Society

Home and away | 24 March 2009

A tale of two speeches today, as Brown and Cameron delivered addresses largely on the markets and financial regulation.  The big difference: Brown’s was directed at a European audience in Strasbourg, whilst Cameron’s was delivered here in Blighty.  It made for a striking comparison. On the one hand, you had the PM putting a Continental spin on his usual platitudes – he even said that “we in Europe are uniquely placed…”.  Will this really achieve all that much, apart from raising a few chuckles from those European politicians who can remember when Chancellor Brown frequently snubbed meetings of EU finance ministers?  Of course, the idea is that Brown has to rally support

The problems with a larger Afghan security force

Kabul They look very impressive, marching around a rain-soaked square while their US-trained Master Sergeant sends a punishing salvo of parade instructions their way. These new recruits in the Afghan army represent Afghanistan’s proudest post-2001 achievement. I spoke to dozens of them from all of Afghanistan’s ethnic groups, saw their commander and watched several live-fire drills. Now, as the New York Times reports, President Obama is planning to double the security forces. From a projected troop strength of some 130,000 plan the plan is to create a force of about 400,000 Afghan troops and police officers. But, after today’s visit to the Afghan army, I am clear that such a

James Forsyth

A step towards a Myners resolution

I wrote yesterday about how the Treasury Select Committee must call back Lord Myners and Sir Tom McKillop to ascertain whether the Committee had been misled over what the government knew and when it knew about Sir Fred Goodwin’s pension. Today comes news that John McFall, the chairman of the Committee, has asked McKillop to supply written evidence on this point. This is a welcome first step to getting to the bottom of this important matter.

King contra Brown

Ben Brogan’s got it right.  Mervyn King has just “blown a hole” in Gordon Brown’s strategy for the next few weeks and months, by telling the Treasury Select Committee that there’s no case for another fiscal stimulus.  Here are the BoE governor’s exact words: “Given how big [UK fiscal] deficits are, I think it would be sensible to be cautious about going further in using discretionary measures to expand the size of those deficits. The level of the fiscal position in the UK is not one that would say: ‘Well, why don’t we just engage in another significant round of fiscal expansion?'” If Brown now does push for a further

James Forsyth

The second home row keeps on rolling

Tony McNulty has been badly damaged by the row over his second home claims. This is a huge blow to the government’s media strategy for the recession. Of all the government’s economic team, McNulty has done the best job of acknowledging the severity of the situation while still defending the government. But if McNulty becomes a poster-child for how the political class work the system, then he’ll become a liability to Labour. As Minister for Employment, or – as the Yes Minister joke would have it – unemployment, McNulty does the rounds of the TV studios every time the unemployment figures come out. They are, sadly, going to go up

The politics of Trident

Some intriguing revelations about Trident in Rachel Sylvester’s column today:  “Behind the scenes … the Government is taking a long hard stare at the programme. It is estimated that the replacement will cost between £15 billion and £20billion, but with annual upkeep of £1.5 billion, the total over 30 years could rise above £65 billion. That’s an awful lot of schools and hospitals. As one minister put it, to get rid of Trident would be a ‘welcome relief on public spending’. It won’t happen immediately but scrapping Britain’s nuclear deterrent is on the cards for the first time since Labour came to power… …Although the official line remains that Britain will

Today’s surprise inflation figures have strengthened Darling’s hand as he tries to prevent another stimulus

In the current unprecedented economic circumstances, politicians and policy-makers are having to learn as they go. So are economic commentators. It was widely predicted by economists in the City and the media that the latest inflation figures would show the Retail Price Index (RPI — a broad measure of inflation) plummeting into deflation territory with prices falling by around 0.8 percent, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI — which excludes housing costs) would slump from 3 percent to closer to 2 percent, a harbinger of further falls to come.   They were wrong. The headline RPI fell only to 0 percent in February from 0.1 percent in January while the

Dealing with the drugs problem in Afghanistan

Kabul It took two hours of briefing by a senior NATO commander in Kabul before the issue of drugs came up. And it only came up when I asked. The US officer immediately began talking about the links between the insurgency and the drugs trade. NATO estimates that between 150 and 400 million US dollars is funnelled through the drug trade annually and, since last year, soldiers can target drug-offenders with proven links to the insurgency. But, despite this, the NATO alliance is deeply divided about the drugs issue. The British want to tackle it head on with other European allies being more sceptical that military action can alter half

Could Clarke’s premature announcement have been good for the Tories?

Steve Richards is right: Ken Clarke was only being honest about the Tories and inheritance tax.  The current fiscal landscape means that certain pledges will have to be sacrificed (or at least delayed) and, to my mind, the IHT pledge is a good candidate for that.  You imagine that Clarke’s take, carefully stage-managed, would have become the official Tory line in a few weeks or months. But it’s happened now, and it seems to have wreaked some damage on the Tories.  Coming so soon after the 45p tax announcement, the word “aspiration”, and the confused retractions and denials surrouding it, have – rightly or wrongly – allowed a twin “tax

James Forsyth

For the sake of Parliament’s authority, McFall must call McKillop and Myners to testify before the Treasury Select Committee

A Minister misleading the House is one of the most serious offences they can commit. If any Minister does so anything other than completely unintentionally, they should–and must–resign. So, when an accusation emerges that a Minister has done so it must be cleared up one way or the other.   On Saturday, The Times reported that Sir Tom McKillop, the former chairman of RBS, had written to the chairman of the Treasury Select Committee, John McFall, alleging that Lord Myners had been ‘told exactly how much’ Sir Fred Goodwin’s pension was worth. This, if true, contradict Miners’ statements (as recorded in the uncorrected transcript) to the Committee: Now, I have

James Forsyth

The right case for optimism

William F. Buckley’s 1955 editorial declaring that the Nation Review “stands athwart history, yelling Stop” is one of the defining texts in modern conservatism. But as David Frum argues, the changes that have happened since 1955 have, on balance, been overwhelmingly for the better: “But think how much worse a place the world would be if Bill Buckley had actually succeeded in calling a stop to history in 1955. Vienna would still be occupied by Soviet troops. The federal government would still regulate prices on everything from natural gas to brokers commissions. Racial segregation would remain American practice. People would continue to die unnecessarily of cigarette smoking or in unseatbelted

James Forsyth

China’s currency speculation

The most important story of the day might not be the bank rescue plan in the US or any of the British domestic political stories, but this news from China: “China’s central bank on Monday proposed replacing the US dollar as the international reserve currency with a new global system controlled by the International Monetary Fund. The goal would be to create a reserve currency “that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies,” Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People’s Bank of China, said in an essay posted in Chinese and English

Where would we be if Brown had faced more internal opposition?

Trust Frank Field to come up with another revealing anecdote about Gordon Brown in tonight’s Panorama.  This time it’s about Brown’s raid on pension funds in 1997, and is reported by the Telegraph thus: On the programme, Mr Field also recalls the day in 1997 when Gordon Brown, the Chancellor, abolished tax credits paid to pension funds and companies: “I went to see Tony Blair after that budget was announced when the raid occurred on pension pots, and I explained to him what had happened and he said in a rather charming ashion, Gordon didn’t explain it that way to me.” It’s indicative of how – despite the constant feuding

Alex Massie

English Cricket Welcomes the Enemy

The news that England hope to host the IPL  is as unsurprising as it is depressing. After all, what better way to start an Ashes summer than with the distracting influence of a cricketing circus? Never underestimate the greed of those charged with looking after the game, howver. As soon as the Indian government declined to offer satisfactory security guarantees it was inevitable that English cricket administrators, dazzled as always by the prospect of raking in more cash, would prostitute themselves in a mad dash to grab a piece of the action. It is hard to see any advantage in this. Better by far if the circus were taking place

Alex Massie

Railway Dreams

Place your bets, please, if you think this is actually likely to happen: The fastest, most frequent train service in the world could run between London and the North within 12 years, according to the chairman of the government-owned company planning the high-speed link. Double-deck trains travelling at 225mph (360km/h) and carrying up to 800 passengers would depart every four minutes, cutting the journey time from London to Birmingham to 30 minutes and from London to Manchester to just over an hour. I mean, it would be grand if it did but given this country’s record on large scale infrastructure projects this seems a highly improbable venture. After all, in

Paving the way for a civilian surge in Afghanistan

Kabul After an adventurous journey from the Emirates—which seemed to include our pilot getting lost on the runway at Dubai airport—I have finally landed in Kabul. In Kabul, I attended briefings by General McKiernan, the commander of the almost 70,000 NATO troops now deployed, and his closest staff. Everyone here seemed to be saying the same thing: that the heterodox insurgency, particularly in the south, cannot be defeated by military means alone. Civilians are necessary. This view fits well with Obama’s reported plans for a civilian surge. But what should a civilian surge consist of and what should these extra civilians actually be doing? There are already some 18,000 civilians

CoffeeHousers’ Wall, 23 March – 29 March

Welcome to the latest CoffeeHousers’ Wall. For those who haven’t come across the Wall before, it’s a post we put up each Monday, on which – provided your writing isn’t libellous, crammed with swearing, or offensive to common decency – you’ll be able to say whatever you like in the comments section. There is no topic, so there’s no need to stay ‘on topic’ – which means you’ll be able to debate with each other more freely and extensively. There’s also no constraint on the length of what you write – so, in effect, you can become Coffee House bloggers. Anything’s fair game – from political stories in your local