Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Tuesday

8 Oct 2024

Kemi Badenoch is a gamble the Tories must take

No, please no. Not again. Not again! As the Conservatives gear up to choose their next leader, and bookmakers place odds of 6/4 on Robert Jenrick, and just 4-1 for Kemi Badenoch, one has the most awful feeling of déjà vu. The party have already had their Jeremy Corbyn moment in choosing Liz Truss and their ‘let’s just plump for a manager’ spasm in voting in Rishi Sunak. Neither of those things, as I predicted in 2022, brought them anything but electoral wipeout, and nor did their rebuffing of Kemi Badenoch, their only obvious star. With their measly 121 seats, what choice do Tory MPs have? Many of us (and

Steerpike

Labour lead slashed to one point

When it rains for Sir Keir Starmer, it pours. Polling by More in Common via Politico has revealed that Labour’s lead has been dramatically slashed to just one point ahead of the Tories, only three months after Labour’s landslide win. The survey, which polled 2,023 Brits, put support for Starmer’s army on 29 per cent – while Rishi Sunak’s boys in blue are close on their heels at 28 per cent. Compared to the last poll carried out by the firm a fortnight ago, the Conservatives have gained two points, while Labour has lost one. Meanwhile, Nigel Farage’s Reform party is in third place, on 19 per cent – just

Steerpike

Boris slams ‘greedy’ Starmer over freebie fiasco

Sue Gray may have moved on, but Sir Keir Starmer’s freebie headache isn’t going anywhere. Now former prime minister Boris Johnson has lashed out at the Labour PM over his decision to accept gifts clothing, hospitality and glasses – adding that Starmer must be ‘worth a bob or two’ due to his prestigious legal career. Indeed… It transpired over the last few weeks that Sir Keir has claimed £107,000 in donations since December 2019, including £4,000 of, er, Taylor Swift tickets. It was hardly a Cruel Summer for Starmer, eh? The Prime Minister eventually paid back over £6,000 worth of hospitality – but even that has not managed to squash

Freddy Gray

Kamala Harris’s 60 Minutes interview was Prince Andrew-like in its awfulness

Somebody give Bill Whitaker a prize. In his 60 Minutes interview with Kamala Harris, which aired last night, the CBS correspondent did what no other journalist has successfully done since the Vice President was thrust to the top of the Democratic ticket: journalism. He asked Harris challenging questions about the matters voters care about most. He was civil, unaggressive, but professional enough to push her for clear answers. And Harris just couldn’t cope. Her performance was Prince Andrew-like in its awfulness. That caused the Harris-bot to malfunction On immigration, for instance, Whitaker asked Harris why the Biden-Harris administration had only recently started tackling the issue, after almost four years and

Kate Andrews

Is Labour’s first Budget coming unstuck?

During the general election campaign, Labour played a cautious game on tax: the party was careful not to share its bigger plans for getting more revenue into the Treasury until after the election was over. A few major tax hikes were ruled out – income tax, National Insurance and VAT – but it was quickly realised this meant all other taxes were fair game. Only a handful of relatively small tax hikes were announced in the lead-up to polling day, including putting VAT on private school fees and ending non-dom status. Reeves must take the OBR’s calculations as gospel The softly-softly strategy seemed to work, at least for getting through

Constantin Eckner

When will Germany’s economy bounce back?

Germany was once the powerhouse of Europe; for decades, its economy has helped drive the continent’s growth. No longer. Berlin’s economy ministry plans to downgrade its growth forecast for this year. The German government now expects the economy to shrink by 0.2 per cent in 2024 – down from a previous estimate of 0.3 per cent growth, Sueddeutsche Zeitung reports. Is this the medicine the German economy needs to get it back on to its feet? Germany appears to be on the brink of a second year in a row in which its economy is going in the wrong direction. German output contracted 0.3 per cent last year and the

Jawad Iqbal

Hamish Falconer and the trouble with Labour’s ‘Red Princes’

The appearance on our television screens of one Hamish Falconer, the newly-elected Labour MP for Lincoln, tells us much more about Keir Starmer’s government than meets the eye. Falconer is not exactly a household name, but has already been elevated to the role of junior minister in the Foreign Office. He is an ex-pupil of Westminster School and was elected to parliament at his first attempt in July. Just a fortnight or so later, Falconer – who spent his pre-MP career working at the Foreign Office – was made Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Few voters outside of Lincoln will have heard

Niko Vorobyov

Does Singapore’s death penalty really deter drug crimes?

On Friday morning, Azwan bin Bohari was marched to the gallows. The 47-year-old Singaporean, himself an addict, was convicted of trafficking 26.5 grams of heroin in 2019. Despite pleas for the Singaporean authorities to halt it, and the fact Azwan was waiting on the outcome of a legal appeal, the execution controversially went ahead. Azwan’s appeal that half of what he was caught with was for his own personal consumption – which would have placed him below the threshold for execution – was dismissed by the court. Singapore prides itself on being clean, safe and orderly, telling the world this is because when they say ‘zero tolerance’, they mean it.

Steerpike

Sue Gray’s allies turn on Starmer

Another day, another Sue Gray-related drama. Even though the ex-civil servant has resigned from the role of Sir Keir Starmer’s chief of staff after becoming the story herself, she is still managing to generate headlines in her absentia. In an attempt to reboot his government, the Prime Minister swapped out Gray for Labour campaign guru Morgan McSweeney – but the negative briefings haven’t stopped quite yet. Now her allies are on the warpath, even hitting out at the PM. Oh dear. As reported by the Times, Gray’s allies have attacked claims that the former civil servant had presided over a dysfunctional culture in Downing Street. One insisted the PM’s one-time

Mark Galeotti

Vladimir Putin’s 72nd may have been his unhappiest birthday yet

Happy birthday, Mr President? With Vladimir Putin turning 72 on Monday, this has become an opportunity for the Kremlin’s spin doctors to present their ideal notion of the septuagenarian sovereign. Ambitious courtiers have been competitively performing their sycophancy, as if in an over-the-top production of King Lear. Posters were anonymously pasted up in Kyiv, vowing that ‘Putin will come and restore order’ The ponderous official paper of record, Rossiiskaya Gazeta, offered up a portrait of the diligent chief executive: ‘Russian President Vladimir Putin will celebrate his birthday in a working environment. On October 7, the head of state will meet with CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States‘) leaders who will arrive

Jonathan Spyer

Was Hamas’s massacre the Middle East’s Franz Ferdinand moment?

Travelling through the Gaza border area on the morning of October 8, 2023, I was struck by a sense of familiarity. The scenes of destruction, the burnt buildings, and the smashed-up cars by the side of the road were, of course, profoundly shocking. But they were not, at least to me, unfathomable. Unlike most of my fellow Israeli citizens, I had spent a good part of the preceding decade in close proximity to the wars in Syria and Iraq. I knew then, immediately, what had just happened in the kibbutz of Israel’s southern region was what happens when a Sunni jihadi organisation finds a way through to the helpless civilian

Monday

7 Oct 2024

Isabel Hardman

Do the Tories need to worry about the winter fuel row?

How long are the Tories going to campaign on the winter fuel payment? It was their main line of attack on Monday at Work and Pensions questions in the House of Commons, with a number of Conservative MPs asking ministers to say how many pensioners were going to die this winter because of the restrictions to the benefit. The Opposition has been dogged in its pursuit of the answer to this particular question, not least because Labour produced its own analysis in 2017 which suggested there would be around 4,000 deaths. It has been the main line of attack for the Conservatives, along with Labour’s freebie culture, since this new

Isabel Hardman

Starmer insists he hasn’t stepped back support for Israel

Keir Starmer took a different tone on Israel today. That change of tone is to a certain extent to be expected, given the Prime Minister was marking the first anniversary of the 7 October attacks. He reflected in the Commons this afternoon that there were still nearly 100 hostages unaccounted for, and families across Israel still feeling ‘acute’ pain after atrocities committed by Hamas. He opened by saying the attack was ‘born of hatred, targeted not just at individuals, but at Jewish communities, at their way of life and at the state of Israel – the symbol of Jewish security to the world’. Later on, he told MPs that the

Ross Clark

What’s the truth about ‘irregular migration’ levels?

Should we trust a new study that claims that the level of irregular migration in the UK has essentially not changed in the past 16 years? That is the assertion being made in the reporting of a project called Measuring Irregular Migration, or MIrreM – a collaboration between Oxford University and 17 other universities across Europe and North America. ‘Irregular Migration to the UK and other large European countries is same as 2008, research shows,’ states a headline in the Guardian. This, needless to say, flies in the face of reports over the weekend that nearly 1,000 migrants arrived in small boats in a single day. Visibly, irregular migration appears

James Heale

Will Starmer’s No.10 reset work?

2 min listen

Who’s in charge in Downing Street? Until recently, the answer to that question would tend to reveal whether you were a Sue Gray or Morgan McSweeney supporter. Keir Starmer’s two most senior aides were viewed to be in a power struggle over the direction of the government. But with Gray’s resignation this weekend, it is McSweeney who is running the show. What direction will he take No.10? James Heale speaks to Katy Balls and John McTernan, former political secretary to Tony Blair. Produced by Oscar Edmondson.

Kate Andrews

Can Kamala Harris rewrite her political past?

Alex Cooper’s Call Her Daddy podcast interview with Vice President Kamala Harris was largely a love-in. But when you have been actively avoiding the media for the majority of your presidential campaign, even the most innocuous of questions can accidentally bite. ‘You don’t do too many long-form interviews,’ Cooper put to Vice President Harris at the start of their 45 minute podcast recording. ‘What made you want to do Call Her Daddy today?’ It made complete sense to kick off Harris’s ‘media blitz’ with a long interview One answer is listenership. Republican circles may scoff at the platform Cooper gives to sex, drugs and rock n’ roll, but those topics – and

John McTernan

Morgan McSweeney is the new Peter Mandelson

It’s an iron law of politics that when the staffer becomes the story they have to go. Dominic Cummings had to leave Boris Johnson, and Theresa May’s joint chiefs Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy both took the blame for the disastrous 2017 election result. The reshuffle resolves a perplexing political question Lobby journalists leaving Liverpool at the end of Labour conference had concluded that Sue Gray would have to leave the role of as chief of staff to Keir Starmer. Yet her resignation yesterday came as a surprise. This is of a piece with Starmer’s leadership – he doesn’t brief his intentions in advance, but he can often be swift

Steerpike

Ex-Green leader declares war on strawberries

Who remembers Natalie Bennett, the Aussie-accented eco-warrior whose car crash interviews briefly enlivened the 2015 election campaign? The onetime Green leader has since been installed as one of our great unelected masters in the House of Lords. But it seems that all that the institutional knowledge there has not yet rubbed off on Bennett, who continues to suffer a chronic case of foot-in-mouth syndrome. Many such cases… In her never-ending quest to make life worse for the British people, Bennett has found a new scourge on which to direct her ire: strawberries. Yes, that’s right, apparently growing the popular red fruit in colder months is killing the planet and must

Matthew Lynn

It’s too late for tariffs to save British steel

Cheap Chinese imports will flood the market. Even more jobs will be lost, and the country’s industrial base will be even weaker than it already is. UK Steel, the lobby group for the industry, has today called for tariffs to stop the last remaining steel mills being wiped out by unfair competition from lower cost rivals. It would hardly be any great surprise if a protectionist, union-dominated Labour government agreed to that. There is, however, just one snag. The steel industry has already long been neglected – and there is no point in trying to rescue it now. It is futile to provoke Chinese retaliation against industries that actually make

Steerpike

Watch: Labour Red Prince flounders in GB News grilling

It’s been a golden start in politics for Hamish Falconer. The son of former Lord Chancellor Charlie, the ex-Westminster boy triumphed at his first tilt for parliament in July before being appointed a fortnight later as the Minister for the Middle East. Highly regarded by many in the Foreign Office, it was to some excitement then that he made his media round debut today on the one-year anniversary of the 7 October attack on Israel. Unfortunately for Falconer, his first series of TV interviews was not one to remember. Appearing on GB News this morning, he was completely skewered by host Isabel Webster over Sue Gray’s Downing Street departure and