Politics

Read about the latest UK political news, views and analysis.

Politics gets personal

Andrew Rawnsley’s column in today’s Observer on quite how much Brown and Cameron dislike each other is essential reading. As one Brown ally tells Rawnsley, ‘Gordon could only be more contemptuous of him if Cameron were a lawyer.’ How the two sides handle this enmity is going to be key to the next election result. To go back to Gore v. Bush in 2000, which to my mind is the previous campaign which most resembles the Brown-Cameron showdown, there’s little doubt that Gore’s disdain for Bush ending up hurting his election effort. His desire not only to beat Bush but to humiliate him, to expose him led to Gore’s over

Fraser Nelson

Signs are we might be heading for an early poll

What today’s polls say to me is “early election”. If Brown keeps this up into the recess, his honeymoon will stretch through the summer. Remember, the Tories need a ten-point lead to win an overall majority. I’ve been amazed how much ammunition Brown is discharging. He could have announced Super Casinos in the autumn. He seems to be in a sprint, not a marathon. Perhaps because he knows the finish line of this parliament is not too far away.

Brown’s special mistakes

Gordon Brown’s government has gone from blunder to blunder in Anglo-American relations. First it ennobled and hires Mark Malloch Brown, a talentless UN bureaucrat known only for his hostility to America (and vice versa). Then it approves Douglas Alexander’s speech, not realising how the haughty and misjudged line about ‘build, don’t destroy’ would go down. A panicked Brown makes public a memo telling his Cabinet to behave. Then some genius lets Malloch Brown loose on the press – and, quelle surprise, he’s sounding off about how the British government wont be “joined at the hip” to America like it was under Blair, ie – distancing is about to begin. Today,

New poll shows Labour seven points ahead

The Sunday Telegraph’s ICM poll is a serious blow to David Cameron, not least because it coincides with the disclosure that Tony Lit, the Tory candidate in Ealing Southall, gave £4800 to Labour. The picture of Mr Lit standing next to a beaming Tony Blair will be very hard to recover from. On the national stage, Gordon’s seven point lead over Dave would translate into a majority of 115 seats – a landslide victory ten years after New Labour’s first. We are in uncharted waters now, and how Cameron responds will be the best test yet of his mettle. How to broaden his appeal without making the error of Hague

Malloch Brown speaks

If Douglas Alexander’s speech yesterday–or, more accurately the spin applied to it–prompted concerned phone calls from Washington and a memo from Gordon to the cabinet to go easy with the Bush bashing, then one wonders what Mark Malloch Brown’s quite extraordinary interview with the Telegraph will prompt. Malloch Brown, Kofi Annan’s former chief of staff, tells Rachel Sylvester and Alice Thomson that while at the UN he felt that: “everything I had worked for and fought for was suddenly under attack from one corner of the American political system and if they wanted to go toe to toe on it, I was going to do it.” Throughout the interview, Malloch

If you want power, be emotional, not rational

Drew Westen’s book on the political brain is the talk of Washington. Here, he explains why the path to electoral victory is not governed by reason In the last 40 years, only one Democrat has been elected and re-elected to the American presidency: Bill Clinton. And during the same period, only one Republican has failed to win re-election: George H.W. Bush. These are astounding facts, given that during those same years, whenever registered Democrats and Republicans were not in roughly equal numbers in the United States, Democrats were in the majority, as they are today. Democratic voters are confused and frustrated. What’s the matter with Kansas, they ask? Why do

Cameron is not sunk. But we need to know what his Britain would be like…

The Conservative leader needs to get his mojo back. At least he had some to start with, mojo not being a quality much associated with his predecessors: ‘That often elusive quality that sets a person apart from everyone else. The word “magic” could, almost without exception, replace it in all of its contexts, sentences or applications.’ So says urbandictionary.com and it should know. Yet something has gone wrong with Dave’s magic. We are approaching the point when the Conservative chances at the next election will either crystallise or begin to break apart. Having risen to 37-38 per cent in the polls, Mr Cameron is drifting downwards — well away from

This is not a moral crusade

A fortnight ago we urged David Cameron to raise his game after Gordon Brown’s impressively bold start as Prime Minister. A fortnight ago we urged David Cameron to raise his game after Gordon Brown’s impressively bold start as Prime Minister. In his response to the report by Iain Duncan Smith’s social justice policy group, the Tory leader has done just that. Mr Cameron has sounded focused, impatient to improve the state of the nation, and visibly determined to take on the new PM and defeat him. Although the proposed £20 per week boost to married couples has inevitably dominated the headlines, it is only one of many sensible recommendations to

Rod Liddle

Boris is the kind of Tory I’d vote for: which means he can win

Rod Liddle urges his friend to stand for Mayor of London and demonstrate what modern Conservatism can do — if you let it I’ve voted Conservative only once in my life — during elections to the London School of Economics students’ union 23 years ago, when the Tory manifesto pledged to spend all of the union money on buying a racehorse, rather than giving it to the bloody miners, or Robert Mugabe, or Pol Pot, as Labour wished to do. A lot of my fellow lefties voted similarly, sick to the back teeth of the posturing, grand-standing, attitudinalising antics of these awful little gobby public schoolboys from Tunbridge Wells and

Alex Massie

Jings, crivvens, whatever next? Groundskeeper Willie?

Groan. Ana Marie Cox* links to an interview with Bill Clinton at the Aspen Ideas Festival in which he says that if Hillary wins the Presidency: “My Scottish friends suggest I should be called ‘First Laddie.'” There are plenty of more significant reasons for being less than wholly comfortable with the prospect of a Clinton Restoration. But Bill just added another one to the pile. * You do read Swampland don’t you? If not, you should. It’s good.

Conrad Black convicted

The most comprehensive coverage of the Conrad Black trial can be found at the Canadian magazine Maclean’s. For a firm defence of Black, check out Mark Steyn’s blog on the trial.

It will take more than a tax break to restore the sanctity of marriage

David Cameron told Jon Snow last night that in proposing tax breaks for married couples — whether straight or gay — he was ‘not moralising, not preaching’. His social affairs guru, Iain Duncan Smith, who inspired Cameron’s new family-friendly policy, made the same point earlier in the week.  ‘It is not about finger-wagging or moralising.’ he said. Sadly, both men meant what they said. Like all politicians, they look for economic solutions to moral problems, for solutions that won’t cause pain and therefore cost votes.  But here’s the deal: marriage is not typically a financial undertaking; it is a moral undertaking, a legally binding (and in some cases sacramental) commitment

Fraser Nelson

Coming soon: A Cameroon blog

Reading the blogosphere must often be a frustrating business for David Cameron. But I gather a more supportive site is on the way. Fiona Melville, a member of his leadership campaign who left the party just two months ago, is working on a website which my sources tell me will have a “modern liberal Conservative view”. I hear “Platform Ten” is its working title. A Cameroon loyalist website? It’s not funded by CCHQ, although the people involved are certainly former staffers and ex-Tory candidates. And I gather, Steve Hilton himself initiated this project seeking an alternative to ConservativeHome, which has been a little too effective at reflecting the unhappiness of

Alex Massie

Biden on Bush

Sometimes Joe Biden is actually pretty good: “This progress report is like the guy who’s falling from a 100-story building and says half-way down that ‘everything’s fine.’”

What do you call a coalition without Ming?

Martin Bright has an intriguing interview with Ming Campbell in this week’s New Statesman. In it, Ming confirms that he and Brown discussed the possibility of current Lib Dem frontbench MPs serving in Brown’s cabinet. Yet, interestingly, it seems that the possibility of Campbell himself taking a job was not discussed. Campbell also tells Bright that: “PR is fundamental to our analysis of what is necessary for the United Kingdom. It would be inconceivable for us to be in a full-blown coalition with a party that does not accept that.” All of which raises the question, is a coalition without Campbell a full-blown one?

Fraser Nelson

Spot the Scot

Brown has a PMQs headline for us: let Cameron do the PR, he’ll be the PM. Well, his performance was better than last week. But what struck me was the Tory’s “behold the Jock” strategy. One Tory backbencher demanded English votes for English laws. Another asked “The Prime Minister claims to treat people equally, so why do nurses in his constituency earn more?” The new Shadow Scotland minister Ben Wallace (good man, keep your eye on him) raised the West Lothian Question. Even the LibDems joined in, comparing Kirkcaldy’s maternity wards favourably to those of Chelmsford. All great fun. Brown has no answer. Trouble like this is precisely why the

Ricky Gervais hasn’t lost it

I rarely allow myself to be “Outraged of Westminster”, but this scandalous post by Jim Shelley, the Mirror’s TV critic, has forced me to make an exception. Ricky Gervais has not “lost it” or become a “tiresome embarrassment”. Indeed, the miracle of the man is that he has managed to escape the role of David Brent – one of the greatest comic characters of all time – to produce another excellent series (Extras), establish himself as a top-rank stand-up, produce the best podcasts I have ever heard, and write a series of splendid children’s books (the Flanimals). Having been at Live Earth on Saturday, I do not remotely recognise Shelley’s

James Forsyth

Brown’s family problem

Gordon Brown’s Today Programme interview this morning was fascinating, you’ll be able to listen to it here in a little bit. It was clear how much the family agenda rattles Brown. He kept saying that he was pro-marriage but then getting tied up in knots whenever he was asked about what measures should be taken to support it. As Fraser would have predicted, Brown tried to make everything about children and poverty but was far from convincing on this point. It was Brown’s least impressive media performance of his premiership so far and not the ideal warm up for PMQs today. Overall, though, Brown has still had a strong start. Matthew d’Ancona