Politics Archives

Monday

10 Oct 2022

Will Kwarteng’s fiscal plan calm the markets?

Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng has written to the Treasury select committee this morning, announcing that the date of his medium-term fiscal plan is moving forward by almost a month: from 23 November to 31 October. Mel Stride, the committee’s chair, tweeted the letter in full, adding that he ‘strongly welcome[s]’ the move (which, he says, he had ‘pressed so hard on’) in the hope that an earlier update will help mitigate rising borrowing costs. It’s a rather unsurprising announcement from the Chancellor. Despite doubling down on his original November date at the Conservative party conference, no one realistically thought that timeline would last. While the pound has jumped back to its

Mark Galeotti

Putin’s attack dog brings a terrible type of warfare to Ukraine

The Crimean Bridge bombing was an unwelcome gift to both Vladimir Putin – who had celebrated his 70th birthday the day before – and the new overall commander of the ‘Special Military Operation,’ General Sergei Surovikin. Today, they returned the favour with a missile bombardment of Kyiv and other major cities of the like not seen since the start of the war. Missiles and kamikaze drones hit a range of targets, some perhaps considered strategic in the loosest sense such as bridges and railway hubs, but most entirely civilian. The west of the country, which has largely avoided the worst of Russian attacks, also came in for an indiscriminate pounding.

Natasha Feroze

Can Truss heal the divisions within her party?

11 min listen

This morning the Chancellor has announced that the government will bring forward both its medium term fiscal event and the accompanying Office for Budget Responsibility forecast. Will Kwarteng exercise some spending restraint to calm the Bank of England? Also on the podcast, after Truss appointed Sunak ally Greg Hands as Minister of State for Trade Policy, is she extending an olive branch to unite her party? Natasha Feroze speaks to James Forsyth and Katy Balls. Produced by Natasha Feroze and Oscar Edmondson.

James Snell

Russian terror bombing arrives in Ukraine

It depends on when you are reading this but it’s possible that as you do, Russian missiles are still falling on Kyiv. The Ukrainian capital, and cities across the country, have been subject to a devastating missile barrage last night and this morning. The attacks on Kyiv are intended to create nothing but terror. Missiles fell in succession on civilian areas: children’s playgrounds, ordinary business areas, office buildings. They arrived at the height of the morning rush hour, hoping to kill as many commuters and families as possible, and the drumbeat has continued after that. Residential and business areas of the Ukrainian capital that had broadly been spared missile and

Katy Balls

Why Liz Truss appointed Greg Hands

As MPs prepare to return to Westminster after the conference recess, the hope in 10 Downing Street is that the House of Commons will give way to calmer scenes than those at the tumultuous Conservative party conference in Birmingham. Given the number of Tory MPs lining up to rebel on various issues that may prove wishful thinking. However, overnight there has been a move by No. 10 aimed at beginning to restore party unity. Following the sacking of Conor Burns as a trade minister on Friday over allegations of serious misconduct at party conference, his successor has been named. Step forward Greg Hands. Hands is viewed in No. 10 as

Sam Leith

A baby boom won’t solve Britain’s labour shortage

Quite the scoop in yesterday’s Sun. An anonymous cabinet minister has briefed the paper that to secure Britain’s economic future, we need a baby boom. The birth rate has fallen from 2.93 children per woman in 1964 to 1.58 today. We have an ageing population, and a shrinking workforce, and something must be done. ‘We need to have more children,’ says this minister. ‘The rate keeps falling. Look at Hungary – they cut taxes for mothers who have more children.’ And, indeed, they do. In Viktor Orban’s fiefdom you’re let off income tax for life if you manage to squeeze out four or more kids. Liz Truss – not exactly

Fraser Nelson

Nicola Sturgeon and the politics of hatred

One of the problems with nationalism – of any stripe – is its uglier undercurrents. The Scottish National Party has made great strides presenting itself as civic and progressive, but it’s usually never too long before blood-and-soil arguments start to come through. So you’ll hear fairly sinister arguments about how the SNP’s opponents are not really Scottish (a point made about me quite often) or that their opponents are not just wrong but malign, even evil and detestable. Speaking ahead of her party conference, Nicola Sturgeon forgot herself. ‘If the question to me is: would I prefer a Labour government over a Tory government,’ she told her fellow Scot Laura

Sunday

9 Oct 2022

Fraser Nelson

Can Truss repair the damage of her first four weeks?

Soon after being elected Tory leader, Iain Duncan Smith summed up a test that he was soon to fail. ‘At the moment, I am a clean slate,’ he said. ‘It’s the next four months that count. If the wrong colours are applied to my slate, they will be there for ever. I have to be able to show in the first few months that my strengths are the dominant features, so that people will say, “That bloke looks as though he knows where he’s going.”’ William Hague, he said, never recovered from the baseball cap incidents. Early slips, he said, are fatal. Three or four months is a luxurious timetable.

Matthew Taylor

Sunday shows round-up: Nadhim Zahawi – Blackouts ‘extremely unlikely’

Nadhim Zahawi – Blackouts ‘extremely unlikely’ but government is preparing Last week, the National Grid warned that an excess shortage of gas over the winter period could see households plunged into darkness for up to three hours at a time, as part of its contingency plans to manage electricity supply. This morning, Laura Kuenssberg was joined by the Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, Nadhim Zahawi, to discuss the government preparations for such a scenario: Nicola Sturgeon – SNP won on ‘a very clear manifesto commitment’ Kuenssberg went on to speak to Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. The SNP is currently hosting its annual party conference in Aberdeen, and the

Sasha Lensky

The budget black comedy that foreshadowed the rise of Putin

‘The truth is with us,’ said Vladimir Putin in a speech after the Ukrainian regions of Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson ‘voted to rejoin’ Russia on 30 September. ‘And the power is in truth, and that means we will be victorious.’ Putin’s harping on ‘truth’ – even as he annexed four regions of Ukraine following referenda almost universally believed to be shams – has strong roots in Russian culture. Historically it has never been hard to sell the Russian people notions of their own rectitude, even at their darkest moments. The Russians, this world view assumes, are a uniquely spiritual people and incapable of actual malice – whatever they do

Ian Williams

Is Liz Truss going soft on China?

In her speech to the Conservative party conference, Liz Truss rightly pointed out that we did not stand up to Russia early enough. ‘We became too dependent on authoritarian regimes for cheap goods and energy,’ she said. We can safely assume that those ‘other’ regimes include China, though curiously given how prominently the China threat figured in her leadership campaign, her speech contained no direct reference to Beijing. To be fair, Truss had a lot on her mind, and it is early days in her administration. But there are a number of reasons to believe she is wobbling on her commitment to a more robust and coherent China policy. It’s

Saturday

8 Oct 2022

Ross Clark

Why the economy can’t get real

Markets, we are told, are rebelling against the government’s irresponsible fiscal policy, not least the now-abandoned plan to abolish the 45p tax rate. If that is what they are doing, it marks a sharp change in their behaviour. For most of the past decade they have whooped with delight whenever a fantastically expensive stimulus package has been announced and gone into a sulk whenever there have been rumours that the punch bowl is about to be withdrawn. In this Alice in Wonderland world, good news became bad and bad news became good. Why? Because bad news means greater likelihood of a stimulus package; good news means stimulus is likely to

Lisa Haseldine & Svitlana Morenets

The Kerch bridge attack is devastating for Putin

It’s hard to overstate the impact of the bombing of the Kerch bridge. Opened four years ago to great fanfare, the 12-mile long bridge came to embody Vladimir Putin’s claim on conquered Crimea. It symbolised his ability to protect and supply the area and reunify the ‘Russian world’ (Russkiy mir). At about 6am local time, just after Putin celebrated his 70th birthday, CCTV footage shows a huge explosion ripping through both the rail and road bridge. Parts of the road bridge have collapsed into the sea, destroying two of its four lanes. It has since reopened to some passenger traffic and plans to reopen to trains, but not to trucks

Max Jeffery

How will this end?

17 min listen

Max Jeffery, Katy Balls and James Forsyth discuss Liz Truss’s premiership and walk through the various options being cooked up to replace her.

Kate Andrews

Kate Andrews, Anthony Whitehead and Michael Simmons

16 min listen

This week: Kate Andrews laments how Truss is hurting the free-market cause (00:51), Anthony Whitehead explains the ‘arrogance’ of the latest environmental activist movement the Tyre Extinguishers (06:42) and Michael Simmons reads his notes on barcodes (12:54). Produced and presented by Oscar Edmondson.

John Keiger

Is Macron trying to lasso London?

Some supporters of the EU might struggle with the concept, but Europe is about much more than just what unfolds in Brussels. The EU’s 27 states may be a large part of Europe, but the two are not coterminous. Nor, more importantly, do they all have the same interests. The newly created European Political Community (EPC) had its first meeting in Prague over the last couple of days. Including those states on the fringes of Europe, as the EPC does, the number in attendance was 44 (with Belarus and Russia excluded). Beyond the EU 27 there is Turkey, the UK, Ukraine, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland, Liechtenstein, six Western Balkans nations, Moldova, Georgia,

Patrick O’Flynn

A Boris Johnson comeback is ridiculous – but not impossible

It would obviously be ridiculous for the Conservatives to dump Liz Truss after just a few weeks and seek to re-install Boris Johnson as prime minister. To do such a thing would be akin to what the producers of the 1980s TV series Dallas did after realising they had made a horrendous mistake by killing off Bobby Ewing: writing a script for the next series in which the assassination was depicted as a dream had by his wife Pam. The Tories would be asking the British electorate, in effect, to observe Boris walking out of the shower, into his luxuriantly wallpapered boudoir and telling a dumbstruck Carrie: ‘I’ve got to go and

Norman Davies

War of words: a history of Ukraine’s language debate

It’s not often that ex-KGB officers blame Lenin for anything. But in his speech of 21 February 2022, on the eve of his ‘special military operation’, Vladimir Putin rounded on the founder of Bolshevism for creating the artificial Ukrainian state. ‘Modern Ukraine was entirely created by…Bolshevik, Communist Russia,’ he declared; ‘and…in a way that was extremely harsh on Russia…Soviet Ukraine can rightfully be called ‘Vladimir Lenin’s Ukraine’. He was its creator and architect.’ This false line of thought could equally accuse the Bolsheviks of having created the Ukrainian language. In reality, the concept of a separate Ukrainian nation and language long preceded the Bolsheviks. After gestating in Ukraine for over

Sam Ashworth-Hayes

The Woman King’s flawed history lesson

As a general rule, it’s worth remembering that Hollywood is in the business of mythologising, rather than retelling history. The Woman King, which was released in cinemas this week, represents the latest effort at constructing a past more in tune with 21st century progressive political narratives. In the film, King Gezo of Dahomey and his loyal Amazons – an elite band of women warriors – struggle to free his kingdom and his people from the evils of the slave trade, the dominance of the Oyo empire, and the creeping tendrils of European colonisation. It’s a stirring tale of African resistance and female empowerment. It’s also deeply flawed. King Gezo, Dahomey, and

Friday

7 Oct 2022

Freddy Gray

Will Biden’s pot pardons pay off?

20 min listen

This week Freddy speaks to Madeleine Kearns, staff writer at the National Review, about President Joe Biden’s decree that cannabis possession should no longer be a federal crime. Is this a vote winner or will the decision end in disaster?