s”. While the paper says that he is facing a cabinet revolt over 42 days. The Observer notes speculation that Brown will opt for a snap cabinet reshuffle after May 1st. Only a stronger than expected

James Forsyth

May Day for the Prime Minister

May 1st is becoming ever more important for Gordon Brown. Holding London and exceeding expectations in the rest of the country is the only thing that can put a stop to the increasingly frequent stories about how his government is doomed and he is the problem, see the Martin Kettle and Matthew Parris articles that Pete flagged up earlier today.  If Labour were to lose London and suffer heavy loses elsewhere, then the steady flow of stories about how the Brown government is in terminal decline will become a torrent. It is increasingly hard to see how Brown could turn things around in these circumstances. The other problem for Brown

Yesterday’s man?

The succession talk is chasing Gordon Brown into the weekend. Here’s Martin Kettle in today’s Guardian: “A spectre is haunting the Labour party – the spectre of Gordon Brown’s failure. Questions about Brown abound in Labour ranks. The concern is not, as far as I can tell from many conversations this week, primarily about Brown’s policies or about the changes at No 10. The question is mainly about him. Right now, the problem is Brown himself… …A lot is written about the growing fatalism in Labour ranks. It exists, but don’t exaggerate it. There is also still a hunger for re-election, especially among younger MPs. That enduring hunger is, in

Fraser Nelson

We urgently need education reform, just ask the Coils if you doubt me

At 11am today, Radio Four looks at the Tory school reform plan – inspired, apparently, by our recent cover story on Cameron’s schools revolution. I’m on the panel of Talking Politics, Dennis Sewell is hosting and my fellow panellists are Michael White from the Guardian and Anne McElvoy from the Evening Standard. We pre-recorded on Thursday, and I found myself in the unusually position of being a cheerleader for a Tory proposal. Michael said my youthful idealism set alarm bells off with him. CoffeeHousers have made a similar point – I’m becoming “ever more messianic” said TGF UKIP. So why am I so het up?   Education stirs passions in

Matthew Parris

Another Voice | 12 April 2008

Boris must bore for Britain till he wins — and then shine like Tennyson’s dragonfly Boris Johnson is doing as well as I hoped and better than I expected. On this page at the beginning of August last year I was presumptuous enough to offer some advice for the man who looked certain to be the Conservative candidate for Mayor of London, but less likely than he does today to get the job. Not that he will have lost any sleep over such advice. Boris isn’t the type to pore over comment pages, thank God. He doesn’t give two hoots what people like me think. Besides, what I recommended was

Brown’s debt to society

A German economist visiting Britain was recently said to have declared himself baffled that a report about rising house prices was deemed to be good news. In Germany, he retorted, inflation in house prices, like inflation in food or energy prices, would be considered quite the opposite. By implication, there is an intellectually respectable case for interpreting favourably this week’s news that the Halifax house price index has plunged by 2.5 per cent, the biggest monthly fall since the depths of the last recession in 1992. House prices in Britain have been horribly overvalued for several years — by 30 per cent in the opinion of the IMF. The sooner

Alex Massie

Hillary Surrenders on Ulster

Damnit. I’d enjoyed working up a good lather of indignation and righteous fury over Hillary Clinton’s claim, repeated ad nauseam, to have played an “instrumental” role in the Northern Irish “peace process” (see several posts collected here, for instance). And now she’s gone and spoiled it by, rather strikingly, walking back from her preposterous claims. As Toby Harnden reports: Hillary Clinton has just issued a bland statement marking the 10th anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement. In it, she salutes “the brave and tireless efforts of the parties” and notes that “the real credit for peace can only go to the brave people of Northern Ireland”. She adds that “helping

Alex Massie

Mark Penn is the new Bob Shrum?

This doesn’t seem like a good idea. It’s true that a Downing Street spokesflunky dismissed the suggestion that Mark Penn might hop across the Atlantic to work for Gordon Brown as “codswallop” but who would choose to believe what Downing Street says? Here’s PR Weekly, reporting that Number 10 is interested in hiring Penn to be Brow’s chief pollster.  With Gordon Brown’s leadership rating falling to its lowest level yet this week, senior figures in Number 10 believe that Penn could be Brown’s answer to Philip Gould – the polling guru credited with reversing Lab­our’s declining fortunes in the 1990s. Number 10 comms chief Stephen Carter and recen­t­ly recruited director

James Forsyth

What if…

Another week, another PR Week story about what Stephen Carter’s new Downing Street team has planned. The frequency with which these stories are appearing is becoming really quite comic—it must be doing wonders for PR Week’s circulation in Westminster but it also seems to prove that the outsiders the Prime Minister has recruited are more interested in getting a good write up in the trade press than working away for Gordon’s greater glory. But isn’t it all a little too unsubtle? Surely if you’re a new hire from the world of PR, you’d realise that you would instantly cop the blame for any leaks to PR Week?  All of which makes me wonder

What is Des Browne thinking?

I’ve always found it shocking that British troops are sent into combat with inadequate equipment – not least because it costs lives. That’s why today’s High Court ruling should be welcomed. Invoking the human rights of servicemen could – to some extent – safeguard against future tragedies.   Even so, Des Browne’s fighting the decision tooth-and-nail. Here’s his response:  “Our troops are very well equipped, there have been great improvements made because we found ourselves two years ago in a very difficult and changing environment.   They are as well equipped as anywhere else in the world.  This criticism is a dated criticism from a different time is not applicable to the troops currently deployed.”  It doesn’t