Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Diana’s death ten years on

The Britannica blog has been running a rather good forum on Diana and the cult of celebrity. Theodore Dalyrmple’s contribution challenges the sentimentality that has come to surround her in death. “In the orgy of demonstrative pseudo-grief that followed her death, Mr Blair said that the people had found a new way of being British. Indeed so: they had become emotionally incontinent and inclined to blubber in public when not being menacingly discourteous. They had come to believe that holding nothing back was the way to mental health, and their deepest emotional expression was the teddy bear that they were increasingly liable to leave at the site of a fatal

Miliband and Browne: The Brits have not failed in Iraq

David Miliband and Des Browne take to the Washington Post this morning in an attempt to rebut claims from various US military and intelligence figures that the British have lost the South of Iraq.  The key paragraph of their piece reads: “Commanders on the ground expect that Basra province will in months, not years, be judged to have met the conditions for transfer to full Iraqi security control. As with each of the seven Iraqi provinces already transferred — four in areas of Iraq previously controlled by U.S.-led forces, three in the south in the U.K.-led area of operations — the final decision will be taken by the Iraqi government, in

Alex Massie

Beware the jogger!

Another reason not to vote for Mitt Romney: he’s a bloody jogger. No surprise there, I suppose. Anyway, despite that, this new Romney ad, is not without interest. Jason Zengerle observes that Romney is playing up his “competency candidate” credentials, pivoting away from his previous pandering to social and evangelical conservatives. And so he is, but doesn’t this also reveal that Romney probably agrees that the Bush presidency has been, well, a disaster. After all, this ad boasts about Romney’s proven record of turning around failing companies (and “rescuing” both the Salt Lake City Olympics and the state of Massachusetts). Why would you mention this if you didn’t think America

Dave’s wrong choice of words on immigration

I have been mulling over Dave’s Newsnight performance, which was mostly very impressive. I think, however, that his choice of words on immigration was a mistake. The problem with suggesting that there is an acceptable quantum of immigrants, however politely that proposition is expressed, is that it chimes with all that is worst in the party’s history of coping with this thorniest of issues. From the extreme of Enoch Powell’s “rivers of blood” ,via Margaret Thatcher’s use of the word “swamped” and William Hague’s “foreign land” speech, to Michael Howard getting tied in knots at the last election saying that Parliament should set a ceiling on the number of immigrants,

Cameron’s Newsnight Review

David Cameron has for some time been wanting to do one of these Newsnight panel-style interviews. Watching it, I can see why. He excels at answering rapid fire questions, and easily recalls all his main slogans and sound bites. Here are my thoughts… 1. He could have been more robust rebutting Michael Crick when he questioned Cameron’s “anarchy in the UK” line. Throughout the Tory years, recorded violent crime peaked at 347,064 a year (in 1997). Last year, it was a record 1.3 million offences. Cameron’s researchers should click through and familiarise themselves with this staggering data. British streets have never been more dangerous.  2. He only mentioned “social responsibility” once. Good.  3. Like

Cameron impresses in Newsnight grilling

You can watch the Newsnight special with David Cameron here. In it, Cameron confirms Fraser’s earlier report that the Tories will not, thankfully, be stopping all airport expansion. Cameron put in a fairly strong performance. He handled Stephanie Flanders line of questions about whether he felt that she, an unwed mother, should get married or not particularly well. He also did a good job of emphasising that there is nothing inconsistent with modernisation in being tough on crime. Tim Montgomerie has thoughts and analysis here.

Will Brown try and beat the downturn?

Irwin Stelzer has a typically sharp piece in today’s Telegraph in which he makes a crucial point about a rather overlooked political consequence of the recent market turbulence. As Stelzer writes, “The former chancellor surely knows that tax receipts have been sustained largely by payments from high-earners in the City. He knows, too, that it is those very people who are taking a hit from the turmoil in financial markets, and are expecting their incomes to drop this year by at least 25 per cent. Fewer pounds taxed at top rates, lower Treasury receipts, bigger deficits. That forces the Bank to raise interest rates. End of economic growth. Brown must

Who could object to a statue of Mandela?

Earlier today, the great and the good were gathered a stone’s throw from the Spectator offices for the unveiling of a statue of Nelson Mandela in Parliament Square. Journalists thrive on disagreement, controversy and dissent, but this statue of a historic figure strikes me as one of those rare things: An Undeniable and Incontrovertible Good. However, in typing those words, I am instantly aware of my naiveté. Who do Coffee Housers predict will be the first prominent person to object to Mandela’s presence in the heart of Westminster? A bottle of champagne to whoever gets it right.

James Forsyth

Meet the shadow minister for militant Islam

The biggest risk to David Cameron’s leadership to date has been his appointment of Sayeeda Warsi as the shadow minister for community cohesion. Warsi’s rise makes Cameron’s ascent from freshman MP to leader in four years look almost sedate. In just two years she has gone from failed parliamentary candidate to being responsible for, perhaps, the most sensitive portfolio in opposition politics. Add in her history of making injudicious statements about anti-terror laws, talking to extremists, and Iraq — combined with some distinctly unCameroon views on homosexuality — and you have a pretty volatile cocktail. Especially as having staked his reputation on her judgment, Cameron cannot sack her. Even among

Alex Massie

Conservative scandal vs lefty scandal

David Freddoso wonders why it is that it always seems to be conservatives (Republicans) who are caught cottaging etc etc. But this is not a recent phenomenon, or one limited to the United States. Every British hack knows that Tory scandals are about sex while Labour ones are about money.

How Cameron can mend the broken society

Was the Rhys Jones murder just a crime, or the result of a new phenomenon? The answer splits left and right. We’ve heard strikingly little from Gordon Brown – and little wonder. The idea of there being a “broken society” undermines his credo. Has Britain not benefited from ten years of a Labour government dedicated to making things better for the worse off? What about all those child tax credits, those being (ahem) “lifted out of poverty”? Surely these people are all better off? During the Labour years, violent crime has more than doubled. Youth unemployment is higher than under the Tories, lone parenthood is at a record high. These

Boris leads primary race by 60 percent

Conservative Home’s monthly survey of members reveals that Boris is well ahead of the pack in the race to become Mayor of London. Amongst London members, Boris has 70 percent support while his nearest challenger Andrew Boff is on 10 percent. Of course, the primary is open to non-Tories too. But one has to assume that Boris’s lead will only grow when they are taken into account: his high-profile and maverick reputation means that he must be favourite to sweep up most of those votes.

James Forsyth

Internal Labour pressure for an EU referendum grows

Today’s Daily Telegraph reports that as many as 120 Labour MPs want a referendum on the new EU treaty. Ian Davidson, the MP who is at the forefront of efforts to get Labour to honour its manifesto promise, has written to Gordon Brown demanding 12 fundamental changes to the treaty if there is not to be a vote. Intriguingly, the Telegraph suggests that there are cabinet ministers privately backing the call for a referendum.

Was Gordon’s 10 point lead a blessing in disguise for Dave?

John Rentoul points out in a typically sharp column in today’s Independent that Gordon Brown has benefited from the low expectation surrounding his arrival at Number 10. There had been so much said about Brown’s weaknesses that the commentariat had almost forgotten about his strengths and totally underestimated how adept Brown would prove at turning “his pathologies into assets.” However, the tide may have turned with the poll that put Brown ten points ahead. It has become a benchmark that subsequent polls are being measured against. So, today’s poll which shows Labour up by five—which is not bad, considering that the Tories were leading by five in the same poll at the end of

Advantage Cameron | 27 August 2007

David Cameron will surely be relieved by the finding in today’s Guardian/ICM poll that Gordon Brown’s lead has narrowed already to five points. But the much more significant figures are the Tories’ leads on crime and health. Turn to this morning’s Daily Mail, where a survey conducted for Hillary Benn’s Environment Department shows that crime and health are now the voters’ main priorities. Last week, Mr Cameron finally found his voice on law and order, matching his concern for the causes of crime with a new, unambiguous commitment to robust punishment of offenders. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister persists with his mantra that “education is my passion, health is my priority”.

James Forsyth

Brown’s lead narrows

Today’s poll in The Guardian will be met with relief at CCHQ. Labour is still ahead, but a 5 percent advantage is far less intimidating than a double digit lead and makes a snap poll far less likely. Crucially, considering the increased political salience of the issue, the Tories have a 10 point advantage on which party is best equipped to deal with crime. The poll also takes a detailed look at how the parties are doing in various bits of the country compared to 2005. Amazingly, Tory support in the north has actually declined since then to 26 percent from 28 percent. However, in the south it has risen

What the statistics don’t show

In my Sunday Telegraph column today, I argue that statistics cannot reflect cultural sensibilities, especially in the wake of a horror such as Rhys Jones’s murder. But if crime statistics are to be brandished at such a time let them at least be accurate. The Sunday Times reports that – contrary to Jacqui Smith’s claim that gun crime is falling – Home Office figures (which exclude incidents involving air weapons) show a fourfold rise since 1998. As David Davis says in his letter to the Home Secretary: “One clear fact on gun-related violence is that if you don’t count it, you won’t be able to tackle it.”

No more Mr Nice Guy

Smile and shoeshine get you only so far in any business, says Irwin Stelzer. But Labour is still vulnerable if the Tory leader produces solid conservative policies David Cameron is confused. Understandably. For two reasons. First, those who are urging him to abandon policy-lite in favour of more heft are the very same who favour policies that would lead to disaster at the polls. The result is confusion between the need to reject the specific policies they propose, and the need to offer voters something more than a smile and shoeshine, to borrow from Arthur Miller. There are, after all, policies and there are policies. There are policies based on

Contagion’s next target is contemporary

Writing in the midst of turmoil, one is always at risk of being overtaken by events, but I have found myself vaguely approving of the recent market panic. The American housing slump has made fools only of those who thought house prices could go on rising steeply for ever; the resultant sub-prime lending crisis reminds us that you shouldn’t be lending money to people who shouldn’t be borrowing it; a few big painful reversals among hedge funds should curb the general arrogance of that industry; tighter credit is forcing the new blowhards of private equity to draw breath; and the Fed has been following Walter Bagehot’s admirable 19th-century advice that